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Strategies & Market Trends : Point and Figure Charting -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Smooth Drive who wrote (8855)10/21/1998 6:10:00 PM
From: Bwe  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 34811
 
Before I start off this message, let me start off by saying that you're the man!!!! That being said, let me make sure we're on the same page with regard to the RBSL for PFE. As you know, I get Chartcraft's Quarterly Options chartbook and hand chart and update from those. Often times, however, those charts will only go back 2 or so years in a stock that is fairly volatile. On PFE's chart, I was unable to see where the original BSL began. DWA's chart matched your chart if you'll recall our pm's, but the RBSL that I drew in below the $41 low after the two double bottom sells in March and April was my guiding light. In your post, you wrote about a sell at $42. I'm assuming you meant at $41 in April. Whatever. I started my RBSL at the subsequent low, coincidently at $41, 4/97. See Figure 9-2 page 157, the chart of Buffets, for an example of how I drew in PFE's RBSL.
The RBSL's at $41 and $52 were realistic BSL's and uptrend guides for PFE for almost 1 1/2 years. Michael Burke also used these RBSL's as his guide during our discussions on this very topic. You must distinguish between the RBSL and the Short Term Uptrend Line (STUL) which does not require a sell signal in order to draw it in. Aby discusses STUL's on pages 161 - 166.
Being the long term player that I am, A RBSL that extends over a long period of time that has been tested, is, to me, as valid as the original, if not more so due to it's battle tested scars. The theory behind the RBSL is the same as the original BSL, so a break of the RBSL that has been clearly in charge of the chart for a long period will alter my "trading channel". The longer the RBSL is in charge, the more credence I give it.

Your rambling pal,
Bruce