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Technology Stocks : Compaq -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: PCSS who wrote (34568)10/12/1998 4:54:00 PM
From: Elwood P. Dowd  Respond to of 97611
 
Compaq weathering transition
By Michael Kanellos
Staff Writer, CNET News.com
October 12, 1998, 12:50 p.m. PT

With the inventory glut behind it and the assimilation
of Digital under way, Compaq is expected to report
improved earnings of 6 cents a share for the third
quarter when it holds its conference call with analysts
Wednesday.

The third quarter results,
which follow a tumultuous
first half for the company,
will likely be seen as
further evidence of a
moderate turnaround in
the PC market and
Compaq's fortunes in
general. Despite a
worldwide economic
crisis, PC sales have slightly accelerated in the
second half due to lower prices, according to, among
others, International Data Corporation. The large
manufacturers such as Compaq have largely been the
beneficiaries of this trend.

Among the major manufacturers, Compaq will likely
recover some of the momentum it lost in the first half
of the year.

Compaq struggled in the first half because of an
inventory surfeit of low-end PCs. As a result, the
company reported income of one cent and two cents
a share, respectively, for the first and second quarters
of this year. Compaq managed to clear most of these
machines out by mid-summer, clearing the path for
sales of new computers this quarter.

In addition, Compaq may be helped by inventory
woes of a different kind. Notebook competitors IBM
and Toshiba suffered substantial product shortages,
according to Vadim Zlotnikov, computing analyst with
Sanford Bernstein, which allowed Compaq to add
incremental sales.

"There have been dramatic shortages of the IBM
notebooks and the Toshiba notebooks," he said.
"Notebooks will be strong for them (Compaq). Their
consumer business was very good."

Zlotnikov said he expects the company to report
earnings of 6 cents a share on $9.1 billion in revenue.

Compaq also experienced some small growth in the
consulting division it acquired from Digital. Last
quarter, service revenues grew 3 to 4 percent. This
quarter, service revenues grew 7 to 8 percent, he
added.

Still, a complete recovery is far from over. For the
same quarter last year, Compaq reported earnings of
36 cents a share on less revenue. Compaq also will
likely continue to incur expenses with the Digital
transition. Following the Digital acquisition, Compaq
announced it would reduce headcount of the
combined company by 17,000. So far, only a few
thousand workers have been laid off.

The company itself is calling the third quarter a
"transitional" quarter. The conference call will take
place on Wednesday before the market opens.