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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: XiaoYao who wrote (11797)10/26/1998 8:51:00 AM
From: ToySoldier  Respond to of 74651
 
Morning folks!!!

NT: Who Needs It? -- Look before you leap into NT 5.0-it's not for everyone.

John D. Ruley

You're running Windows 95 or maybe 98. You hear all the talk about NT 5.0 being the next business operating system. And you wonder: Do I need to switch?

techweb.com



To: XiaoYao who wrote (11797)10/26/1998 10:56:00 AM
From: Charles Tutt  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74651
 
You may be right. Nonetheless, that doesn't affect my assertion that ed is wrong when he claims IE was never free; an all-Unix shop can use the Unix version of IE for free (although few probably do). I've also always thought the availability of Unix IE was enigmatic to Microsoft's claim that IE is necessarily "integrated" with Windows.

JMHO.



To: XiaoYao who wrote (11797)10/26/1998 2:43:00 PM
From: XiaoYao  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74651
 
Microsoft Refrain: Who Was Harmed?
By STEVE LOHR

10/26/98
The New York Times
Page 4, Column 1
c. 1998 New York Times Company


The Microsoft Corporation's defense in the antitrust trial that began last week boils down to one question: Where's the harm?

John Warden, Microsoft's lead lawyer, never quite uttered those words. But he nonetheless posed the question in hundreds of ways in his raspy baritone drawl during the three days that he cross-examined the Government's lead witness, James L. Barksdale, the president and chief executive of the Netscape Communications Corporation.

Microsoft stands accused by the Justice Department and 20 states of being a new-age monopolist, bullying other companies so that it could stifle competition in the Internet software market. Netscape, the early leader in the market for software used to browse the World Wide Web, was the main target of Microsoft's illegal campaign, the Government contends.

Mr. Warden used his combative cross-examination of Mr. Barksdale as a forum for trying to make Microsoft's case. With his pointed questions, Mr. Warden sought to establish that while Microsoft was assuredly aggressive and powerful, there was scant evidence that its behavior resulted in the effects that classic antitrust doctrine deems illegal -- namely, raising prices or restricting output so that consumers suffer.

The Government contends that Microsoft bundled its Internet Explorer browser with its industry-standard Windows operating system and gave the browser away free to crush Netscape. Microsoft replies that it folded its browser into its operating system as a convenience to consumers.

Mr. Warden tried to drive home the point with a sarcastic question: ''Mr. Barksdale, do you think consumers would be better off if Microsoft had not given the browser away free, in your hypothetical world?''

Mr. Barksdale replied that in the long run he thought consumers would benefit if Microsoft had not made the browser free because the move had eliminated the incentives for other companies to enter the browser market with innovative products.

Still, Mr. Warden made his point: to side with the Government, a court must favor a would-have-been world of hypothetically greater innovation instead of the present, which has not yet created widespread consumer dissatisfaction. Where's the harm?

From every imaginable angle of interrogation, Mr. Warden hit the same theme.

The Government has contended that through exclusionary deals with computer makers and gateway services to the Internet like America Online, Microsoft made it more difficult and expensive for Netscape to distribute its browser. Microsoft's power to engage in this exclusionary behavior, the Government adds, derives from the ''chokehold'' monopoly the company enjoys because 90 percent of all personal computers run the Windows operating system.

But isn't it true, Mr. Warden asked pointedly, that 26 million copies of Netscape's browser were downloaded over the Internet during the first eight months of this year? ''I wouldn't dispute the number,'' Mr. Barksdale replied.

Mr. Warden then introduced internal Netscape documents showing that the company plans to distribute 159 million copies of its browser over the next 12 months. He asked Mr. Barksdale for an estimate of the number of Web sites from which computer users can download Netscape software, and Mr. Barksdale replied that there were said to be more than 20,000 such Web sites.

''Isn't it true,'' Mr. Warden asked, ''that any home user who has a PC and an Internet connection may freely choose at no cost Netscape's Web-browsing software?''

Mr. Barksdale replied testily, and reasonably, that most people don't take the time and trouble to download software. That, he said, gives Microsoft a big advantage because of its deals making Internet Explorer the main browser offered by leading personal computer companies and America Online, which are the key distribution channels to home users.

Still, Mr. Warden's point was made. Microsoft's monopoly appears to be a pretty leaky chokehold, at least when it comes to software distribution in the Internet era. Where's the harm?

And Mr. Warden got personal with Mr. Barksdale. Microsoft's strategy against Netscape may have been to ''cut off their air supply,'' in the memorable phrase of one senior Microsoft executive. And competing with Microsoft has been difficult, but the result could scarcely be characterized as financial ruin for Netscape and its leaders. Mr. Warden asked Mr. Barksdale to calculate the value of his Netscape shares. More than $100 million, he replied. Where's the harm?

With this line of defense, antitrust experts say, Microsoft is playing a strong hand. As William E. Kovacic, a visiting professor at the George Washington University Law School observes: since the mid-1970's, when the United States began facing more global economic competition, Federal courts have tended to view big companies as engines of innovation and economic efficiency that should be left alone, unless their behavior can be proved to harm consumers.

