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To: butkus who wrote (22345)10/27/1998 4:57:00 PM
From: John Mansfield  Respond to of 116764
 
' On The Edge Of Collapse

From:
fedinfo@halifax.com
3:18

Subject:
On The Edge Of Collapse

Inside Wall Street Oct 22 1998 3:33PM CST Archives...

The Real Story Behind the Fed Ease
By Paul Lam
Senior Markets Writer

Contrary to what most would like to believe, the Federal Reserve's abrupt
decision to cut interest rates on Oct.15 was not so much due to concerns over
a slowing economy or credit crunch. The action, which came 16 days after the
first 0.25% rate cut, was outside the normal context of a Federal Open Market
Committee meeting, which does not convene again until Nov. 17. It was a
response to an immediate meltdown threat of the banking system.

According to informed sources, the Fed had been injecting liquidity into
major banks even before the Oct. 15 ease. Federal Reserve repo tenders, which
are repurchases of Treasury securities held by banks in return for short-term
cash, a common way to add liquidity to the banking system, rose by 35% during
the two weeks prior to the surprise rate-cut.

The Oct. 15 ease, on top of the recent surge in liquidity available to banks,
reportedly came after urgent requests from the president of the Federal
Reserve Bank of San Francisco, who told Federal Reserve chairman Alan
Greenspan of extraordinary demands by one member bank in its region.

Reliable sources indicate that this demand for repo funds had been provoked by
a credit squeeze in the interbank market against Bank of America (BAC:NYSE).
Bankers believe that the bank's troubles are far more serious than what is
being told to the public. Bank of America made a $357 million loss write-off
due to its participation in the troubled hedge fund D.E. Shaw, and bought $20
billion in outstanding securities and derivatives contracts from that hedge
fund in order to prevent its demise. The grave danger on Oct. 15 was of a
breakdown in the interbank payments system, which could have easily led to a
global systemic collapse.

While investors around the world rejoice the Fed's action by outrageously
bidding up stock prices, the more alarming message is that the emerging
markets crisis has now fully reached the G7 financial systems.

=================

"Bankers believe that the bank's (Bank of America) troubles are **far more
serious** than what is being told to the public."

(Asterisks mine)

"The grave danger on Oct. 15 was of a breakdown in the interbank payments
system, which could have **easily** led to a global systemic collapse."

(Asterisks mine.)

We are sitting on the edge of a complete collapse every day. It is only a
matter of time before the house of cards tumbles over. It is inevitable. And
when it goes, the weight of the mountain of debt will be crushing.

Won't be long now.

wallstreetcity.com
872
--
Paul Milne
"The road to TEOTWAWKI is paved with good expectations"