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Strategies & Market Trends : Position Trading Forum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Glenn who wrote (4004)	10/21/1998 8:35:00 PM
From: Keith Sprague	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 7247

Glenn, Here is why I bought XYLN: Estimated growth rate in the future (based on CC): 25-30% Next Years Earnings Est: 1.07 Current P/E based on next years est: 14.14 Fair Value based on forecasted growth (IMO): $32-$35 I base my valuation on the fact that the company will grow above the industry average, which was mentioned as 25% in the CC. I also throw in a couple of bucks for earnings consistency recently. That is my fair value of XYLN, without taking into account any merger possibilities. Throw that in the mix, and IMO, this stock could see $40 sometime next year if they are not acquired before that point. I doubt I will hold til $40, but I do plan on holding until $30-35. Just my take on XYLN.

To: Glenn who wrote (4004)	10/21/1998 10:40:00 PM
From: aps	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 7247

your stop orders will be taken out and the price brought back up again... this is very normal with mm behavior. They can look at stops and limits and manipulate them to their advantage. xyln on its own has the potential of being a 25+ stock within six months. Could it get acquired tomorrow ..yes, but if it doesn't that will not mean that they will not get bought...we may just have to wait.