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Gold/Mining/Energy : Winspear Resources -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Gord Bolton who wrote (8451)10/16/1998 12:38:00 PM
From: Jim P  Respond to of 26850
 
Hi Gord,

I agree with you to some extent. The markets now-a-days just doesn't react the same way. The 3,500,000 tons was in their Oct. 5/1998 release. As for tripling is size..the market already knows that..expects that...so how do you explain $1.35 a share. What reaction did the market have on Oct 5,1998? Ziltch if compared to our expectations. Its just the way it is.

Jim

Model 2: Assumes Combined Open pit and Underground Operation
(Processing Rate equals 1000 tonnes per day)
Assumed Total Tonnage of Kimberlite Mined: 3,500,000 tonnes
Mine Life 10 years
Assumed Ore Value(x) $Can400 / tonne
Assumed Diluted Ore Value $Can380.95 / tonne
Assumed Total Capital Costs $Can 103.8 million
Assumed Total Operating Costs Over Mine Life $Can 305.0 million
Total Cash Flow (Assuming Current NWT Tax Structure) $Can 572.4 million
Discounted Cash Flow Rate of Return (After Tax) 55.6%



To: Gord Bolton who wrote (8451)10/16/1998 4:22:00 PM
From: Sam  Respond to of 26850
 
Gord
you have a quite a few ifs in there
the biggest one is can they prove continuity of the value per ton .and the continuity of the macros ,this will be the big step to zoom this thing to the moon.
sam



To: Gord Bolton who wrote (8451)10/16/1998 4:43:00 PM
From: maintenance  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 26850
 
Assuming model 2 from MRDI, and assuming management , office and other overhead costs of $1,000,000 per year, and assuming 60% tax, and assuming 2 years to start production.

Tons/year...............350000
Rev/ton....................400
Cost/ton....................87
Net/ton....................313
Gross margin.........109550000
fixed costs............1000000
Gross profit.........108550000
Tax...................65130000
Net...................43420000

Ten year life.
Discounted at 10%.....227324376
Discounted 2 yrs......187871385.5
Startup cost..........103800000
NPV...................$84071385.5
NPV/Share..........$2.272199608

If you assume 2200 metres instead of 850, and all else
equal, you may get 25 year life, or NPV/Share of $5.99,
again at 10%