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To: Clint E. who wrote (18204)10/31/1998 12:00:00 PM
From: Johnny Canuck  Respond to of 67830
 
NT conference call Part 1:

fool.com

Northern Telecom Q3 Conference Call
A Fool Conference Call Synopsis*
By Gregory Markus (TMF Boring)

Northern Telecom (NYSE: NT)
8200 Dixie Rd, Ste 100
Brampton, Ontario L6T5P6
Canada
905-863-0000
nortelnetworks.com

ANN ARBOR, MI (Oct. 27, 1998) /FOOLWIRE/ — Northern Telecom, Ltd.
(Nortel) today reported results for the third quarter and first nine
months of 1998.
Third quarter results. Revenues from continuing operations increased 20%
(after adjusting primarily for the impact of the disposition of MET and
the GSM terminals businesses) compared to the same period last year, and
increased 12% before the contribution of Bay Networks. As reported,
revenues increased 18% to $4.14 billion from $3.50 billion for the same
period in 1997. All dollar amounts are stated in U.S. currency. After
adjusting for the impact of dispositions and one-time gains and charges,
net earnings applicable to common shares from ongoing operations
increased to $241 million, or $0.42 per share, a per-share increase of
45%. This compares to net earnings applicable to common shares of $153
million, or $0.29 per share, in the third quarter of 1997.
Unusual items. The company recorded a number of one-time items during
the quarter. Acquisition costs totaling $539 million related to the
amortization of Bay Networks' intangible assets and other purchased
in-process research and development from earlier transactions. The
company also experienced a one-time pretax gain of $377 million, the
majority of which related to the disposition of businesses and
investments, including the sale of Nortel's advanced power system
business and the sale of a cabinet manufacturing facility located in
North Carolina. Those two items totaled $260 million of the $377 million
gain.
The remainder of the gain related to Entrust Technologies, which
completed its IPO in August, together with gains from other minor
dispositions. Nortel also recorded a one-time pretax provision of $388
million for the realignment and resizing of certain elements of Nortel's
operations. Of this amount, approximately $260 million relates to
severance costs. The process has been a success.
Nine-month results. Revenues from ongoing operations for the first nine
months of 1998 increased 13% on a year-over-year basis (11% before the
contribution of Bay Networks). Net earnings applicable to common shares
from ongoing operations for the first nine months of 1998 (after
adjustments for the impact of dispositions and one-time gains and
charges) was $597 million, representing an increase in earnings per
share of 36% to $1.10 per share.



To: Clint E. who wrote (18204)10/31/1998 12:04:00 PM
From: Johnny Canuck  Respond to of 67830
 
Geographic breakdown. Revenues for the third quarter of 1998 increased
21% in the United States over the year-ago period. Combined revenues
from Asia/Pacific, the Caribbean and Latin America (CALA) grew 35%.
Revenues in Europe increased 7%, even after the MET divestiture. Canadi
an revenues rose 3%.
Breakdown by product line. Revenues for the third quarter increased 15%
for carrier networks and 33% for enterprise networks. Within carrier
networks, broadband networks experienced very strong revenue growth over
the same period last year, growing 45% and with considerable gains ac
ross all geographic areas. Wireless networks revenues increased 17% in
the third quarter compared to the third quarter of 1997, with
substantial gains in the U.S. and CALA. Public carrier networks revenues
decreased 12% relative to last year's third quarter, due primarily to
substantial declines in Asia/Pacific and Canada. Enterprise networks
revenues increased 33%, driven primarily by the contribution of Bay
Networks. Revenues in the "other" segment decreased substantially in the
third quarter of 1998 compared to the same period last year, due
primarily to the impact of the disposition of MET and the GSM terminals
businesses.
Order growth. For the quarter, order input from ongoing operations of
$4.15 billion represented an increase of 22% on a year-over-year basis
(14% before the contribution of Bay Networks), after adjusting for the
impact of the disposition of MET and the GSM terminals businesses. For
the first nine months of 1998, order input from ongoing operations
increased 16% to $12.2 billion compared to the same period last year
(13% before the contribution of Bay Networks).
Financial Highlights
Gross margin for the quarter was 43.3% compared to 41.6% a year ago.
This increase reflects the inclusion of Bay Networks and also a
favorable product mix in all lines of business.
Selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses were $728 million,
or 17.6% of revenue, in the quarter, compared with $659 million, or
18.8% of revenue a year ago. SG&A expenses continue to reflect
investments to support Nortel Networks' global growth and investments in
computer systems infrastructure.



