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Strategies & Market Trends : Tech Stock Options -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: SJS who wrote (56671)10/29/1998 1:42:00 PM
From: AlanH  Respond to of 58727
 
Steve, re:As an option player, I wonder if you've noticed that the options will LEAD the index.

Absolutely! As you know the cash indices are calculated periodically, based on the associated stocks; so, the kicker is that options will often lead the stocks.

One of the tricks I attempt is the identify the index leaders and laggers, watching the associated options. Take for example NDX:
Earlier in the week DELL/CSCO were the leaders, INTC/MSFT were the laggards. For whatever reason, the "ghost in the machine" attempts to balance the stocks during neutral days; that is, if MSFT suffers, CSCO will correspondingly benefit. [Don't ask me why.] So, the lag that you've described becomes exacerbated... MSFT options may tip the direction of MSFT, correspondingly telegraphing the direction of CSCO. BTW, at this time INTC/MSFT are the favs.

Because the action is so swift -- and my order system isn't -- the above is more or less entertainment for me.

Regards,
Alan