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Technology Stocks : The New QLogic (ANCR) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Technocrat who wrote (18666)10/17/1998 1:14:00 PM
From: George Dawson  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 29386
 
Technocrat,

I am with you 100% on the QLogic story. I think Emulex is also an early marker of FC business, especially now that they have spun off their printer(?) business.

For those interested in some QLogic financial details, please refer to this post:

techstocks.com

George D.



To: Technocrat who wrote (18666)5/14/2000 1:27:00 PM
From: Technocrat  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29386
 
For nostalgia, I decided to look back in the
SI archives to see when a link was made between
QLogic and Ancor as fibre channel plays. Look
at messages 18105, 18098, et al written back in
the fall of 1998. Seems like a long time ago in
Ancor years. Those were Ancor's darkest days by
the way.

We have all had roughly a week to think about
the merger and I am glad that the enlightened
and generally most knowledgeable posters have
grown to appreciate the deal. I have been on
travel for the whole week so Friday night was
my first opportunity to hear the Q's conference
call. I concur with the positive assessments
posted on the boards. What I kept hearing over
and over for DK Desai was the phrase:

"We spoke to our customers and *THEY* said ..."

He used this phrase to amplify the superiority
of Ancor technology, the need for viable second
source in FC switching, the technical skills of
Ancor engineers, etc., etc. From a Wall Street
perspective, they can easily fill in the blanks
about whom Desai is referencing. In case the
analysts were too dense to figure out which OEMs
were alluded to, the CEO would helpfully use his
own customer list in the same breath. The guy
purportedly representing Fidelity was actually
backing up in a defensive mode.

I disagree with the early extrapolations about how
a unmerged Ancor duking it out all by its lonesome
will vanquish all comers in its space. The
folks with this opinion were forgetting that
momentum has two variables: mass and velocity.
A merger adds a lot of mass to the equation
plus it would take a year or two of performance
before Ancor management would be rewarded with
the high multiples that QLogic, Brocade, and
Cisco enjoy.

Timing is everything in high tech. Ancor has some
hot intellect. property and a tech lead. They needed to
capitalize on this evaporating advantage as soon
as possible. Note that DK said the R&D ramp costs
would not be impacted. In some sense, Ancor just
gained a much larger sales force and public relations
department.

No one has mentioned it yet, but what do you think
is going through the minds of Emulex and its
customers?

In closing, consider the foothold that Q has that
Ancor and Brocade have yet to achieve. Look at
the white papers which have kicked up the most
interest in the technical community. For example,
check out "Intel Server Cluster Using VI Architecture
for Multi-Tier Internet-based Enterprise Applications"
which uses the Merrill Lynch operation as a backdrop.
The cover has logos of Clarion (now EMC), Dell,
Giganet, IBM, Intel, Microsoft, and QLogic. This
kind of publicity is so far beyond the 1999 Ancor
that I do not have to think twice about the advantages
of a merger.