To: Jon Koplik who wrote (16510 ) 10/15/1998 1:13:00 AM From: Ruffian Respond to of 152472
Jon-All, Int'l telecom IPO's Bear Proof; Int'l telecom IPOs look to be almost bear-proof Investment Dealers Digest In the perilous new-issue market, massive stock offerings from state-owned telecommunication concerns are proving to be as far above the volatility fray as they come. In spite of bearish market conditions, price talk is expected today on [ Nikko Securities Co. ] 's and Goldman Sachs & Co.'s IPO for Japan's NTT Docomo-the mobile phone unit of Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Corp. -a transaction totaling as much as $19.8 billion. The deal, which is expected to hit the market October 22, could rank among the largest offerings ever. Also looking to issue sizable offerings in a shaky market are state-owned telecoms in Finland, Greece and Poland. Hopes for the success of such deals were buoyed last week when underwriters Warburg Dillon Read and [ J.P. Morgan ] priced the biggest global IPO of the year to date, a $5.6 billion behemoth offering for Switzerland's state-owned telecom Swisscom AG. "The fact that all these guys are in the market is an indication that {telecom deals} are about as bear market-proof as you can get, because they're big and safe," said one telecom banker. In the case of Docomo, even though Japan is slipping deeper into recession, the company is free of emerging market issues, operates in the world's second largest economy, and has good fundamental growth, experts say. In addition, because Docomo ranks among the largest cellular companies worldwide, it will likely be a stock almost all big telecom investors will have to hold and big-cap specialists will want to hold. Observers say Swisscom-which priced 22.1 million American Depository Shares at $25.30 apiece-benefited from similar circumstances. Aside from being a blue-chip telecom with good financials and very little exposure outside of developed Europe, the deal was the first-ever Swiss privatization and the country's largest equity offering. Bankers familiar with the transaction said that the deal also got a boost from its marketing. Price talk was wide at $23 to $29, allowing for market flexibility. It was also sold as an international institutional offering. "Switzerland is just not that big a country, so the idea is not that you're going to place 80% of it retail," said a capital markets chief. As for the impact of a Swisscom and other telecoms on a wounded equity market, reviews are mixed. To be sure, international and privatization deals in general have drawn out cautious American investors in recent weeks. Swisscom is just one of a handful of large international names to tap the market recently. German software company, [ iXOS ] , also sold three million ADRs at $20.75 apiece through Goldman Sachs last week. The German concern traded up a point in the aftermarket, while Swisscom bounced three points. But the market hasn't been all roses for other international deals, including one big telecom issue. Last Monday, [ France Telecom SA ] shelved a $7 billion deal, and the Italian government put the brakes on a $2.5 billion sale of shares by Banca Nazioanle del Lavoro. Both countries cited poor market conditions. Dutch financial services firm [ Fortis Amev NV ] also postponed a $2 billion offering. Elsewhere, recent offerings from Belgium's Mobistar NV and French insurer CNP opened to more reserved receptions. While the performance of foreign deals has been generally favorable, it has not been so strong that there will be a marked increase in the appetite for international paper, says David Menlow, president of IPO Financial Network Corp. "A company like Swisscom doesn't come around very often and the European markets are not awash in deals. So as a result, these seem to be more of a refuge for equity offerings," he said. (Copyright 1998) _____via IntellX_____ Publication Date: October 14, 1998 Powered by NewsReal's IndustryWatch ...back to top