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Strategies & Market Trends : Telebras (TBH) & Brazil -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: MGV who wrote (9125)10/23/1998 1:23:00 PM
From: Steve Fancy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 22640
 
Brazil sees telecom shares trading in U.S. in Nov

Reuters, Friday, October 23, 1998 at 12:50

BRASILIA, Oct 23 (Reuters) - Shares in the 12 recently
privatized units of Brazilian telecommunications holding
Telebras SA (SAO:TEL_.P) should begin trading in the United
States in November, Communications Minister Luiz Carlos
Mendonca de Barros said Friday.
"There are two or three probable dates for the register (of
the shares) in November," Mendonca de Barros told reporters.




To: MGV who wrote (9125)10/23/1998 1:25:00 PM
From: Steve Fancy  Respond to of 22640
 
Brazil's Cardoso eyes key Sao Paulo governor race

Reuters, Friday, October 23, 1998 at 07:44

(Adds latest polls for election)
By John Miller
SAO PAULO, Oct 22 (Reuters) - Brazilians in the powerful
state of Sao Paulo will choose a governor on Sunday who may
ultimately determine how quickly President Fernando Henrique
Cardoso can put the nation's wobbly economy on firmer ground.
Cardoso desperately needs an ally in the Sao Paulo
governor's mansion when he sends unpopular austerity measures
to Congress, where the governor can influence the outcome and
pace of voting.
Leading a population over twice the size of Chile's and a
$300 billion economy nearly on a par with Argentina's, Sao
Paulo state governors play a major role in national politics.
Cardoso, who was re-elected Oct. 4 for a second term, has
little time to streamline public finances before incessant
capital flight forces a punishing currency devaluation in Latin
America's top economy, economists say.
But the close Sao Paulo race is so important that he has
delayed announcing sweeping tax increases and budget cuts to
avoid hampering his longtime friend, Mario Covas, in Sunday's
vote.
Covas, seeking a second consecutive term as governor, has
made a comeback in recent polls. Late Thursday Globo Television
showed a poll issued by private research firm IBOPE where Covas
had overtaken his rival, right-wing populist Paulo Maluf.
The survey gave the 68-year-old social democrat 45 percent
of the vote, up seven points from last week -- ahead of the 42
percent accorded to Maluf, a former mayor of Sao Paulo city.
A similar IBOPE poll 10 days ago put Covas at 38 percent
against 45 percent for Maluf. The margin of error in both polls
was 2.2 percentage points.
Neither man drew a simple majority of the vote on Oct. 4,
forcing the runoff.
Numbering 34 million people and accounting for a third of
Brazilian economic output, Sao Paulo is the nation's most
wealthy state and its governor's race has eclipsed 12 others
being contested on the same day.
"Cardoso would rather give up all the other races if he
were assured he could take Sao Paulo," said David Fleischer, a
political scientist at the University of Brasilia.
"The Sao Paulo governor has tremendous economic power and
the state political machine can exact a lot of influence over
other states, especially in the northeast," he said.
Covas has won praise from economists for putting Sao
Paulo's financial house in order by restructuring the state's
massive debt, laying off over 100,000 civil servants and
selling inefficient state businesses.
But his achievements did not make for a populist campaign
platform and he barely drew enough votes on Oct. 4 to make it
to the second round.
Maluf's tough, law-and-order talk and his impressive track
record in delivering huge public works projects like subways
and tunnels make the 67-year-old engineer a formidable
political opponent.
He is widely expected to launch a bid for the presidency in
2002 should he win the Sao Paulo governorship.
Still, his bombastic style and involvement in a number of
questionable deals as mayor of Sao Paulo -- even his supporters
say "He steals, but gets things done" -- hurt him in a recent
televised debate with Covas, analysts say.
Earlier this year Maluf took his tough stance on crime a
little too far when he made a prank telephone call to an
emergency operator to show a journalist how slow police
reaction time was. They arrived at his office in just eight
minutes, demanding an explanation.
While Maluf may not directly oppose Cardoso's austerity
measures in Congress, any support will almost certainly come at
a price to Cardoso's cash-strapped federal government.
"Maluf would probably ask for more favorable terms in
negotiating state debt and for more public works, money for
things like transportation," said Guilhon Albuquerque, a
political scientist at the University of Sao Paulo.