To: Clint E. who wrote (18204)10/31/1998 12:06:00 PM
From: Johnny Canuck  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 67830
 
NT conference call Part 3:

Research and development (R&D) expenses were $616 million, or 14.9% of
revenue, in the quarter, compared with $528 million, or 15.1% of
revenue, in the third quarter of 1997. This reflects planned and ongoing
investments across all Nortel Networks businesses.
Investment and other income was $130 million for the third quarter,
including $117 million in one-time gains.
Cash and short-term investments were $1.9 billion at the end of the
quarter, up substantially from the $495 million at the end of the second
quarter due primarily to cash in hand at Bay Networks and the proceeds
of certain divestitures.
Days Sales Outstanding for the quarter increased by approximately five
days relative to the year-ago period.
Bay Networks merger. Nortel achieved a significant milestone this
quarter with the completion of the merger with Bay Networks, the largest
data networking merger in history. Management is very pleased with the
integration accomplishments to date. Nortel's Enterprise Networks bu
siness line, which includes Bay, is cited in industry reports that
confirm the company's leading position in call-center markets. Bay did
approximately $285 million in sales in the month of September, in line
with Nortel management's expectations. RBOCs represented approximately
20% of Nortel's customer revenues prior to the merger and,
going-forward, they will probably represent less than 20%.
Customer financing. Nortel is highly competitive against Lucent
Technologies (NYSE: LU), Ericsson (Nasdaq: ERICY), and others and does
offer customer financing when appropriate. Nortel continues to be highly
successful in laying off the commitments and has only about $500 million
of customer financing on the balance sheet — and even a substantial
proportion of that is in the process of being laid off. Nortel's
customer financing practices are overseen by a committee of the board of
directors.
Guidance. Management currently expects to see 1998 revenue growth from
ongoing operations, including Bay Networks, to be in the mid-teens.
Looking beyond 1998, discontinuities in the telecommunications market,
such as deregulation, globalization, the need for mobility, and the
impact of the Internet, are creating opportunities for Nortel to provide
solutions to traditional and new customers globally. Revenue growth is
projected in the high 20% range for 1999, including gains attributable
to the Bay merger. Bottom-line growth is projected to be consistent with
a business model that has gross margins at 42%-plus, SG&A expense at 17%
to 18% of sales, and R&D expense of around 14%. The tax rate has been
creeping up slightly. Capital expenditures and depreciation and amortiz
ation are expected to follow historical trends in 1999.




To: Clint E. who wrote (18204)10/31/1998 12:10:00 PM
From: Johnny Canuck  Respond to of 67830
 
ITWO conference call part 1:

fool.com

i2 Technologies Q3 Conference Call
A Fool Conference Call Synopsis*
By Gregory Markus (TMF Boring)

i2 Technologies (Nasdaq: ITWO)
909 E. Las Colinas Blvd, 16th Floor
Irving, TX 75039
(800) 800-3288
i2.com

