To: Bobby Yellin who wrote (21404 ) 10/11/1998 2:02:00 PM From: goldsnow Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116893
Talking about India.... Indian exercises spark fears of war By Julian West in New Delhi INDIA is secretly planning military exercises for 100,000 troops next month on its border with Pakistan. The manoeuvres will sharply raise tensions in the region. The huge military exercise follows last week's reports of the first armed clashes between Pakistan's neighbours Iran and Afghanistan. The last military manoeuvres held on such a scale, in 1987, brought India and Pakistan to the brink of all-out war. Military strategists fear that, with the two countries having missiles and nuclear potential, the exercises could spark off another conflict. Details of the manoeuvres, deploying land, sea and air troops in the Rajasthan desert and the Arabian Sea, have been kept secret. But according to Western intelligence sources, several army divisions will mass on the sensitive border next month for two weeks of simulated war games. They will be supported by tanks, heavy artillery, helicopters and jet fighters in addition to, possibly, India's short-range Prithvi missiles. Back-up will be provided by battleships, aircraft carriers and probably submarines positioned off the coast of India and Pakistan. India's Defence Ministry last week confirmed that the manoeuvres will take place but described them as "scheduled routine training exercises". There is little doubt, however, that they come at a sensitive time. Talks between India and Pakistan resume this week when their foreign secretaries meet in Islamabad, the Pakistani capital. Further meetings will follow in India's capital, New Delhi, next month. Despite professed goodwill on both sides, the talks will take place in an atmosphere of extreme rancour over Kashmir. India and Pakistan have fought two of their three wars over Kashmir and since their nuclear tests in May furious rhetoric has been traded over the disputed state. Tensions rose sharply in August, as both sides exchanged heavy fire across the dividing Line of Control, and India bitterly accused Pakistan of backing terrorism in its territory. Although Indian and Pakistani troops have now settled into a pattern of sporadic exchanges across the LOC, India continues to be incensed by Pakistan-sponsored militant activity in the state. Last month Pakistan was considerably embarrassed when its relationship with one Kashmiri group, Harkat ul Mujahideen, which is believed to be responsible for murdering six tourists in Kashmir in 1995, emerged after American missile attacks partially destroyed the Harkat training camp in eastern Afghanistan. Western diplomats in Islamabad say that militant activity in Pakistani Kashmir is on the increase and India's home minister has threatened to take "pro-active steps" to deal with the situation. In such an atmosphere India's military manoeuvres are viewed with alarm by Western observers, who fear that India might use the exercises to launch an airstrike against a militant training camp in Pakistani Kashmir. They further fear that Pakistan, heavily outnumbered by India's army in both manpower and weaponry, may be tempted to face-off its rival with similar exercises, involving nuclear weapons. According to the October edition of Jane's Intelligence Review, India is capable of building 455 atom bombs and Pakistan 105. Within the next decade, India may be able to produce at least 800 atom bombs and Pakistan, more than 200. Both countries have operational short range missiles, capable of striking each other's targets. Pakistan recently received fresh shipments of weapons material, including warhead canisters for its recently-tested Ghauri missile, from North Korea. India and Pakistan are forging ahead with missile delivery systems for their nuclear weapons. telegraph.co.uk