Copyright 1998, Reuters News Service



To: MGV who wrote (9125)10/23/1998 1:29:00 PM
From: Steve Fancy  Respond to of 22640
 
IMF, Brazil loan talks nearly over - IMF

Reuters, Friday, October 23, 1998 at 09:47

RIO DE JANEIRO, Oct 23 (Reuters) - Talks between the
International Monetary Fund and Brazil over an expected $30
billion aid package for Brazil were nearly completed, but there
was no set date for any announcement, an IMF spokesman said
Friday.
"The negotiations are heading toward a conclusion," the
spokesman said, adding: "There is nothing forecast for next
week...there is no date for an announcement."
IMF Deputy Managing Director Stanley Fischer and Brazilian
Finance Minister Pedro Malan were meeting to talk about
Brazil's as yet unannounced plan to save an expected $20
billion next year and qualify for financial support.
Fischer told reporters in Argentina Thursday that Brazil
and the IMF might reach agreement over the loan as early as
next week.
The IMF spokesman declined to comment on reports that the
IMF might provide half the expected $30 billion aid package.
"The Brazilian government has said Brazil's financing needs
were around $30 billion....how that would be divided up is
something to be talked about later," he said.
He also said the announcement of any agreement with the IMF
would be made by the Brazilian government.
Financial markets in Brazil and around the world are
waiting for details of Brazil's austerity plan, which would
pave the way for the IMF-led credit to see Latin America's
biggest economy through its deep financial crisis.
The World Bank, the Inter-American Development Bank and
possibly the G-7 group of industrialized nations are also
expected to take part in the package.
A Russia-style currency collapse in Brazil, the world's
ninth largest economy, might plunge the region into recession
and hurt the world economy as well, economists have said.
william.schomberg@reuters.com))

Copyright 1998, Reuters News Service



To: MGV who wrote (9125)10/23/1998 1:34:00 PM
From: Steve Fancy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 22640
 
Latam stocks leap as Brazil outlook brightens

Reuters, Friday, October 23, 1998 at 07:41

By Michael Christie
MEXICO CITY, Oct 22 (Reuters) - Most Latin American markets
leaped on Thursday on hopes Brazil would soon get international
credit lines to protect it from a currency meltdown while
domestic news in Mexico and Venezuela gave an added shot of
adrenaline to the bolsas there.
With International Monetary Fund officials seeing a
multibillion-dollar financing deal within two weeks, Brazil's
Bovespa index in Sao Paulo closed 3.4 percent higher at 7603
points after a late surge.
Brazil faced massive capital flight after investors thought
it might have to follow Russia's lead in mid-August and devalue
its currency, the real.
But the heat on Brazil has since cooled after promises of
loans from the IMF, which Director Stanley Fischer suggested
could amount to $30 billion, and pledges by Brazil of measures
to slash its 7.0 percent of gross domestic product deficit.
"People are confident about the (fiscal) measures and the
(loan) package that should be coming," a trader in Brazil said.
The positive outlook, after months of uncertainty and
turmoil that had put the global economy on the brink of a
recession, also helped Argentine shares to end sharply higher.
The MerVal index in Buenos Aires climbed 4.37 percent to
close at 463.36 points with traders and analysts noting that
IMF endorsement of any Brazilian financial plan must mean it
was a good one.
Likewise in Chile, where the IPSA index ended 2.83 percent
higher at 68.72 points.
In Mexico and Venezuela, local developments added spice to
the cheer.
In Mexico, the increasing likelihood of a deal over $60
billion in bad bank loans sent banking shares flying up to 10
percent higher, taking some of the pain off their near 80
percent plunge so far this year.
News reports said the government and Congress were close to
agreement on a package of discounts for small mortgage holders
in return for turning into public debt the $60 billion of bank
debt piled up in the Fobaproa fund since the 1995 peso crisis.
The Fobaproa controversy, which has raged since March,
allegations of money laundering in the United States and the
general ill financial condition of the banks have slaughtered
their share value this year.
Mexico City's IPC share index gained 4.6 percent to end at
4025.99 points while the peso managed to close below 10 to the
dollar for the first time since Sept. 2.
In Venezuela, it was a poll showing a Yale-educated
economist had pulled even with former coup leader Hugo Chavez
in the country's presidential race which helped the battered
Caracas stock exchange grab back some terrain.
The IBC index added 2.1 percent to close at 3381.98 points
after publication of the Mercanalisis survey, which gave
Henrique Salas, the businessman's preferred candidate, 38
percent against 39 percent for Chavez.
mexicocity.newsroom@reuters.com))

Copyright 1998, Reuters News Service



To: MGV who wrote (9125)10/23/1998 3:39:00 PM
From: Steve Fancy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 22640
 
Quick question Mark, Armin, anyone who can answer. What impact might this Brazil bailout plan have on banks. I'm thinking this might be the catalyst to move UBB higher.

Anyone have a quick opinion before the close today?

sf