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Gold/Mining/Energy : KERM'S KORNER -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Kerm Yerman who wrote (12814)10/14/1998 3:26:00 PM
From: Kerm Yerman  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 15196
 
INTERNATIONAL BITS AND PIECES - PART 1

Chad says no plan to reroute oil pipeline to Libya

Chad's Petroleum and Mines Minister Abdoulaye Lamana has dismissed talk of plans to reroute a $3.5 billion oil pipeline to take Chadian oil for export through Libya instead of via Cameroon.

"I can assure you there will be no rerouting through Libya," Lamana told reporters on Monday night after talks with President Paul Biya in the Cameroon capital Yaounde.

He described press reports in Cameroon of a possible change in plans for the pipeline because of pressure from enviromentalist groups as "gossip."

"As you know very well the project is progressing well. Even if there are some problems posed by certain ecological organisations we are trying to solve these," the minister added.

Cameroonian newspapers have published reports suggesting that because of funding problems with the World Bank due to the strong enviromentalist lobby, Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi had offered to sponsor the entire project if Chad agreed for the pipeline run through his country.

Lamana acknowledged there had been some problems but said these had been ironed out with the World Bank in talks last month. Both sides were in permanent consultation to deal with any outstanding issues.

Ecologists earlier this month called on the World Bank to shelve loan plans for the pipeline, saying the proposal favours oil companies over the poor and threatens the environment.

The Environmental Defence Fund and Friends of the Earth said the project, which is meant to transport oil from Chad to Cameroon's Atlantic coast for export, was an example of the World Bank's misguided approach to energy funding.

"The World Bank has the ability to take the lead in investing in renewable energy, wind and solar," said Andrea Durbin, Friends of the Earth international programme director.

The World Bank is deciding whether to grant $365 million in loans to secure the construction of the pipeline by a group of oil giants led by U.S.-based Exxon Corp., and partners Royal Dutch/Shell Group and France's Elf-Aquitaine.

The pipeline would pump and pipe Chadian oil to the sea through a 650-mile (1,050-km) pipeline from southern Chad to Cameroon's port of Kribi.

The Chadian minister said the pipeline was of capital importance to the economies of both countries and there was no question of it not running through Cameroon.

Foreign firms call on Saudi to open energy doors

International oil companies' key executives on Tuesday urged Saudi Arabia, the world's largest oil producer and exporter, to open its doors wider to foreign investors and predicted the kingdom's financial constraints would eventually lead to such a move.

"I do think they should. I think the reality is that the Saudis need foreign investment to further develop their oil and gas resources," said Larry Wheeler, vice president-Middle East for Shell Chemicals, an arm of Anglo-Dutch oil conglomerate Royal Dutch/Shell Group <RD.AS><RD.N><SHEL.L>.

"I believe they will. I would expect that the opportunities would not be limited to just U.S. companies. Royal Dutch/Shell certainly wants to be part of that opportunity as well," he told Reuters on the sidelines of an oil and gas conference.

Possible investment openings in Saudi Arabia has been the burning issue in the minds of oil executives since Saudi heir to the throne Crown Prince Abdullah held a rare meeting with U.S. oil executives in the United States last month.

During the meeting, the prince did not promise access to any specific energy projects in Saudi Arabia, though he did ask the executives for ideas on how to improve the kingdom's oil-producing and drilling operations. Analysts and oil company officials think it likely that Saudi Arabia, which currently has two million barrels per day (bpd) of spare production capacity, is more likely to want companies' help in developing natural gas and power projects rather than seek outside involvement in strategically sensitive crude oil.

Saudi Arabia's crude earnings have been hit hard by weak oil prices and allowing more foreign investment in the energy sector would bring in additional funds and free up government spending.

A Saudi oil executive at the conference, who requested anonymity, said he expected soft oil prices to pressure the Saudis to invite more foreign investment. But he predicted it would be limited to U.S. firms.

"I think they are serious about (allowing investment in) oil and gas. Capital is an issue for oil-producing countries, especially in the Gulf (states) because their economy is based on oil," he told Reuters.

"Because they have a long relationship with the Americans, especially in oil, they will probabably stay with the Americans," he added.

Although oil officials at the conference were hopeful that the kingdom would eventually allow investment in its upstream energy sectors, they did not expect a breakthrough soon.

"We are willing to prepare any types of proposals for exploration and production. We are keen to contribute," said Yasuhiko Wada, vice president of Japan National Oil Corp.

"I think it's a very difficult subject for them (the Saudis) to make a consensus within the royal family and the cabinet. It will take some time, I am afraid."

An official from Italian energy firm ENI <ENI.MI> expressed doubt that Saudi Arabia would open up its upstream oil sector to foreign companies for exploration and production . But he was hopeful for opportunities in the upstream gas sector in the kingdom, which said last year its recoverable gas reserves stood at some 204 trillion cubic feet (5.7 trillion cubic metres).

