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Gold/Mining/Energy : Trump's 12 Diamond Picks, Discussions Limited -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: maintenance who wrote (1402)10/20/1998 9:12:00 PM
From: bill  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2251
 
There's a lot of thrashing around on the WSP thread. Obviously, whatever is driving the price has not been leaked to anyone who
is posting. My guess is that something fundamental has changed.
Look at the volume on no news. ABZ is down. Howsthat? ABZ people
selling their shares and buying WSP? There was one million shares
traded earlier but the price went down. Buying a few days later
in anticipation of caustic fusion results? I don't believe it.
The volume down and volume up days are too close for that.

Watching the trades today was instructive. The offers were constantly
being hit. When buying slacked, as usual at mid-day, the price
dropped back slightly from around 1.56 but it soon climbed back
up on a series of bids that took out offers. Some thing changed
yesterday when the buying started. News only insiders know?
If so, they're betting big that whatever has changed in the equation is important (and changed in a way that until yesterday was not
anticipated).

George, or Walt, are either of you out there? Walt, how tight is
security for WSP? Usually rumours are quick to surface in the
north. People should be back in town after wrapping up the drilling
program for the summer. If they've been back for awhile, then the
news isn't coming out of the camp. That means it's got to be
with the core and samples taken this summer and now being tested.



To: maintenance who wrote (1402)10/20/1998 10:05:00 PM
From: Letmebe Frank  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2251
 
Maintenance: Assuming you crunched the numbers correctly, and your assumptions are sound, then using your low WSP NPV of 6.32 and ABZ's high of 4.18 (to be conservative!) and wanting an equivalent share price to NPV between ABZ and WSP, we get 7.95*6.32/4.18 = $12.02 per WSP share.

I'm not sure if this is a fair way of comparing share prices, but if what you calculated is correct, and it is a fair way to compare these companies, it means if the market valued WSP and ABZ fairly, either WSP is worth 12 buckaroos, or ABZ is very under priced. I suspect both.

Any comments?