ANN ARBOR, Mich. (Oct. 22, 1998) /FOOLWIRE/ — i2 Technologies announced
record revenues and earnings for the quarter ended Sept. 30, 1998.
Income Statement Highlights
Total revenues of $94.2 million were 62% higher than third quarter 1997
revenues of $58.1 million. Operating profits were $10.9 million, or
11.5% of total revenues, compared to $5.3 million, or 9.1% of revenues
in the year-ago period, excluding unusual items. Net profit was $7.8
million, versus $3.3 million in Q3 1997, excluding unusual items. EPS
was $0.10 versus $0.05 a year ago -- a penny above the consensus
forecast.
For the first nine months of 1998, revenues grew 69% to $249.2 million,
compared to $147.6 million for the first nine months of 1997. Excluding
acquisition-related expenses, year-to-date 1998 net income was $18.3
million, more than triple the income of $5.8 million for the same period
of 1997.
For the third quarter, license revenues increased 57% over the year-ago
period to $59.8 million. Service and maintenance revenues increased 73%
to $34.4 million as compared with $19.9 million a year ago. License
revenues accounted for 63% of total revenues, compared to 66% for the
year-ago period. Repeat business accounted for 61% of license revenues
(31 licenses), with the other 39% coming from new customers (25
licenses).
By industry, 51% of revenues came from high-tech industries, with
another 12% from the furniture industry, 8% from metals, 8% from
consumer package goods (CPG), 7% from automotive, and the balance from
miscellaneous industries.
International revenues were in line with reduced expectations. The
challenge internationally is not specific to i2 but reflects broader
issues. The company expects to see improvement in Q4. The U.S. market
generated 83% of total revenues, about where it was in Q2 1998.
Once again, sales in the quarter were back-end loaded, as is typical in
the software industry. Days sales outstanding increased to 98 days, and
they are expected to increase in Q4 but decrease in Q1 1999.
At the end of the quarter, headcount was 2003, including 687 in R&D.
That compares with 1135 people at the end of Q3 1997, with 477 in R&D.
i2 entered the quarter with 160 sales representatives. The company's
ability to attract sales people is increasing.
License Agreements
A total of 56 license agreements were recognized at an average license
of approximately $1.1 million. Fourteen licenses larger than $1 million
were recognized in the quarter. The largest license agreement signed in
Q3 was with Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HWP), for about $11 million.
Sun Microsystems (Nasdaq: SUNW) and the computer division of Toshiba
(OTC: TOSBF) also signed license agreements with i2 during the quarter,
as did Cisco Systems (Nasdaq: CSCO) and Casio (OTC: CSIOY). In the
automotive sector, Visteon Automotive, a division of Ford (NYSE: F),
announced a worldwide agreement to license i2's RHYTHM solution, and i2
also closed a deal with Navistar (NYSE: NAV). In aerospace, Boeing
(NYSE: BA) and General Electric's (NYSE: GE) aircraft division chose i2
as a partner. In CPG, PepsiCo's (NYSE: PEP) Frito Lay division, Jurgens,
and a large Japanese brewer signed licenses in the quarter. In the
metals sector, Bethlehem Steel (NYSE: BS) signed additional licenses.
Competitive Environment



To: Clint E. who wrote (18204)10/31/1998 12:13:00 PM
From: Johnny Canuck  Respond to of 67830
 
ITWO conference call Part 2:

