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To: Anthony Wong who wrote (952)10/22/1998 2:29:00 AM
From: Anthony Wong  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1722
 
SunAmerica's Gannon Buying Bank, Drug Shares: Bloomberg Forum

Bloomberg News
October 21, 1998, 6:33 p.m. ET

New York, Oct. 21 (Bloomberg) -- The slide in U.S. stocks in
recent months offered an opportunity to buy shares of fast-
growing drug and regional bank companies such as Pfizer Inc. and
Fleet Financial Group Inc., said SunAmerica Asset Management's
Francis Gannon.

Regional banks are benefiting from the Federal Reserve's two
reductions in short-term interest rates, while drug companies are
posting gains in sales volume thanks to new products, Gannon told
the Bloomberg Forum.

The U.S. is likely to avoid a recession, meaning corporate
profits will continue to grow and the market will head higher, he
said.

''We might be able to look back upon this year, at the 7400-
7500 level (on the Dow Jones Industrial Average), as a great
level to invest money in the market,'' said Gannon, who oversees
$1 billion as head of large-capitalization stocks for SunAmerica.

While many companies can't raise prices to boost revenue,
drug companies can notch higher sales -- and 20 to 30 percent
earnings growth -- by releasing new products, he said.

Some of the drug stocks are expensive as measured by the
price-to-earnings ratio. When they drop, Gannon buys.

He bought Merck on Aug. 31, when it slumped 8.9 percent and
the Dow industrials fell 6.3 percent. Gannon also added to his
holdings of Pfizer recently, and owns shares of Warner-Lambert
Co. and Schering-Plough Corp.

''Top-line growth is something we really have to focus on in
this market because that's just pure growth,'' he said. ''The
earnings growth can be manipulated on the way down.''

Gannon bought shares of Fleet and First Union Corp. last
week when the Fed cut rates for the second time in a little more
than two weeks. ''They're going to be able make more money in
this environment,'' he said. ''You're going to see some of their
net interest margins expand again instead of contract as we saw
over the last couple of quarters.

''You also have the possibility of further consolidation as
well, and if nothing does happen, you still have 14-15 percent
growers in the meantime.''

Lofty Expectations

Corporate earnings overall should rise about 5 percent in
1999, Gannon said, with the economy growing at about 1.5 to 2
percent -- slower than recent years, yet respectable numbers
given that the U.S. is in its ninth year of economic growth.

Analysts who follow the companies in the Standard & Poor's
500 Index expect them to post growth in operating earnings of
19.2 percent next year, according to First Call Corp.

Gannon considers those assumptions overly optimistic, but
he's not too troubled by them. ''What you've seen every quarter
this year has been expectations coming down as the quarter
progresses, and then the market reacting positively (when
companies beat) the new, lower expectations, which is what I
think you see going on right now in the marketplace,'' he said.

Gannon's portfolios include the SunAmerica Balanced Asset
Fund, which is 64 percent invested in stocks, 30 percent in fixed-
income securities and 6 percent in cash. He cut the equity
weighting as low as 58 percent over the summer as the market slid
from the record highs set in mid-July.

''Clearly, with the Fed getting involved on a more proactive
basis last week, what you are going to see is you have
established a kind of a bottom in the market,'' he said.

Other additions to Gannon's holdings lately: credit-card
companies Capital One Financial Corp. and Providian Financial
Corp.

He also bought economically sensitive stocks, such as timber
company Weyerhaeuser Co. and Aluminum Co. of America. ''A lot of
the growth is going to come back to these names in the second
half and the beginning of next year'' because of the Fed's rate
cuts, he said.

--Phil Serafino in the New York newsroom (212) 318-2358 /ag