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Strategies & Market Trends : Buffettology -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: peter michaelson who wrote (436)10/18/1998 1:42:00 AM
From: James Clarke  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4691
 
<<The part I enjoyed most about doing buy-outs was the Eureka when you
start to truly understand what drives the business. I used to say there were four or five key factors in each business which really drove the financial projections. Many CEO and CFO's were so busy juggling scores of variables that they forgot which were the really important ones.>>

Very well said, and worth reading again and again. That "Eureka" is the key to good investing in my book. Most of my best investments looked interesting enough to dig deeper, then at some point I got that "Eureka" feeling when it all came together and I understood what I was looking at. Sometimes that Eureka was valuation - like "Jeepers! This puppy is worth three times what its trading at." Other times it was what the above post reflects. When all of a sudden you understand that you're looking at a great business, and nobody else sees it, it is a great feeling. [Dig into Ambac (ABK) if you like financial stocks - or even if you don't - and don't stop until you say Eureka. Trust me.] And the post also reflects another thing - it is usually very simple - a couple of key points. Peter Lynch says you should be able to draw any good investment with a crayon. And most great businesses can be explained in two sentences. It is so hard to practice that - I find my WORST investments come when I get to clever and try to create a complex investment case where it doesn't exist.