"There is a body of opinion in the kingdom that understands the concept of having greater access to gas and is in favour of doing something...," said Giacomo Luciani, ENI's group vice president for international new ventures and promotion studies.

Speculation about investment opportunities in Saudi Arabia is set against the backdrop of what analysts say is a competition for foreign investment in other Gulf states.

Nigerian Ijaws say oil flowstations will stay shut

Ethnic Ijaw groups disrupting oil production in Nigeria's resource-rich Niger Delta on Tuesday said a "cease-fire" did not mean that oil multinationals would be able to reopen shut flowstations.

"The cease-fire is in respect of aggressive activities," Kennedy Orubebe, spokesman of the Federated Niger Delta Izon Communities, told Reuters. "There should be no more seizing of boats and the issue of holding oil workers hostage will be stopped.

"Opening flowstations can only take place when dialogue has begun and for that, the federal government must meet our demands," Orubebe said.

The commander of Egbusu Boys of Africa, one of the associated militant groups that have shut in more than a quarter of Nigeria's oil output, earlier Tuesday had said the group had declared a "cease-fire" for two months to let military ruler Gen. Abdulsalami Abubakar meet key demands.

"The Ijaw tribe is the fourth largest in the federation, but we don't have a road to call our own," Orubebe said. "Injustice has pervaded our society for too long. What we are struggling for is not secession, we are just fighting injustice."

Royal Dutch/Shell Group <RD.AS><SHEL.L><RD.N>, the biggest victim of attacks that have shut in a total of more than 500,000 barrels per day (bpd), said it had no idea of when it might be able to restore output.

"It's the same old story," a Shell spokesman told Reuters in Lagos.

Both Shell and Italian energy group ENI <ENI.MI> have been forced to declare force majeure at their export terminals and say they cannot guarantee to meet commitments.

Iran says six-month oil income down 39 pct yr/yr

Iran's income from oil exports fell to $5 billion in the six months from March due to a price slump, representing a 39 percent decline year-on-year, a senior Iranian official said on Tuesday.

"The country's oil income in the first six months of the (Iranian) year was $5.025 billion, while this income had been $8.261 last year," said Mohammad Ali Najafi, head of the state Plan and Budget Organisation, quoted by Iran's news agency IRNA.

Najafi was referring to the Iranian year which started on March 21, 1998. He said the amount was $9.2 billion two years ago.

Najafi was speaking to parliament, before deputies passed the outlines of an emergency rescue package to deal with a 19 trillion rial ($6.3 billion) budget deficit, which the government said last week threatened its ability to pay bills and employees.

But the conservative-dominated parliament refused to approve unchanged the bill proposed by the moderate government of President Mohammad Khatami, the daily Kayhan said. Details of the package are due to be debated and passed in coming sessions.

Solutions proposed in the government's package included taking advance payments ahead of oil deliveries, selling $700 million worth of bonds for development projects, obtaining $1 billion in foreign loans and borrowing up to 600 billion rials from the Central Bank.

Iran has said foreign commitments would be paid in time, assuring that the country had strong foreign exchange reserves.

The debate over the bill reflected the sharp tensions between conservatives and moderate backers of Khatami.

Conservatives blasted government economic policies, with a deputy saying Iran's stand in the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries contributed to the oil price slump.

Iran, the world's third largest oil exporter after Saudi Arabia and Norway, relies on petrodollars for around 80 percent of its hard currency earnings. ($1=3,000 rials at the official exchange rate)

Algeria sees no rise in oil, gas exports to Europe

Algerian Energy and Mining Minister Youcef Yousfi said on Tuesday that Algeria, a major supplier of oil and gas to western Europe, did not plan to increase exports to Europe at the moment.

Nor would Algiers try to win market share from competitors like Russia and Norway, Yousfi told Reuters in an interview. But it would seek to raise exports if new reserves were discovered.

"Our exports are dictated by the level of our reserves and our long-term domestic consumption. We have attained the optimal level. But we will increase exports if we discover other reserves," Yousfi said.

Algeria was interested in extending prospecting for hydrocarbons from south eastern Algeria to the south east, the north and offshore fields, he said, adding that foreign investors had already shown interest in all three areas.

Yousfi was in Brussels for a two-day roadshow organised by Algeria's state owned oil and gas monopoly Sonatrach in a bid to woo foreign investors to the country's downstream energy sector.

The roadshow follows a similar event in South Africa and is to be repeated in several other west European countries.

"(Foreign investors) are present in the oil sector. That has been a success. Now we want to go further," Yousfi said, listing refining, petrochemicals, power generation, fertilisers and mining as among the main areas where Algeria sought partners.

Projects under discussion with European entrepreneurs included a new condensate refinery and petrochemicals ventures in Skikda, Jijel, Annaba and Arzew.

Yousfi said he expected the total closure for maintenance of the 310,000 barrels per day Skikda refinery would have a short term effect on shipments to Europe.

Algerian energy officials said the refinery was likely to remain shut for at least another three weeks.

