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To: Paul Engel who wrote (66138)10/9/1998 2:15:00 PM
From: Timothy Liu  Respond to of 186894
 
> WHat do you think - is he off base?

Last quarter Intel reported 0.75$ (0.66+0.09 one time charge). Intel says revenue increase 8-10%, lets take 8%. Margin up a couple of percent, let's say 2% from 49% to 51%. Assume other things are the same, 2% increase in margin is a 4% increase in profit (2%/49%).

So we are looking at 8%+4% over 0.75$ which is exactly 0.84$.

Wonder how Kumar came up with the number? :)

If you take Kumar's number of 13% increase in revenue, you get 17% over 0.75 which gives 0.88$.

Tim
Just my 0.02$ by no means represent Intel's official position.



To: Paul Engel who wrote (66138)10/9/1998 2:42:00 PM
From: Mary Cluney  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 186894
 
Paul,>>>Unfortunaltely, it is Ashok Kumar of Piper Jaffray - but it beats an Earning DECREASE. <<<

Kumar and Kurlak were the same animal in an earlier life (worm, I think) - but Kumar was reincarnated a few years later than Kurlak.

Remember, Kurlak didn't achieve guru status without some attempts at analysis. Let's hope Kumar has the same early success or luck.

Mary



To: Paul Engel who wrote (66138)10/9/1998 2:53:00 PM
From: gnuman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
Paul Engel re,:<Unfortunaltely, it is Ashok Kumar of Piper Jaffray - but it beats an Earning DECREASE. WHat do you think - is he off base?>
Hope he's right, but I think the whole bunch are pretty worthless.
I've always felt Lehman was very accurate on qtr numbers, they have $0.80. But none of them are much good beyond the current quarter.
Be interesting to hear the CC.