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Strategies & Market Trends : How To Write Covered Calls - An Ongoing Real Case Study! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Douglas Webb who wrote (8798)10/12/1998 6:00:00 PM
From: Herm  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 14162
 
Hi Doug,

BTGC

Looking at the last 18 months indicates when BTGC RSI reached the
recent high value of 80 the price has always tagged the upper BB and
then proceeded to spiral down to the lower BB with some upward zig
zags along the way. Only one block trade was made today and the
trading volume for BTGC was under 200,000 which is less than half of
normal trading volume. No news and the last tick was down on 300
shares. Can you imagine being able to trigger a down tick on 300
shares. That is no up trend for sure!

Earnings release is out Oct. 28, 1998 and options expirations is this
coming Friday. Well, it looks like BTGC will eat my OCT 5 PUTs. If I
recall you have the 7.5? Yes? So, are you in the money when you back
out your premies? I might be tempted to cash out with a profit Doug
and reverse the process with long term OTM calls.

It is a long haul until the OCT. 28th ER for BTGC. That is more than
enough time to drop down to a solid $5.50 tag off the lower BB and
bounce back towards $7.00 by ER day. If BTGC moves there before
earnings release date it will need some real big news release to
propel the stock. A blowout earnings would do it for sure!

The entire market is in a "show me first" attitude! I don't think
BTGC will get any slack. There are only two analyst following this
stock at this point. At one time there were 7 or 8.

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