The minister denied reports from commentators in Algiers that an initial public offering of shares in state owned pharmaceutical company Saidal would pave the way for share offerings in other government enterprises including Sonatrach.

"Sonatrach belongs to the state. It is not for sale," he said.

Iraq oil exports hit 2.13 million bpd in week

Iraq exports climbed in the week despite constant warnings that Baghdad may be causing irreversible damage to its oil fields.

The weekly United Nations "oil-for-food" program overseers said that Iraq exported 2.13 million barrels per day (bpd) in the week ending Oct. 9. This is a jump of 100,000 bpd from the previous week.

The four-week average of Iraq oil exports climbed to 1.92 million bpd.

In order to meet its contracted commitments, Iraq will need to export an average of 1.64 million bpd by the end of the current sales phase of the oil-for-food program on Nov. 25.

The price of Iraq's oil dipped to its lowest level in four weeks, to $11.07 per barrel. This is down from last week's $12.68-per-barrel average price.

Iraq's Gen. Amir Muhammad Rasheed last week at the U.N. said that if spare parts equipment reaches Iraq soon, Baghdad will be able to increase its export capacity to about 2.3 million bpd in "a few months." But the type of help Baghdad wants from $300 million in spare parts and equipment may not be the type that will quickly increase production. Rather, it may assist Iraq in keeping its oil infrastructure from falling apart, said a U.N. diplomat.

The United States is holding up contracts that it sees as not helping Iraq increase its oil-exporting capacity in the short term of the oil-for-food program.

Funding for contracts for spare parts and equipment must be approved by the U.N. Security Council's Iraq sanctions committee. That committee during the week ending Oct. 9 placed on hold more contracts, 14, than it approved, 11.

Ten of the 11 approved contracts were for pipeline equipment, with the other for firefighting trucks. The approved contracts were worth $2.5 million. This brings to $57.5 million the amount needed to fund the 42 contracts the committee has approved.

In all, the committee has placed 45 contracts on hold. The value of the contracts placed on hold is about $36.9 million.

The oil-for-food sale is an exemption to eight year old sanctions on Iraq. In it, the U.N. allows Iraq to sell up to $5.25 billion of oil every six months. But Iraq's oil-exporting capacity is limited. That, as well as low world oil prices, have kept Iraq from raising more money in the oil-for-food program.

About two-thirds of the oil sale's proceeds pay for aid and supply efforts for Iraq's 22 million people. Most of the rest, 30 percent, pays for Gulf War reparations.

Texaco calls for multiple Caspian pipeline routes

Multiple pipeline routes should be developed to ensure political stability and cut costs as international companies tap the vast oil and gas riches of the Caspian Sea, a Texaco executive said on Monday.

"I think multiple routes are necessary for the Caspian, both for political stability and to maximise economic value of the oil in the Caspian," said Peter Riches, senior vice president of Texaco International Petroleum Co., part of Texaco Inc. <TX.N>

"I think the issues in the Caspian are often focused on the size of the reserves and the real issues are the ability to transport it to open markets," he told Reuters on the sidelines of an oil and gas conference in Beirut.

"If you have options, then you have the ability to negotiate on transit fees and to reduce the risk, should there be any disturbance on one route," he said.

With estimated reserves of up to 15 billion tonnes of oil equivalent, the Caspian has emerged as a tantalising target for major Western oil companies seeking big profits and a new source of oil and gas to reduce reliance on the Middle East.

But they face a maze of political, legal and economic issues and the players are locked in a battle of opinions over transport routes in the potentially politically unstable area.

Washington is opposed to building a pipeline to Iran, which it accuses of sponsoring international terrorism, a charge denied by Tehran.

The U.S. imposed a blanket trade and investment ban on Iran in 1995, stopping all American investment in its energy sector. A 1996 law passed by Congress imposes sanctions on non-U.S. companies that invest $20 million or more a year in either Iran or Libya's oil and natural gas sectors.

Development of the Caspian is also hampered by deadlock over the legal status of the sea -- bordered by Russia, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan and Iran.

Riches said a pipeline route through Iran would make economic sense because it would mean only one country as a transit site, but he added the fact that American companies could not get involved would be a problem.

On Sunday, The New York Times reported that a U.S. plan to persuade major oil firms to build a Caspian project that would guarantee that the oil passed through countries friendly to U.S. interests seems to be failing.

BP says Black Sea oil, gas search costly but worth it

A joint attempt by British Petroleum <BP.L> and Turkey to search for oil and gas in deep Black Sea waters will be costly but worthwhile, a senior BP official said on Monday.

"The problem is that the Black Sea is a difficult and costly area to explore in and we are in the limits of current technology," said Eric Luttrell, deputy director for BP's new oil businesses development.

"It may be that we shall be disappointed and there is nothing of commercial interest there - but it seems important to find out," he told an oil conference.

BP and Turkey's state oil and gas exploration and production company Turkish Petroleum (TPAO) have been carrying out a seismic work in the eastern Black Sea, where sea depth is more than 2,000 metres (yards).

