To: chenys who wrote (23311 ) 10/29/1998 12:16:00 AM From: joe Respond to of 45548
q: >>I wonder where coms' strength went.<< you talking about last year? merger derailed COMS for a long while. >>You looked at yesterday, when the market was showing life in the morning, coms went up reluctantly and then yielded to its doggy persona.<< That wasn't just COMS. I was watching DELL, CSCO, and the Naz and DOW. Profit selling. The big difference with COMS these days compared to 6 months ago, is it follows the market much better. It goes up with it and down with it. Remember the days of 30pt Naz up moves, and COMS drops a pt -- lots of days like that in the past? They don't happen much in the last month or so. >> It is hard to catch the very top<< I know, but us posters are working on this problem. Maybe in a few years, with the help of all, we will learn a few tricks. You know, if you can do it once every month or so with a big bet, it can still be profitable. My main bet, though, is that COMS is trending up for the next 6-12 months, probably longer, but I'll constantly evaluate. You never know what can happen. Eric B. might be offered the CEO position to CSCO<g>. >>painful lesson in the past year or so if you choose to buy and hold. There is no need to be a hero.<< Yes, Warren Buffet type buy and hold will get you killed on tech stocks. That's cause 1 year in the tech market is equivalent to 10 years of owning Coke. >>Is it panic selling or heavy shorting? How can we tell without further information?<< Of course you can't always tell, but the more you practice, the more you can tell. That's what lots of posters, I think are trying to do. Occasionally, I can tell<g>. >>Peter Lynch once argued that, in the bull market buy-and-hold scenario,..<< I've read some of him. He doesn't try to time the market. No economic analysis. All fundamental stuff, I think. I don't think he uses TA. He's a value investor. Looks for good companies that are cheap. That's my understanding. But these guys didn't deal with the fast pace of hi-tech stocks of the 90's so, I wonder what he'd do with a DELL, COMS, CSCO, even MSFT. joe