Here it is, BAD NEWS FOR DEMS!
zogby.com
Our Latest Release~
October 15, 1998
Two in Three Likely Voters Angry Over Clinton-Lewinsky Affair
Majority of Likely Voters Blame the President
Republicans Still Lead in Congressional Generic
Pollster John Zogby: "Almost two out of three voters say that they are angry
about the Clinton-Lewinsky Affair and a majority overall are angriest at the
President. Seven in ten voters say that Clinton has no one to blame but himself
and a majority agree that the whole affair dragged on because Clinton refused
to tell the truth in the first place. While Democrats lead Republicans by three
points in the generic vote, it is customary in our polls that the Democrats must
be up by five in order to break even. What is of further importance here is that
one in three of those "undecided" voters say that the Clinton-Lewinsky Affair
will be important in determining their vote for Congress and by a factor or
thirty-five to twenty, they are more likely to vote Republican than Democrat.
By a factor of two to one, voters are less likely to vote for a candidate who
either voices support for or is campaigned on behalf of by the President.
"While a majority still oppose impeachment and removal from office, most who
prefer the President stay in office, agree that there should be some form of
punishment. Majorities continue to agree that the President should be
impeached if he either lied under oath before the grand jury or encouraged
anyone else to lie under oath."
The Zogby America Poll of 864 likely voters nationwide was conducted
Sunday through Tuesday (October -11-14, 1998). The poll has a margin of
sampling error of +/-3.5%. Error margins for sub-groups are higher.
Overall, how would you rate the performance of Bill Clinton as President
– Excellent, Good, Fair, or Poor?
Excellent 23.0 Good 32.7 Fair 18.9 Poor 24.3 Not sure 1.0
President Clinton's Job Performance Rating
Month
Positive
(Exc-Gd)
Negative
(Fr-Pr)
October 15, 1998
55.7
43.2
October 6, 1998
54.6
44.4
September 22, 1998
60.9
39.3
September 14, 1998
55.0
44.8
August 98
58.8
40.0
July 98
52.6
45.7
April 98
55.5
43.4
March 98
54.9
43.0
January 98
56.6
42.4
October 97
50.9
47.6
August 97
49.6
47.6
June 97
42.4
54.6
Please tell me if your overall impression of Bill Clinton is very favorable,
somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable -- you
are not familiar enough to make a judgment.
Very favorable 17.4 Somewhat favorable 28.4 Somewhat unfavorable 18.6
Very unfavorable 33.8 Not familiar 0.7 Not sure 1.1
President Clinton's Personal Favorable/Unfavorable Ratings
Month
Favorable
(Very or
Somewhat)
Unfavorable
(Very or Somewhat)
October 15, 1998
45.8
52.4
October 6, 1998
47.4
49.2
September 22,
1998
50.4
47.2
September 14,
1998
46.7
51.7
August 98
55.1
40.9
July 98
61.2
35.9
April 98
58.9
38.6
January 98
55.8
40.7
October 97
66.2
32.1
Are you proud or ashamed to have Bill Clinton as your president?
Proud 34.7 Ashamed 46.6 Not sure 18.7
Proud or Ashamed of Bill Clinton
Month
Proud
Ashamed
October 15, 1998
34.7
46.6
October 6, 1998
35.9
47.2
September 22, 1998
34.8
50.1
September 14, 1998
31.9
50.1
July 98
45.7
31.0
If a candidate for Congress this fall were to voice support for the
President, would that make you much more likely, more likely, less likely,
or much less likely to support that candidate or would it make no
difference?
Much more likely 6.6 More likely 9.5 Less likely 13.9
Much less likely 17.2 No difference 50.7 Not sure 2.1
If Candidate Supports President, How Likely to Vote for Candidate
More likely
Less likely
No difference
October 15, 1998
16.1
31.1
50.7
October 6, 1998
16.6
33.6
47.7
September 22, 1998
17.8
28.8
51.8
September 14, 1998
13.1
35.4
49.6
If the President were to campaign for a candidate for Congress, would
that make you much more likely, more likely, less likely, or much less
likely to support that candidate or would it make no difference?