TPAO officials said it might take at least three years to reach an idea about the actual reserves in the site.

"We think BP can overcome problems with regard to depth. They have experience from the Gulf of Mexico in deep drilling," one TPAO official said.

"Potentially there could be very large volumes of hydrocarbon under the Turkish Black Sea, maybe billion barrels of either oil or gas," Luttrell said.

"If there are indeed such volumes, it would make aq considerable difference to Turkey's energy balance and to the energy politics of the region," he said.

TPAO has two other off-shore exploration projects -- one with U.S. Arco <ARC.N> in western Black Sea and the other with Amoco <AN.N>, which announced a $110-billion merger with BP in August, in Mersin gulf in the eastern Mediterranean.

The Arco deal will begin drilling next year and the Amoco project is in the seismis study phase.

TPAO officials say the scale of reserves in Black Sea would remain unknown until the first wells were drilled.

Turkish President Suleyman Demirel told the conference the government should update Turkey's oil exploration regulations to attract more investors to its oil potential.

Luttrell, who said that an exploration well in the Black Sea project could cost about $40 million, said there were only "a few incentives" for foreign companies in Turkey to undertake high risks from oil exploration.

"Black Sea exploration is very difficult to justify commercially. This is where establishment of the right commercial, tax and royalty conditions can make a big change," he said.

"I believe that if such incentives were created we could see a real upturn in interest in this area," he added.

Turkish Energy Minister Cumhur Ersumer said at the conference that the government had begun work to modify and modernise its oil law which dates back to 1950s, but did not give details.

Turkey insists Caspian oil line plan to go ahead

Turkish President Suleyman Demirel said on Monday he was convinced Turkey's proposal to export the bulk of future Caspian oil deliveries via a pipeline to the Mediterranean would go ahead.

Demirel was speaking after publication of a report by the New York Times suggesting oil companies were losing interest in the U.S.-backed scheme to bring oil from Baku to the Turkish port of Ceyhan.

"Azerbaijan is determined, Georgia and Turkey are determined, and the United States is backing the project," Demirel said in an address to the 12th International Petrol Congress.

Sunday's report, saying high costs were causing oil companies to think again, was widely reproduced by Turkish newspapers.

"A Monica setback for Baku-Ceyhan" ran the headline on mainstream daily Hurriyet, which suggested that a weakened U.S. President Clinton had lost his leverage over U.S. oil firms.

Turkey has campaigned for the pipeline, arguing that its narrow Bosphorus and Dardanelles Straits cannot support the additional tanker traffic a Russian-backed plan to transport the Caspian oil from Black Sea ports would create.

"It is physically impossible for this petrol to pass through the straits. These straits cannot support another 50 million tonnes of petrol," said Demirel, referring to the potential crude oil deliveries.

Energy Minister Cumhur Ersumer told the Ankara conference: "The Baku-Ceyhan is currently the only outlet for which a feasibility study has been conducted. Reports that the Baku- Ceyhan may not be chosen do not reflect reality. The proposal is not a national matter, it is an international matter."

The Bosphorus and the Dardanelles, respectively bisecting the cities of Istanbul and Canakkale, saw over 51,000 vessels in 1997, up from 45,000 just a year ago.

An international $8-billion consortium led by British Petroleum <BP.N> and Statoil <STAT.CN> began oil production in Caspian off-shore fields late last year. Their main output will come on stream at 800,000 barrels per day (40 million tonnes a year) by 2010.

There are several other projects to develop Azeri and Kazakh oilfields near the Caspian Sea, and analysts say the peak annual oil output of the region may exceed 100 million tonnes.

The Azeri International Operation Company (AIOC) consortium is to decide later this month the route for its main oil exports among two other options, which envisage using existing pipelines in Georgia and Russia respectively, with the Black Sea as their outlet.

Turkish officials say there were 82 incidents in Istanbul's Bosphorus, home to 10 million inhabitants, which posed a danger to public and environmental safety last year.






To: Kerm Yerman who wrote (12814)10/14/1998 3:57:00 PM
From: Kerm Yerman  Respond to of 15196
 
INTERNATIONAL BITS AND PIECES - PART 2

Asia Energy Briefing

An executive briefing on energy for Oct 13, 1998

BENZENE PRICES UNLIKELY TO REBOUND QUICKLY

TOKYO - While some industry insiders say benzene prices are nearing the bottom, the room for a price upswing appears limited.

Contract prices between refineries and petrochemicals makers in the US market - which serve as the global benchmark for benzene prices - stabilized at US72 cents per gallon for this month's contracts, unchanged from the previous month.

PAKISTAN GOVT RESCINDS POWER DEAL WITH HUBCO

ISLAMABAD - The Pakistan government has registered a criminal case against the chief executive and other directors of Hubco for fraud and misappropriation in their deal with the government for power supply at fraudulent charges.

The government also rescinded its agreement with Hubco and demanded the repayment of Rs. 17 billion, which the government said was unduly paid to the company by Water and Power Development Authority(WAPDA).