The judgment of the courts, Mr. Kovacic notes, has been that the antitrust laws should not be used to put ''saddlebags on thoroughbreds.''

But in its case, the Government is asking the court to weigh considerations beyond the current welfare of consumers and health of the industry that Microsoft dominates.

''The Justice Department is saying that we want the race of modern capitalism to be a fast one, but we also want to make sure that the winner succeeds because he is the fastest runner not because he tripped the guy next to him,'' said Carl Shapiro, a professor at the University of California at Berkeley and a former senior official in the Justice Department's antitrust division.

The Government has contended that in specific meetings with Netscape, Intel and Apple Computer, for example, Microsoft sought to intimidate rivals and bully its partners to help it curb competition. Look closely at what Microsoft did, the prosecutors say, and the picture that emerges is of a monopolist at work, illegally using its market power to squelch competition.

Microsoft's strategy for refuting these contentions is twofold: fiercely dispute the Justice Department's evidence by mustering any available E-mail or snippet of deposition testimony that can be used to undermine the Government's interpretation of events, and constantly return to the theme that even if Microsoft behaved badly, there is little evidence to show that the economy or consumers were hurt as a result.

The linchpin of the Microsoft defense is that, yes, the company may be big, powerful and even nasty at times -- ''the antitrust laws are not a code of civility in business,'' Mr. Warden reminded the court -- but the company presides over a sector of the economy for which it is hard to argue that the ''dead hand of monopoly'' is at work.

In other words, Microsoft is asking: Where's the harm?




To: XiaoYao who wrote (11797)10/26/1998 3:23:00 PM
From: XiaoYao  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 74651
 
Evolution of the CAD market -- Unix Maintains Its Lead, But Windows NT Gains Strong Foothold
Lee Pender

10/26/98
Computer Reseller News
Page 133
Copyright 1998 CMP Publications Inc.


Waltham, Mass. -- While many users of computer-aided design (CAD) software are moving to Microsoft Corp.'s Windows NT operating system, many also still are hanging on to the Unix platform.

CAD has long been a Unix domain, especially in large corporations and among high-end users. However, in the past year, Windows NT has made strong gains. And some developers are taking notice.

San Rafael, Calif.-based Autodesk Inc., for one, excluded Unix in the latest release of its AutoCAD software, popular among midrange customers.

AutoCAD Release 14 runs on Windows machines only.

Autodesk is seeing migration to Windows NT among some of its largest customers, said A.G. Lambert, product manager for Autodesk's Architectural Desktop application. "It's more in large firms that you see people going to NT," he said. "There are accounts which are still in Unix, but they're going fast."

However, while Unix is still making modest gains, use of Windows NT in the CAD market is growing rapidly. So far this year, Unix still owns most of the revenue share in the CAD market, according to Daratech Inc. Unix has 56 percent of the market, and revenue is up 11 percent from 1997. But Windows NT now owns 30 percent of the market, and revenue is up 39 percent compared with last year, said Bruce Jenkins, vice president at Daratech, Cambridge, Mass.

"The fact that Unix is roughly twice the size of NT in terms of revenue shows that the reports of the death of Unix have been greatly exaggerated, and [Unix is still] growing," Jenkins said. "Something that big growing at 11 percent is no disappointment. Unix is bound to be around for a long, long time."

Software plays an important role in resellers' CAD sales. In 1997, software accounted for 51.3 percent of revenue and 43.2 percent of margins, according to Daratech. This compares with hardware, which represented 24.7 percent of revenue but only 14.7 percent of margins, and services, which made up 23 percent of revenue and 41.6 percent of margins, the research company found.

However, in the meantime, CAD's migration to Windows NT continues, and several factors are at play, according to industry executives. One is the ever present worry about total cost of ownership, said Roopinder Tara, general manager of the CAD division at IMSI, developer of TurboCAD, San Rafael.

"It's getting very hard for companies to justify more and more seats of Unix stations," Tara said. "Unix [workstations] can cost four or five times as much as an NT machine."

While many old-line CAD users, such as automotive customers, are sticking with Unix, some more recent additions are moving lower-end users to Windows NT, he added. Drafters and machinists, according to Tara, are more likely to use Windows NT because they do not need the sophistication of Unix.

Also, Tara said, Windows NT's functionality has largely caught up with the power that Unix can offer.

"There is always downtime when you switch systems, but there's no functionality loss when you go to PC-based systems anymore," he said.

Another factor in Windows NT's rise is the presence of the Microsoft name. The Redmond, Wash.-based software developer's name lends credibility to the operating system and puts those with purchasing responsibilities at ease, said Daratech's Jenkins.

"There is a growing acceptance that technologies endorsed by Microsoft are a safe choice," he said. "They are today what IBM [Corp.] was in the 1970s: No one will get fired for making that decision."

Still, Jenkins added, while Windows NT eventually might eclipse Unix in the CAD space, the venerable operating system is likely to have a presence among designers for years to come.

And, he added, Unix still offers some features that Windows NT cannot yet match. These areas include Unix's emphasis on networking and multiprocessing, said Jenkins.

"The Unix culture is still more network-aware than the Microsoft culture," he said. "It's also more multiprocessing-aware. These are technical differences that remain to be fully addressed."