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Biotech / Medical : T/FIF Portfolio -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: tnsaf who wrote (174)10/26/1998 10:02:00 AM
From: Russian Bear  Respond to of 1073
 
Jason,

Thanks for the Karnofsky Scale information. It is my understanding that squamous cell carcinoma of the lung is a rather common form of lung cancer (particularly linked to smoking,) accounting for approximately one third of all lung cancer cases (or, possibly 1/3 of NSCLC cases -- I don't remember which.) Additionally, I understand that it tends to be asymptomatic (other than, perhaps, a persistent, dry cough) until the late stages, and so most such patients, I would imagine, should probably score >=90 on the KPS. So, while the amendment to the Phase III protocol is hardly a positive development, I expect that Neu-Sensamide could still retain a claim on a rather robust market, assuming that the newly-narrowed Phase III yields sufficiently encouraging results. Does anyone have reason to disagree with this?

(Although, I must agree with Rick -- the mane has to go.) ;-)

...............
OXGN's financial data continue to look good to me:

- $50 million market cap.

- $50 million tax-loss carry-forward.

- $33 million (estimate) cash/equivalents currently on the books. The burn rate is not particularly high ($2.8 million, last quarter,) although it will likely accelerate, going forward. Management indicated in the last 10Q that current levels of funding are expected to be sufficient through 12/2000.

- OXGNW represent a worst-case dilution of only 8%, and only in the event that OXGN appreciates to over 14 3/8 by the end of 1999. (Because the term of the warrants was already extended once, without a reduction of the exercise price, I am assuming that the exercise price will not be lowered in the future.)

...............
Cambretastatin is scheduled to enter the clinic within the next two months. Pre-clinicals were very encouraging. In addition to that press release, here is an interesting abstract (thanks, Dwight Martin, OXGN thread:)
ncbi.nlm.nih.gov


Thanks and best regards,
RB