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To: Glenn D. Rudolph who wrote (21122)10/11/1998 3:39:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 164684
 
Price: $23 9/16
12 Month Price Objective: $50
Estimates (Jan) 1997A 1998E 1999E
EPS: $0.93 $0.99 $1.50
P/E: 25.3x 23.8x 15.7x
EPS Change (YoY): 25.7% 6.4% 51.0%
Consensus EPS: $1.00 $1.34
(First Call: 21-Sep-1998)
Q3 EPS (Oct): $0.00 $0.00
Cash Flow/Share: $1.63 $1.76 $2.00
Price/Cash Flow: 14.5x 13.4x 11.8x
Dividend Rate: Nil Nil Nil
Dividend Yield: Nil Nil Nil
Opinion & Financial Data
Investment Opinion: C-1-1-9
Mkt. Value / Shares Outstanding (mn): $1,602.3 / 68
Book Value/Share (Jan-1997): $5.95
Price/Book Ratio: 4.0x
ROE 1998E Average: 11.2%
LT Liability % of Capital: 39.0%
Est. 5 Year EPS Growth: 24.0%
Stock Data
52-Week Range: $48-$22 3/4
Symbol / Exchange: BKS / NYSE
Options: AMEX
Institutional Ownership-Spectrum: 51.1%
Brokers Covering (First Call): 14
ML Industry Weightings & Ratings**
Strategy; Weighting Rel. to Mkt.:
Income: Underweight (07-Mar-1995)
Growth: Overweight (07-Mar-1995)
Income & Growth: Overweight (07-Mar-1995)
Capital Appreciation: Overweight (05-Oct-1995)
Market Analysis; Technical Rating: Above Average (24-Nov-1997)
**The views expressed are those of the macro department and do not
necessarily coincide with those of the Fundamental analyst.
For full investment opinion definitions, see footnotes.
Investment Highlights:
* Barnes & Noble and Bertelsmann announced
a joint venture with barnesandnoble.com
* Joint venture should be positive for growth of
online business and cut losses for Barnes &
Noble in half
* Deal should close late in the third quarter.
* Raising 1998 EPS estimate by $0.06 to $0.99,
up 6% from the prior year to reflect 50% of
the fourth quarter internet losses to be
absorbed by Bertelsmann.
* Raising our 1999 EPS estimate by $0.30 to
$1.50, up 51% over the prior year.
Fundamental Highlights:
* Bertelsmann has announced that it will buy a
50% stake in barnesandnoble.com for $200
million cash.
* Both Barnes & Noble and Bertelsmann will
contribute $100 million each to the capital of
the joint venture.
* Initial public offering of barnesandnoble.com
postponed until next year.
* Barnesandnoble.com will be accounted for as
minority interest for Barnes & Noble and will
no longer run through the entire income
statement.
Bulletin
United States
Retailing - Other Specialty
7 October 1998
Daniel Barry
First Vice President
Gerri Sommers
Assistant Vice President
Barnes & Noble Inc
Joint Venture with Bertelsmann Should
Boost Growth of Online Business
BUY
Long Term
BUY Reason for Report: Joint Venture Analysis
Merrill Lynch & Co.
Global Securities Research & Economics Group
Global Fundamental Equity Research Department
RC#10128034
Stock Performance
8
12
16
20
24
28
32
36
40
44
48
0.016
0.018
0.020
0.022
0.024
0.026
0.028
0.030
0.032
0.034
0.036
0.038
0.040
1995 1996 1997 1998
Barnes & Noble Inc
Rel to S&P Composite Index (500) (Right Scale)