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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: umbro who wrote (21317)10/12/1998 5:44:00 PM
From: M. Frank Greiffenstein  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
Different options...

Gary, is there any way to determine options bought for speculation vs. options bought for protection?

It seems to me that if you sell covered puts on AMZN, you are being bullish on AMZN prospects, because you believe stock will rocket and option will expire worthless. Could the contrarian implications of a high put/call ratio reflect large increases in covered put writing?

DocStone



To: umbro who wrote (21317)10/14/1998 5:04:00 PM
From: umbro  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
AMZN options report for 10/14/98
AMZN price: 93.500
Options Study for: OCT
put break-even: 93.56 OI = 18550 VOL = 3518
call break-even: 94.50 OI = 22083 VOL = 4514
max. pain: 90.08 R = 0.8 R = 0.8
Options Study for: NOV
put break-even: 81.44 OI = 4731 VOL = 1165
call break-even: 108.03 OI = 3836 VOL = 1133
max. pain: 95.06 R = 1.2 R = 1.0
Options Study for: JAN
put break-even: 77.62 OI = 5951 VOL = 41
call break-even: 113.43 OI = 4830 VOL = 168
max. pain: 99.92 R = 1.2 R = 0.2
Options Study for: APR
put break-even: 71.82 OI = 1211 VOL = 2
call break-even: 123.13 OI = 846 VOL = 15
max. pain: 109.98 R = 1.4 R = 0.1
net long/short: 0.12 mil.
i.v. for OCT = 0.77
i.v. for NOV = 1.01
i.v. for JAN = 0.98

Premium contnues to be stripped from the October options, but
remains strong for the Nov. and Jan. options. Probably after
tomorrow's (?) earnings announcement the volatility will come
out of those options as well. Perhaps AMZN will show good
growth in its core book business, but I wonder if all those
acquisitions won't weigh it down? Will they be able to pull
the "pro-rata earnings" trick again?