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Technology Stocks : Ascend Communications (ASND) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Tim Luke who wrote (56124)10/20/1998 8:44:00 AM
From: gbh  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 61433
 
Here's some insight into that $8.7M balance sheet item relating to financing of CLEC purchases.

Wrong! Rear Echelon Revelations:
Junk Market Troubles Hit Home

By James J. Cramer
10/20/98 12:15 AM ET

Wall Street hit Main Street with a vengeance last night on
the Ascend (ASND:Nasdaq) conference call. It seems that
the competitive local exchange carriers needed financing to
buy equipment, financing from Ascend.

Hmmm. For many as long as I can remember, the junk bond
market provided that financing. Now the suppliers have to
supply that financing. With that financing comes reserves for
potential slow payments, and a whole slew of questions
about the real gross margins on that business.

The illiquidity of the corporate junk bond market is finally
hitting home. I have been waiting for some sign that Wall
Street's meltdown had to impact corporate infrastructure
spending, but I didn't think I would hear about it during
Ascend's call.

You could tell it spooked people on the call, but I can't say
we should not have seen this coming. These companies
have been shut out from the capital markets for the time
being but they have to complete their build-outs. The best
way to do it is to pit one supplier against another and see
who blinks (meaning who ponies up the most financing, or
the best terms). From the looks of things, Ascend did the
ponying.

I suspect that until the junk market comes back, anybody
who relies on junk financing to buy capital goods will have to
curtail spending or find a supplier willing to provide that
financing.

All in all, it makes for a new wrinkle in the telco equipment
story. How much of it is in the stocks? That's what we will
find out this morning, when word gets out that the Ascends
of the world are now, reluctantly, in the banking business.