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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical analysis for shorts & longs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bobferg who wrote (17951)10/9/1998 10:53:00 AM
From: Jurgen  Respond to of 68680
 
Outstanding post, Bob. Thx <eom>



To: bobferg who wrote (17951)10/9/1998 11:12:00 AM
From: Clint E.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 68680
 
Hi Bob;

Thanks for your detailed response. Was pretty good.

I know that you have been rightfully bearish and expected a post-FOMC selloff. I should have listened to you and shorted a few names.

I like your theory about increasing crude oil prices to help Brazil, Mexico and therefore South American economies in general. A small price to pay by all of us that would eventually help our economies.

So what is bad for bonds is good for stocks and there is hope that a couple of rate cuts and some selloff in treasury bills would eventually help stocks.

BTW, thanks for making me aware of DELL's 200 dma yesterday. Because of you I got interested when it spiked below ~42. Otherwise, I would have waited for a spike below 40(39=strong support/breakout from memory). Good job.

Clint



To: bobferg who wrote (17951)10/9/1998 12:04:00 PM
From: Tom Trader  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 68680
 
Hi Bob--excellent analysis

Certainly the most cogent explanation that I have seen on SI

Interesting thing is that an inverted yield curve has been considered a harbinger of an impending recession and yet when it occurred this go around there was remarkably little commentary in the media about this.

Am curious as to the extent that you feel that the huge moves that we have seen on the bonds and currencies are a function of hedge fund unwinding of positions.

Regards