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To: Dr. Bob who wrote (18060)10/9/1998 9:09:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 77400
 
CSCO: SG COWEN SECUR. reconfirms the recommendation as Strong
Buy on 10/05/98



To: Dr. Bob who wrote (18060)10/10/1998 11:37:00 AM
From: rudedog  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 77400
 
Bob -
thanks, that clears it up. I agree that this was not 'panic selling' in general, in fact a lot of obvious bottom fishing in the second half of both thursday and friday. But action on some individual issues was pretty interesting, I suspect there was a lot of margin call selling on Dell which was quickly snapped up by anyone with cash.



To: Dr. Bob who wrote (18060)10/10/1998 10:06:00 PM
From: joe  Respond to of 77400
 
Dr. Bob,

You've started a good discussion on whether thursday was
"panic" (fear) selling or just a temporary bottom with
the real capitulation to come.

The way I see it is there is no reason for the average
investor to panic. That's why the thursday was not 100% panic
selling. The investor's that are panicing are a lot
of these hedge funds that have had deals go bad on them.
Most investor's know this and also know that prices are
incredibly low. They also know that earnings will
be good with top companies. Ok, let's say there is a
correction because '99 may be a bit slow for a while for
telecom. Well, the correction we've seen this last
week is totally exaggerated - irrational selling.

To sum up, yes there has been some fear...from hedge funds.

Is the "real capitulation" to come? Possibly - good chance,
since hedge funds aren't quite done unwinding positions.
But, IMO, it's the hedge funds that need to massively get
out of positions who are doing the "real
capitulation - panicing". Let us then use this info to
squeeze them to death<g> and give us some great bargains.

The remaining investor's have nothing to fear if they know
this. If more than enough investor's know this - possibly
the case now - we won't see further lows. Either way,
kick back and acknowledge a gift horse when you
see one.

I ask myself what's my biggest fear. Answer: severe
slowdown in world economy and/or Brazil devaluation.
BUT, the Fed is ready to lower rates preempting
Brazilian devaluation, and the US is much stronger
economically than a lot of fear-mongers have led us
to believe.

Finally, from my observations, tech is scheduled to have
a strong 2nd 1/2 '99.

comments and feedback much appreciated.

joe