To: Stephen B. Temple who wrote (1562 ) 10/16/1998 8:37:00 AM From: Stephen B. Temple Respond to of 3178
OT> MILLENNIUM BUG RAISES INTERNATIONAL CONCERN FOR GLOBAL NETWORKS October 16, 1998 MOBILE SATELLITE NEWS via NewsEdge Corporation -- As the year 2000 approaches, concerns have been raised by the FCC that the millennium computer glitch may wipe out public networks in some developing countries, leaving global satellite networks on the blink. "As long as satellite systems are on a global network, they should be okay-but if their terrestrial connections are not fixed for the Y2K problem, then [customers] won't be able to complete calls if the public switch telephone network (PSTN) is down," said Tom Tycz, FCC satellite radio-communications division chief. "For example, with all the problems Russia has been having with the ruble, they may not have time to fix their PSTN by 2000. If their terrestrial network is down at that point, you won't be able to complete calls to Russia (using a satellite cellular phone)." The FCC, the Satellite Industry Association (SIA), the Satellite Broadcasting and Communications Association (SBCA) and the International Telecommunication Union (ITU) have been informing foreign governments and foreign telecommunications companies about the Y2K problem in order to pinpoint possible solutions. But many satellite companies still may not know what effects the computer glitch will have on their ground stations and connectibility until after Jan. 1, 2000, said satellite industry consultant Mark Chartrand. "Satellites are only as good as the ground stations that connect them, " Chartrand said. "Systems that are dependent on stations are going to be in more trouble than those that aren't-and financial risks could be enormous if [satellite systems] are shut down for a long period of time. Overall, it's a hold-on-to-your-hats situation, because we just don't know what's going to happen." Globalstar L.P. [GSTRF], scheduled to launch service in 1999 following a Zenit rocket failure, has planned to create 50 to 60 gateways worldwide that will plug satellite calls into terrestrial phone lines-making Globalstar a direct target of the glitch. Though the company is taking measures to assess its systems, Jeanette Clonan, vice president of communications for Globalstar declined comment on year 2000 issues. International satellite carrier Comsat is working on identifying potential computer complications, but has not identified any problems with the 2000 switch-over. However, Comsat has set up a task force to address concerns made by the company's operators, distributors and affiliates, said Tom Surface, manager of public relations. "We are focusing on our identifying critical problems with both Intelsat and Inmarsat-to make sure they are compliant," he said, "but we have no reason to believe that Y2K will affect our ability to perform basic business functions." Clayton Mowry, director of the SIA, said that the inoperability of ground satellite systems poses the greatest threat if calls cannot be completed to countries that still make use of old wireline infrastructures. "The problem seems to be on the ground, not in space," Mowry said. "It seems that little is being done on the global scale in developing countries whose PSTN systems won't be able to receive messages." Mowry said the SIA and the FCC are working to get the message out to these areas to guard against the risk of connection failure. Since April, the FCC has held meetings and completed assessment reports on the status of satellite companies regarding Y2K awareness and risk management. Most large companies completed vulnerability assessments and are in the process of modifying systems to be year 2000-compliant by the beginning of 1999, according to the FCC. Since then, the scorecard from satellite manufacturers and distributors came back relatively confident in domestic telecommunications. Concern is now being placed on international satellite companies that may not be able to connect to the ground stations if those systems are not Y2K- ready. "Telecommunications relies on interconnected, international networks-and there's a legitimate concern between the ground stations and the PSTN," said an aide to FCC Commissioner Michael Powell. "For example if someone in Africa wants to talk to a neighboring country, they can only do that if [the satellite systems] are Y2K-ready. It must be a collectively engaged activity to raise the level of awareness to this issue." The FCC has had no indication from the major satellite companies to indicate problems with the satellite networks as testing will be performed on the birds prior to 2000 to ensure Y2K capability. "Satellites connect with almost every aspect of the global economy, and the FCC and the ITU are actively engaged to move the industry to ensure that users of telecommunications enjoy continuity of satellite services in 2000 as they do today-it's our number one goal," Commissioner Powell's aide said. Most analysts researching the year 2000 bug say it is too early to predict the impact the supposed systems crash will have on the financial markets, but think investors may halt transactions temporarily until systems are restored. "The worst case scenario would be that investors may stop trading until satellite companies can address [the glitch,]" said Ron Stearns, a market analyst for Frost & Sullivan. "The market is so important to the financial system that companies will most likely do whatever it takes to make sure transactions are recorded correctly."