To: Ray Rueb who wrote (3987 ) 10/29/1998 5:51:00 PM From: james a gustino Respond to of 10081
mr. reub: you posit an interesting scenario, but i frankly i am unconvinced at this juncture. i think we all know that the preferreds will convert their first 25% later this month at around 5 and change. i also now believe (given gmgc's recent confirmations re: the V-commerce alliance and the recent data rover spin-off) that there will be truly significant news released prior to the commencement of the next conversion period (somewhere around november 22-23, i think). IMHO, the news will take the form of either or both of a V-commerce announcement and / or a telco announcement. if my suspicion in this regard proves correct, the stock should significantly INCREASE in price later this month. not only that, but the preferreds would then have a clear incentive not to convert and flood the market with shares, but would have more of a long-term orientation / stake in the stock. i will grant you that there MAY be a drop in price due to coordinated shorting by the preferreds in the days prior to november 11, but i don't see it happening thereafter. the news IMHO will be too big to allow a massive shorting strategy to be profitable post-november 11. i also believe that the preferreds have been made privy to these future anouncements, and this is why they have been agreeable to a potential dilution of their shares per the terms of the recent 8-K. (FWIW, i personally do not view it as an incentive deal for the preferreds to back off of a short strategy.) of course, i may be way off in my prognostications............only time will tell. somehow, though, my gut tells me otherwise. please help me if i have overlooked or misconstrued anything in your post. respectfully, james a. gustino