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To: The Ox who wrote (30989)10/21/1998 3:36:00 PM
From: SliderOnTheBlack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95453
 
EIA news ???'s & the move on crude oil today..

Today totally leaves me dazed & confused, but on the positive side for once... Ohhhh to leave money on the table.

Where were the buyers earlier in Sept when we had better crude news and more positive price momenteum ? Is the street sensing that the bulk of meaningfull tax loss selling is done here, or is it just the flow of cash into mutual funds that has to be put to work here ?

I can not believe that crude moved this well on the EIA news. Had to be tremendous short pressure here of late; which was why I could not figure out, why the price of crude had dropped so severly here of late; in light of the lack of negative news... Now the answer is clear; traders were heavilly short anticipating bad news; they got mildly (?) positive news, or at least ''not'' bad news and covered shorts here spiking crude up today. This totally surprised me here.

I also do not understand this move in the OSX today... obviously Institutional managers putting money to work here...

Between the EIA & API conflicting numbers - predicting Crude's move here is impossible ???

I guess the ''play'' is to be here; knowing that 6 months out the odds are great that equilibrium will return to crude's supply & demand equation.

I'm still expecting a retracement here, but hope I see support, backing & filling and a move continued forward...

We are in interesting times in the old Oilpatch .