TARIM BASIN SET TO BECOME CHINA'S LARGEST ENERGY SOURCE

BEIJING - A string of recent exploration breakthroughs in the Tarim Basin suggest that the colossal desert area in northwest China will become the country's most significant source of energy supplies in the next century, according to sources here.

The China National Star Petroleum Corp (CNSPC) has recently announced its discovery of an oilfield with geological reserves (proven reserves and controlled reserves combined) of over 100 million tons in the Tarim Basin, in northwest China's Uyger autonomous region. JAPAN MAY

WOODSIDE IMPLIES CHEAP GAS KEY FOR AUSTRALIAN LNG EXPANSION

PERTH, Australia - Woodside Petroleum Ltd (ASX: WPL) managing director John Akehurst has implied that cheaper liquefied natural gas (LNG) is a key factor in encouraging Asian customers to buy more LNG from Australia.

Fresh from talks with power utilities in Japan, Mr Akehurst told journalists after addressing the Asia Pacific Oil and Gas conference here, that driving down the costs of producing gas was now of significant importance for all the proposed LNG projects.

ADNOC KEEN TO PARTNER IOC IN INDIAN REFINERY PROJECT

NEW DELHI - The Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC), a United Arab Emirate petro major, is among the four foreign oil companies in race to partner the state-owned Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) for building a 9,000,000-tonne refinery in south India.

ADNOC had shown interest in joining the project, which IOC planned to execute in partnership with another state-owned oil company Madras Refineries Ltd (MRL), IOC chairman M A Pathan told the Press Trust of India.

INDONESIA'S PERTAMINA WAITING FOR OIL FIELD DECREE

JAKARTA - Pertamina is still waiting for a presidential decree giving it rights to manage the Coastal Plain Pekanbaru (CPP) oil field in Riau presently managed by PT Caltex Pacific Indonesia.

Pertamina's exploration and production director Priyambodo Mulyosudirjo said over the weekend that so far, there was no written decision to manage the oil field, except a recommendation from the CPP evaluation team announced by Minister for Mines and EnergyKuntoro Mangkusubroto.


Colombia's Pastrana slams strike, refuses to cede

Colombian President Andres Pastrana flatly refused on Tuesday to bow to striking state workers' demands to scrap government austerity plans and placed security forces on full alert to face the threat of possible union violence.

In a televised speech, Pastrana dubbed the week-old, nationwide stoppage by 700,000 public sector workers "unacceptable and unjustified" -- setting the stage for a bitter face-off with labor leaders.

Union bosses, who had been meeting Labor Minister Hernando Yepes as Pastrana's tough speech was broadcast, immediately broke off talks and pressed ahead with plans for a mass street demonstration, expected to attract some 200,000 protesters, in Bogota on Wednesday. "This strike has gone beyond being a labor conflict and has become a political action," a visibly angry Pastrana said.

The strike was declared illegal on Friday but union chiefs said their members would defy the ban and stay off the job indefinitely. "It's not possible to sit down with a minority to talk about the future of the whole state ... I have no intention of cutting any deals that put the stability of the whole nation at risk," he added.

The strike, which includes doctors, teachers, oilmen, justice officials, airport and telephone workers, is the worst labor unrest since February 1997. It is also the most serious challenge to Pastrana's election pledge to rein back the yawning public sector deficit, currently at around 4.5 percent of gross domestic product, to about 2 percent by the end of 1999.

Labor leaders have submitted a 110-point list of demands including an above inflation wage hike, greater social spending by the government and a series of wide political proposals. "The president has insulted the Colombian working classes. His remarks were completely unacceptable," said Julio Roberto Gomez, head of the General Federation of Colombian Workers (CGTD), the country's second largest labor federation, in response to Pastrana's speech. "We have broken off talks. There's nothing else to do and the strike ... will continue," he added.

State workers' frustration at the government's point-blank refusal to negotiate could come to a head on Wednesday when some 200,000 people are expected to demonstrate in downtown Bogota. Authorities said police and the army had been placed on full alert in the capital and all leave had been canceled to cope with the protest march. Strikers and security force members have already clashed several times around the country since the strike began.

Oil workers scuffled with soldiers on Friday outside a state-run oil refinery in the Caribbean coast resort of Cartagena. Over the weekend employees of the state run rural savings bank Caja Agraria used high pressure water hoses to battle against police firing tear gas in Bogota. Phone workers also clashed with police, firing tear gas and nightsticks, early on Tuesday as authorities tried to dislodge pickets from outside the state phone company Telecom in Bogota.

Ekofisk oil, gas restarts after fire- Phillips Oil and gas production at the Ekofisk centre in the Norwegian North Sea restarted on Wednesday at 4.15 a.m. (0215 GMT) after a fire halted output on Monday, operator Phillips Petroleum <P.N> said.

Iran hints at oil shift, Rushdie flap no threat

Iran may show flexibility in negotiating key aspects of foreign investment in oil and gas development ventures that have proved unpopular with foreign energy companies, an Iranian oil official said on Wednesday.