Much more likely 7.0 More likely 8.6 Less likely 14.3
Much less likely 17.2 No difference 51.6 Not sure 1.3
If President Supports Candidate, How Likely to Vote for Candidate
More likely
Less likely
No difference
October 15, 1998
15.6
31.5
51.6
October 6, 1998
16.2
31.0
50.9
September 22, 1998
14.6
31.1
53.6
September 14, 1998
12.5
35.4
50.8
Should the House of Representatives vote yes or no to impeach the
President and send him to trial in the Senate?
Yes to impeach 39.0 No not impeach 55.9 Not sure 5.1
If the trial in the Senate were held today, should the Senate vote to
remove the President or keep him in office?
Remove 33.8 Keep 58.7 Not sure 7.5
What do you feel the best outcome of the Clinton-Lewinsky Affair should
be? (Those who say keep the President in office)
Censure the President 27.0 Impose a fine or loss of pension 24.6
President should resign 8.9 Other 23.2 Not sure 16.4
Are you angry about the Clinton-Lewinsky issue?
Yes 62.6 No 34.2 Not sure 3.2
Who are you most angry at, concerning the issue – Bill Clinton, Ken
Starr, the Democrats, or the Republicans?
Clinton 54.2 Starr 24.9 Democrats 1.1 Republicans 9.4 Other 6.7 Not sure
3.7
Statement Agreements A or B
A: The whole Clinton-Lewinsky Affair is the result of a conspiracy of
arch-conservatives who want to remove Clinton from office. 25.1
B: President Clinton has no one to blame for this but himself. 70.7
A: This has dragged on because the President refused to tell the truth in
the first place. The country could have been spared all of this. 54.7
B: Republicans want to stretch this out because it weakens Clinton –
helping them in the election. 39.3
Now that the President has admitted to lying under oath in his testimony
in the Paula Jones case, do you think he should consider leaving office?
Yes 46.7 No 47.1 Not sure 6.2
If President Lied in Paula Jones Case
Month
Should
consider
Should not
consider
October 15, 1998
46.7
47.1
October 6, 1998
52.4
40.4
September 22, 1998
43.9
52.4
September 14, 1998
45.3
46.4
August 22, 1998
45.4
47.7
August 19, 19 98
43.5
47.6
If it turns out that the President encouraged anyone else to lie under oath,
do you think he should consider leaving office?
Yes 58.0 No 36.0 Not sure 6.0
If President Encouraged Others to Lie
Month
Should
consider
Should not
consider
October 15, 1998
58.0
36.0
October 6, 1998
62.8
29.9
September 22, 1998
60.7
33.0
September 14, 1998
60.1
32.1
August 22, 1998
59.3
33.1
August 19, 19 98
64.0
31.0
If it turns out that the President lied under oath in his testimony before
the grand jury, do you think he should consider leaving office?
Yes 55.5 No 39.2 Not sure 5.3
If President Lied Before Grand Jury
Month
Should
consider
Should not
consider
October 15, 1998
55.5
39.2
October 6, 1998
59.1
33.0
September 22, 1998
55.7
38.5
September 14, 1998
57.3
35.5
August 22, 1998
59.3
33.5
August 19, 19 98
64.9
29.5
Pollster John Zogby: "Almost two out of three voters say that they are angry
about the Clinton-Lewinsky Affair and a majority overall are angriest at the
President. Seven in ten voters say that Clinton has no one to blame but himself
and a majority agree that the whole affair dragged on because Clinton refused
to tell the truth in the first place. While Democrats lead Republicans by three
points in the generic vote, it is customary in our polls that the Democrats must
be up by five in order to break even. What is of further importance here is that
one in three of those "undecided" voters say that the Clinton-Lewinsky Affair
will be important in determining their vote for Congress and by a factor or
thirty-five to twenty, they are more likely to vote Republican than Democrat.
By a factor of two to one, voters are less likely to vote for a candidate who
either voices support for or is campaigned on behalf of by the President.
"While a majority still oppose impeachment and removal from office, most who
prefer the President stay in office, agree that there should be some form of
punishment. Majorities continue to agree that the President should be
impeached if he either lied under oath before the grand jury or encouraged
anyone else to lie under oath."
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