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Strategies & Market Trends : Telebras (TBH) & Brazil -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Steve Fancy who wrote (9184)10/27/1998 12:29:00 AM
From: Rohit Nanavati  Respond to of 22640
 
Hi Steve, Excellent reply. Thanks a lot for your detail response. We will see.
Rohit



To: Steve Fancy who wrote (9184)10/27/1998 1:24:00 PM
From: Steve Fancy  Respond to of 22640
 
US debt analysts say Brazil devaluation unlikely

Reuters, Tuesday, October 27, 1998 at 13:04

By Hugh Bronstein
NEW YORK, Oct 27 (Reuters) - Rumors circulating in
financial markets that Brazil would devalue its currency, the
real, by 10 to 20 percent seemed unfounded, U.S.-based emerging
market debt analysts said on Tuesday.
Talk that Brazil might effectively devalue by widening the
real's trading band hurt emerging market debt prices on Tuesday
morning, traders said.
Benchmark Brazil C bonds <BRAZILC=RR> were down about one
point midday Tuesday to bid 62-1/4.
"We think the rumors may have been started by investors who
had taken short positions in the market that would benefit from
the market moving down," said Esteban Medrano, an emerging debt
analyst at I.D.E.A, an economic research firm that provides
data to commercial and central banks.
Medrano said the devaluation rumors were first heard by
foreign exchange traders dealing in Mexican pesos.
"It's unlikely that the Brazilian authorities would move
its exchange rate because that would be contrary to what the
government's stance has been throughout the crisis," Medrano
said.
Investors have fled emerging markets in the weeks since
Russia defaulted on its debt and devalued the rouble in August.
One of President Fernando Henrique Cardoso key priorities
over the last several years has been the stability of Brazil's
currency.
He was expected later Tuesday to announce a fiscal reform
program designed to close the country's gaping budget deficit
and secure a loan package from the International Monetary Fund.
The program will not include changes to the country's
foreign exchange policy, a director at Brazil's central bank
said on Tuesday.
"There is no possibility of changes in foreign exchange
policy," Demosthenes Madureira de Pinho Neto, the bank's
director of international affairs, said in a statement.
The strongest argument against a devaluation is that such a
move would be difficult to control in the current market
environment, said Siobhan Manning, Latin American debt
strategist at PaineWebber.
"Investor sentiment is only starting to show signs of
recovery in Brazil," she added. "A devaluation would inject
more uncertainty and interest rates would have to be increased,
which would increase the country's fiscal deficit."

Copyright 1998, Reuters News Service



To: Steve Fancy who wrote (9184)10/27/1998 1:36:00 PM
From: Steve Fancy  Respond to of 22640
 
Brazil says fiscal plan won't alter forex policy

Reuters, Tuesday, October 27, 1998 at 13:18

BRASILIA, Oct 27 (Reuters) - A Brazilian fiscal savings
plan to be announced soon will not include changes to the
country's foreign exchange policy, contrary to rumors on
financial markets, a Central Bank director said Tuesday.
"There is no possibility of changes in foreign exchange
policy," Demosthenes Madureira de Pinho Neto, the bank's
director of international affairs, said in a statement.

Copyright 1998, Reuters News Service