In remarks indicating a possible easing of Iran's approach to outside energy involvement, he said Iran would be prepared to discuss widening the range of possible repayment models for investors planning to upgrade existing oil and gas fields.

"There is room for flexibility in this regard. It's a question of collecting information and addressing a range of related issues over the next few months," the official, who asked not to be named, told Reuters.

He said investors should not fret over political turbulence such as Iran's rocky ties with neighbouring Afghanistan and fresh statements attacking British author Salman Rushdie, or over oil sector changes such as a planned onshore reshuffle.

"The Salman Rushdie case is over. There are some conservatives who raise this issue but for domestic consumption only. But 70 to 80 percent of those who voted for President Khatami do not subscribe to their views," he said.

On Iran's confrontation with Afghanistan's ruling Taleban Islamic movement, he said: "This should not be a cause for concern. It is being allowed to calm down."

Foreign energy companies are elbowing for position in Iran in an $8 billion oil and gas investment race that has attracted European and Asian firms long starved of Gulf upstream ventures.

The country, which holds the world's second largest gas and fifth largest oil reserves, has offered 43 so-called buy-back ventures where investors are repaid in production under its largest energy opening since the 1979 Islamic revolution.

Iran has already signalled the possibility of easing terms on exploration deals which make up 16 of the offered ventures.

But on development deals on established fields, Iran has so far been determined to restrict the use of so-called alternative oil for repayment in cases where a field's output is insufficient to repay capital recovery and remuneration.

Asked to comment on a demand by some foreign companies to have a right either to raise production or take production from other fields if their own output was inadequate, the official said without elaborating that flexibility was a possibility.

Iranian analysts based in London have said they expect any such flexibility to emerge only in final phases of negotiation -- which for most projects lies months, if not years away.

Asked whether Iran preferred approaches by consortiums, the official said there was no rigid rule but ventures involving several foreign companies were usually able to draw on more resources than those involving only one.

The official added the oil ministry was pressing ahead with plans to reorganise the onshore sector of the National Iranian Oil Company to allow a role for private Iranian companies.

These small, semi-private business units would act as state owned NIOC's prime onshore contractors and would link up with foreign "buy back" partners to develop one or two fields each.

A separate Iranian source said 30 of such firms had been or were being created for both onshore and offshore sectors.

Some foreign firms dislike the development, arguing it could lead to delays and complications if it is carried out in tandem with buy-back negotiations on onshore fields.

But the official said foreign investors should not be deterred, and those foreign companies that had worked with such semi-private companies in the offshore sector would be at an advantage in seeking opportunities onshore. "They can use their experience and contacts built up in their dealings with Iranian private companies," he said.

He said Iranian officials would attend a conference in January in London to review bids. Iran has said it hopes to finalise an "appreciable" amount of the ventures by late March.

Russia steps up efforts to sell gas to China

As international energy companies come to terms with the fact that China is the world's fastest growing energy market, they are starting to outdo themselves with expensive and ambitious plans to supply natural gas.

Russia's vast gas monopoly Gazprom <GAZPq.L> has become the latest to enter the field. Chairman Rem Vyakhirev last week announced plans to lay a gas line from Siberia to Shanghai.

"The most promising route is a line from western Siberia to Shanghai, including an option from the Yamal-Nenets autonomous republic," he said, adding that the 6,500 km (4,000 miles), 30 billion cubic metres (bcm) per year line may go on to Korea.

"We're prepared to start negotiations with our Chinese partners, and our experts received orders to that effect last week," he told a news conference.

He said Gazprom was ready to sign contracts on the basis of supplying that volume of gas for 30 years.

Gazprom has been considering supplying the Asian market for years, but Nikolai Bely, head of Gazprom's foreign relations department, said this was the first time the company had publicly discussed delivering western Siberian gas.

Earlier plans had involved gas from eastern Siberia, much nearer to the Chinese market.

Bely added that in future, gas for China may be taken from Russia's Arctic waters, where reserves are even greater than in the Yamal-Nenets republic.

But Gazprom faces competition from a project far closer to China. Rusia Petroleum, which is 60 percent owned by a joint venture between Russian company SIDANKO <CHGZ.RTS> and British Petroleum <BP.L>, holds a licence to develop the huge Kovykta field in eastern Siberia.

This field, not far from Lake Baikal and the city of Irkutsk, has a distance advantage of thousands of kilometres over the gas source named by Gazprom's Vyakhirev.

A BP spokesman said on Wednesday that although the Chinese gas market was extremely promising he doubted it would grow fast enough to support more than the Kovykta project initially.

One reason was that a pipeline from Kovykta to the Beijing region would run through China's main hydrocarbon region, the Tarim basin, and it appeared inevitable that the line would encourage development of China's domestic gas reserves.

Any future increase in demand was likely to be met more cheaply from the myriad projects under discussion and development in Russia's Pacific island of Sakhalin, either liquefied or delivered by pipeline, than from Siberia, he added.

