To: Zardoz who wrote (22337 ) 10/27/1998 5:17:00 PM From: Enigma Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116955
Hutch - you're into a fantasy world now - didn't you read that post by Marcos on Barrick's hedging programme? They will not be covering their positions in the way you surmise, and they are not interested in manipulating the market. Here's my Barrick thread post to you on the POG generally: To: Hutch (785 ) From: enigma Tuesday, Oct 27 1998 5:00PM ET Reply # of 788 Hutch - thanks for your PM. The thing about gold, actually about any chart including the Dow as at present, is that it's hard to remember other times when the price was markedly different. So to many, the Dow will seem merely to be going though a correction - bulls will not believe we're in a bear market until when ?- Dow 5000? By this time they will be so shell shocked that they may be extremely gun shy about re-entering the market at all. Same with gold right now. With gold down here in the doldrums it's hard to remember what it was like when it was substantially higher - yet it will recover and go back up, and then these present prices will seem like the bargain of the century (excluding 1971 of course!) And I can predict one thing with certainty - there will be all sorts of technical and rational explanations for the move - but only a few will profit by buying at these washed out levels. It's always the way. All the things you are saying about gold were true (or at least could have been said) when it was at $400, $500, and higher. When it was at these levels it seemed cheap to many. We're not talking about a rational state, but rather the pendulum of the market. I don't agree that it is derivatives which create value in the market, because ultimately we are faced with the underlying asset. I should post this on GPM - I will in fact! E