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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1998 Short Picks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Roger A. Babb who wrote (14846)10/27/1998 12:44:00 AM
From: Caroline  Respond to of 18691
 
I'm a legit software professional, and I am worried about my power going out.

Fidelity Bill Payment paid Bell Atlantic $2257.00 instead of 27.57 out of my account. I like Fidelity a fair amount, because they are to customer service what, say, a Datek isn't.

But their system fell down, somewhere, and it took 5 phone calls and 4 weeks to get the thing fixed.

Not a place I want to be when 500,000 accounts need just a minor y2k correction.

Wish I knew where I heard this story...

...A meeting of a bunch of high-level managers, CIO-types. All run "mission-critical" operations -- financial services, transportation and utilities.

The speaker asks, "Raise your hand if you would fly in a plane programmed by your people."

No hands go up.

Our finances are subject to floating point nightmares today, and the problems get fixed because they're few and far between. When they're not few and they're all together, life's gonna be one very long line.

No hands,
CB



To: Roger A. Babb who wrote (14846)10/27/1998 1:17:00 AM
From: space cadet  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18691
 
Roger I agree with your outlook. However, I entered kea at a bad price and ever since it has been incredibly weak. Do you think kea will move higher as year end approaches and as the media predictably hype y2k problems or will it get stuck along with the other companies in its sector like sap and psft and go nowhere or down? If so, then how long before you think that kea will recover and head higher? I hate fighting the street, even when they may be wrong.



To: Roger A. Babb who wrote (14846)10/27/1998 1:56:00 AM
From: Pierre Mondieu  Respond to of 18691
 
Hope you are correct Roger...eom.



To: Roger A. Babb who wrote (14846)10/27/1998 3:49:00 PM
From: BelowTheCrowd  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 18691
 
Roger,

Disagree with you on SAP (as well as other entriprise SW companies) at least as viewed from this point going forward.

SAP, PSFT, ORCL and others have made massive gains by selling enterpise software to companies who wanted replace rather than fix Y2K issues. They've made a great deal of money on it and established dominant positions.

Going forward is not so easy, and I expect them to be relatively stagnant for a while or at least to take a 12 month breather before resuming steady growth.

mg