China's coastal markets were also more likely to see demand growth met by Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG), with potential growth seen from Australia and Indonesia, than by pipeline, he added.

Revision of growth projections for the Chinese economy were also likely to call for a review of expected energy demand growth, further calling into question the market's ability to import more gas.

Yet more competition is also seen from the central Asian republics of Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan. Turkmen President Saparmurat Niyazov visited China last month and construction of a 6,700 km (4,200 miles) gas pipeline was discussed.

But analysts are sceptical that any development of such a vast project could be expected soon.

Kazakhstan has proposed gas lines to China as well but is now concentrating more closely on oil deliveries.

A planned 400,000 barrels per day line from Kazakhstan to western China is due for completion by 2005, an energy conference in the commercial capital, Almaty, heard last week.










To: Kerm Yerman who wrote (12814)10/14/1998 4:33:00 PM
From: Kerm Yerman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 15196
 
RIG INFORMATION

Weekly Rig Count Dips by Four

The number of oil and gas rigs operating nationwide fell by four to
750 this week, Baker Hughes Inc. (NYSE:BHI) reported Friday.

There were 974 rigs operating in the United States during the same
week last year.

Of the rigs running this week, 524 were exploring for natural gas and
226 for oil.

Houston based Baker Hughes has kept track of the count since 1940. The
tally peaked at 4,500 in December of 1981 during the oil boom. It
dropped to a record low of 596 in the summer of 1993, exceeding the
previous low of 663 in 1986.

The rig count represents the number of rigs actively exploring for oil
and natural gas.

Rotary Rig Count
10/9/1998
This Week Year
Location Week +/- Ago +/- Ago

Land 616 - 2 618 -221 837
Inland Waters 21 1 20 5 16
Offshore 113 - 3 116 - 8 121
United States Total 750 - 4 754 -224 974
Gulf Of Mexico 109 - 2 111 - 9 118
Canada 170 9 161 -256 426
North America 920 5 915 -480 1400

Breakout Information This Week +/- Week Ago +/- Year Ago

Oil 226 - 3 229 -166 392
Gas 524 - 1 525 - 54 578
Miscellaneous 0 0 0 - 4 4
Directional 186 - 4 190 - 31 217
Horizontal 30 - 1 31 - 43 73
Vertical 534 1 533 -150 684

Major State Variances This Week +/- Week Ago +/- Year Ago
Alaska 12 0 12 1 11
California 26 - 4 30 - 8 34
Louisiana 157 - 3 160 - 38 195
New Mexico 46 - 1 47 - 13 59
Oklahoma 87 2 85 6 81
Texas 256 5 251 -129 385
Wyoming 37 - 2 39 - 8 45


U.S. Gulf rig count falls eight to 136

There were 136 rigs under contract in the U.S. Gulf as of October 9,
down eight from the previous week, Offshore Data Services said Friday.

The utilization rate for rigs working in the Gulf, based on a total
fleet of 176, was 77.3 percent, the lowest level since May 1995.

The number of working rigs in the European/Mediterranean area remained
at 109 rigs under contract out of a total fleet of 113, a utilization
rate of 96.5 percent.

The worldwide rig count was 530 out of a total fleet of 610, with a
utilization rate of 86.9 percent.

CAODC Weekly Western Canadian Rig Count - Oct 6

WEEK OF OCTOBER 6 VERSUS SEPTEMBER 29, 1998 DRILLING
MOVING DRILLING DOWN TOTAL YEAR AGO
ALBERTA 0/0 162/148 296/307 458/455 344
SASK. 0/0 18/ 24 55/ 51 73/ 75 101
B.C. 0/0 14/ 16 29/ 28 43/ 44 30
N.W.T. 0/0 0/ 0 2/ 2 2/ 2 1
MAN. 0/0 0/ 0 1/ 1 1/ 1 1
TOTAL 0/0 194/188 383/389 577/577 477

Moving = Currently under Contract, but not at full rate
Total Line is Total Western Canada
Figures supplied by Canadian Assn. Of Oilwell Drilling Contractors

Oil Rig Rates Fall 30-40 Pct In Asia In 6-8 Months

Daily drill rig lease rates -- a key indicator of the health of the
upstream oil and gas industry -- have declined by 30 to 40 percent in
the Asia Pacific region in the last six to eight months, independent
rig contractor Century Drilling Ltd said on Wednesday.

The drop in rates in both land and offshore rigs coincides with a
decline in rig utilisation levels to record lows amid Asia's deepening
economic crisis, Century Drilling managing director Andrew Young said.

"It's dropping away sharply with the oil price," Young said.

"Day rates have dropped by 30 to 40 percent, particularly in
Indonesia, in the past six to eight months," Young said.

Daily land rig rates have declined to around US$10,000-$20,000 a day
currently, while offshore rig rates have slipped to between $80,000
and $150,000, Young said.

At the end of September, there were 96 land rigs in operation in the
Asia Pacific region and about 12 offshore rigs, the lowest figures on
record, Young said.

