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To: Steve Porter who wrote (22960)10/20/1998 12:02:00 PM
From: joe  Respond to of 45548
 


Steve or anybody,

RE: sam's post

Message 6084039

TI's earnings report states(actually this is Briefing.com):

"visibility into 1999 market growth for TI's core businesses remains limited due to uncertain world economies, as well as the
timing of recovery in the modem and hard-disk drive markets."

and

"Revenues in the analog business declined about 11 percent from
the year-ago quarter, almost all of which was due to weakness in the hard-disk drive market."

I think these are Briefing.com's words, and they're just rehashing
what they've read from the actual financial report. I get the
impression they are lumping together disk drives and modems. It's
true that modem sales are probably slow but so what else is
new. The thing is we should see the beginnings of sequential growth.

Comparing yr/yr I'm not sure is that meaningful, since last year's
sales weren't that great either and mostly sold 28.8K modems (my
impression). This is not a good comparision, because the real
question is how well the 56K modems are picking up.

I'll try to read the "real" financial statement from TI and
see if it clarifies...

also,

"Semiconductor orders in the third quarter were down 13 percent from the year-ago quarter, primarily due to continuing weakness
in the modem and hard- disk drive markets. Orders were up sequentially by about 8 percent, mainly due to growth in wireless
chipsets."

This could indicate that modems are picking up this quarter,
but it's hard to say, since they're lumping together different
type of products.

joe