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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1998 Short Picks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: mchip who wrote (14801)	10/26/1998 7:49:00 AM
From: Allan F	Respond to of 18691

I, for sure, would like to know where all the money is going to go!!! Retirement homes and healthcare industry. -Allan

To: mchip who wrote (14801)	10/26/1998 7:56:00 AM
From: Kip518	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 18691

Yes AG's cut sparked the market, and can do so again. Each pop of AG's gun will have less and less effect. That rates are going to continue falling has become a market fact. However, the timing of last cut exposed the Fed for what it has become -- just another market player. Thus, the Fed will soon learn that the market can do to them what it does best for every other player -- causes frustration. That suggests one of two scenarios -- rates continue to fall making a credit crunch worse as creditors refuse to take on more risk with lesser payoff; or look for rates to rise as the bond market tanks and the government finds it increasingly difficult to sell its paper.