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Strategies & Market Trends : Point and Figure Charting -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Al Serrao who wrote (9022)10/24/1998 7:53:00 PM
From: XOsDaWAY2GO  Respond to of 34822
 
I just remembered the show in Canada, and I can't figure out how to get hooked up to it. It's really quiet around here, is that the reason why? Everyone's at the Canadian show?



To: Al Serrao who wrote (9022)10/24/1998 8:01:00 PM
From: HiSpeed  Respond to of 34822
 
Depends whether you are buying BEN for a trade or LT. The stock was in a trading range of 26-32 until the rate cut announcement. Given that BEN missed earnings et al, the FA on the company isn't looking very good. I wouldn't be surprised to see the stock drift back down into the trading range of the past couple months. OTOH if the FED announces another rate cut, BEN will probably ramp with the rest of bank sector. Also, it could be argued that at its current price, much of the bad news has already been priced into stock. I WAS gonna go long in the 30-32 range but the earnings report looked so bad I'll be holding out for 20-25. The stock is about 40% off its high and down approximately 20% for this year. jmo



To: Al Serrao who wrote (9022)10/25/1998 11:14:00 AM
From: Ms. X  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 34822
 
P&F Study Group? Anyone live here in the Bay Area or close?

I was thinking it would be fun to get together for a little P&F study group. I can go over questions and how to use the different signals, market conditions yadda yadda. This would be good for newbies and stealth P&Fers.

If anyone is interested let me know. We could decide on a place to meet and I'll assign someone to bring the white board and crayons :-)

Lemme know,

Jan I am



To: Al Serrao who wrote (9022)10/26/1998 6:41:00 PM
From: Bwe  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 34822
 
How are you, Al. Just some commentary about BEN from my perspective. As sometimes happens, there's a difference between the post split chart for Franklin Resources between DWA and Chartcraft. On the DWA chart, the BSL was broken in August at $42. The Chartcraft chart is always my official guide and BEN's BSL was broken at $48 in July. If there was any doubt about selling on the BSL break, then the spread Triple Bottom sell at $47, also in July was the clincher. The Bearish resistance Line which is in charge of the chart was drawn at the June $55 high and the BRL is currently at $44. The stock had a long tail down pattern when it reversed after 25 straight boxes at $29. That was the start of an Ascending Triple Top pattern (a regular Bullish Signal pattern with one additional column where a column of X's surpasses the previous column of X's) and that led to a great move to $38. The stock is now one box away from a HPT pattern at $32. If it moves to $32, the odds are that the stock will revisit the previous lows at $26. There's good support at that price as the stock has turned around 3 previous times at that level.
As for an entry point, I'd see if the stock moves into a HPT pattern at $32. If the HPT rears it's ugly head, I'd look to enter between $25 - $30 depending on the market and sector strength according to the Bullish %'s. If the stock can turn around from this level, $36 would be the 3 box reversal entry point and on that reversal, a move to $39 would be a catapult that could move the stock to the BRL. BEN needs to break the BRL to turn from a trading situation to a long term play. The RS is already supportive of a bullish main trend. All that's needed is a break of the BRL.

All IMHO, Big Al.

Take care,
Bruce