World crude prices have sunk on declining demand in the once fast
growing economies of Asia and perceptions of a mounting supply
overhang.

Benchmark NYMEX crude was last traded on Wednesday in Asia at $14.34
per barrel, more than six dollars below the year-earlier price of
$20.70.

Crude prices have been weak throughout 1998 and analysts have
predicted sustained weakness through next year as well.

Commentary - OFFSHORE DRILLING BITS

Published by Loosbrock Offshore
Mike Simmons, President

EARNINGS CUTS, THE OIL BUSINESS and HOW TO NEVER LOSE A LOT OF MONEY

The latest house to chime in with earnings revisions is Merrill Lynch.
Citing the flurry of storms that have tracked through the U.S. Gulf of
Mexico, ML cuts BJ Services, Smith International and Schlumberger.

The impact of the storms have cost companies more than 10 days of
revenue in the quarter while at the same time increasing their fixed
costs. Fixed costs are higher due to the added cost of transporting
workers on and off facilities and another associated storm
precautions.

ML says little of the extensive cost cutting measures, including
layoffs, ongoing in the oil patch will show up until the December
quarter and beyond.

The company still maintains that oil service shares "have seen their
bottom" as global oil markets are beginning to improve. They say the
underlying trend in inventory levels is favorable and the market is
overestimating availability of supply.

I am not convinced.

Investors are perplexed watching what appear to be "good" companies
with glowing revenue and earnings numbers continue to get trashed.
Every time the stocks register gains for a few days -- the sellers
come rushing in.

A wide variety of investment styles are touted. The most common lately
being "buy and hold for the long term". Long term? What is long term?
If you would have bought a few of these stocks 15 years ago, you might
easily be holding a loser in 1998. At best you haven't made more of a
return than you would have if you had stuck the money in U.S. Savings
Bonds.

Anyone have any reason to believe anything will be different in 2013?

I find that when people say something will happen in the future it
makes them more comfortable and makes them sound like more of an
"authority" if the future is way way out. The further the better.
After all, an expert is anyone that is more than 50 miles from home.
(He came so far, he MUST be smart!)

I have no more confidence that the oil service sector stocks will be
any higher in 15 years than they will in 15 days.

There are tons of ways to rationalize why oil prices will/should be
higher. Of course these same ideas would have been valid 15 years or
so ago when 1998 was a LONG-term objective. Well, it's 1998, so now
we have to look to 2013 for validation.

Don't get me wrong, there has been ample opportunity to make
tremendous returns in oil service stocks. But to blindly buy and hold
has not been the way. These stocks must be traded. They must be traded
in sync with the cycle. The boom bust cycle of the oil business.

If you are a shareholder of an oil service stock, you are IN the oil
business just as surely as if you were the head honcho at ABC
Drilling. You are personally exposed to the high risk and volatile
nature of the oil business.

You, as an investor, can not hide behind earnings estimates and
pundits rationalizations. You, just like the man in the business, have
to manage your investments with a firm grasp on the reality of boom
bust. You gotta know when to hold 'em and know when to fold 'em.

Don't feel alone if you can't or don't want to make these cycle calls.
And don't expect industry leaders to guide you. Management, for the
most part, isn't "playing" with their personal money. They manage the
business. For them to bow out of a market sector, or decrease
exposure, would result in less business to manage. Get the picture?

Since you ARE playing with personal money, you have to make the tough
calls.

I see far too many people get attached emotionally and personally to
"their" stocks. This is a huge mistake. The company doesn't know you
own it.

If I could ask you to do one simple thing during your stock investing
life, I would ask you to do this:

********Plan your trade and trade your plan.*******

Just doing this will save you tons of money and lots of stress.

PLAN how much you put at risk BEFORE you buy. PLAN how much profit you
expect BEFORE you buy. STICK to your plan as if you were instructed by
your employer to follow the plan to the letter or be fired. (Because
if you don't, you will eventually fire yourself.)

If you do this simple thing you can NEVER lose a lot of money on a
single trade. Would anyone make it a part of their plan that they
would allow a 30% loss? I hope not.

For more on how to plan your trades, the best teacher I know of is
Roger at the Rightline Split Report (free two week trial available)

Roger says to only risk two percent of your trading "pile" on any
single trade. If you have $100,000 you are investing/trading with, you
never let your loss on any single trade exceed $2000. So if you buy
2000 shares of a $10 stock, you sell the moment the stock goes to $9.
There will ALWAYS ALWAYS ALWAYS be another bus come by.

Ok, that's the sermon for today.

My oil sector light remains YELLOW. As low as the stocks are, they can
go lower. I see no fundamental changes to justify higher prices. These
stocks will not go back up like they did last year when they were
"fresh". Too many investors have found they aren't cut out for the oil
business. Sort of like participating in a cattle round-up...fun for a
while, but not the kind of living city boys can stomach day in and day
out.

Next report...from the streets of Oslo. (I hope.)