On the competitive front, i2 saw reduced competition from traditional
supply chain management (SCM) vendors. From the ERP (enterprise resource
planning) vendors -- such as SAP (NYSE: SAP) -- i2 faced increased
rhetoric, but this did not affect deals significantly. Year-2000 issues
or economic uncertainty did not appear to have any unusual impact on
closing deals. i2 feels that its offerings are particularly critical for
companies facing challenging economic or competitive environments.
PLANET 98
PLANET, an annual supply chain event, was held in September in Dallas
and attracted over 3,400 participants from around the world -- nearly a
three-fold increase over the previous year. i2 announced a new class of
decision intelligence software called eBusiness Process Optimization
(eBPO). The eBPO solution is made up of multiple planning engines acting
in concert to analyze and optimize business processes across the
enterprise, while enabling multi-enterprise collaboration with
suppliers, customers, and partners. Traditional ERP software is not
suitable for these processes.
Other Highlights of the Quarter
In August 1998, Gartner Group identified i2 as the overall leader in the
supply chain planning field. The company continues to gain market share.
i2 established a network of independently operated dealers across North
America that will be 100% dedicated to serving the supply chain
management needs of mid-sized companies.
i2 also introduced RHYTHMWare, a prebundled group of i2's supply chain
modules for factory planning and advanced scheduling. This optional
offering is intended to address the most common planning and scheduling
problems of mid-sized companies.
Option Repricing
In October 1998, i2's board of directors approved a stock option
repricing program where all employees, excluding executive officers, can
elect to have out-of-money options canceled and new stock options
issued, resulting in a restart of the vesting period.
Outlook
Going into Q4, the pipeline appears stronger than it did going into Q3.
Looking toward 1999, i2 is not yet complete with its plan for the year,
and projections are complicated by factors largely outside of the
company's control, particularly in Asia. Some analysts currently have
models that project 1999 revenues above $500 million, and management is
not comfortable with those projections. Although final planning has not
yet been completed, management is considering guiding operating margins
toward 10% for 1999 in order to invest more incrementally in product
development and hiring.
Replies to Other Questions
The relationship with Oracle (Nasdaq: ORCL) is progressing well but is
not yet yielding significant revenue. i2 believes that it will.
Deferred license revenues were essentially flat sequentially.
Many of i2's larger deals come from existing companies already familiar
with i2's offerings. On the other hand, large deals are comparatively
more difficult to close because they generally require more people or
divisions to sign off on the deal.



To: Clint E. who wrote (18204)10/31/1998 12:15:00 PM
From: Johnny Canuck  Respond to of 67830
 
JBIL conferenca call Part 1:

fool.com

Jabil Circuit Q4 Conference Call
A Fool Conference Call Synopsis*
By Gregory Markus (TMF Boring)

JABIL CIRCUIT INC. (NYSE: JBL)
10800 Roosevelt Blvd. St. Petersburg, FL 33716 (813) 577-9749
jabil.com

ANN ARBOR, Mich. (Oct. 6, 1998) /FOOLWIRE/ -- Jabil Circuit Inc. (NYSE:
JBL) today reported earnings for the fourth fiscal quarter and the 1998
fiscal year ended August 31, 1998. Jabil is an electronic manufacturer
of circuit board assemblies for international original equipment
manufacturers in the data communications, personal computer, computer
peripheral and automotive markets. Jabil offers circuit design, board
design from schematic, prototype assembly, volume board assembly and
system assembly services from automated manufacturing facilities in
Florida, Michigan, California, Idaho, Scotland, Italy, Malaysia and
Mexico.
Fiscal Fourth Quarter
Revenue increased 4% to $317.6 million compared to $305.2 million for
the same period of fiscal 1997. Pro forma net income, which excludes the
one-time, non recurring charge for the Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HWP)
acquisition, was $13.4 million or $0.35 per share for the fourth quarter
of 1998, compared with net income of $18.0 million, or $0.47 per share
for the same period of fiscal 1997.
During the quarter, Jabil completed the acquisition of Hewlett-Packard's
LaserJet manufacturing operations for $80 million and recorded a
one-time acquisition-related charge of $24.4 million, consisting of
$10.1 million in write-offs for in-process research and development, $10
million for workforce-related expenses, and $4.3 million in other
expenses. This resulted in an after-tax charge of $0.39 per share.
Jabil's actual net income for the fourth quarter, including the
above-mentioned charge, was a loss of $1.8 million or a loss of $0.05
per share, compared to $18.0 million or $0.47 per share for the same
period of fiscal 1997.
Fiscal Year 1998
Fiscal year revenues increased 31% to $1.28 billion, compared to $978.1
million in fiscal 1997. Pro forma net income was $69.8 million or $1.81
per share, compared with net income of $52.5 million or $1.37 per share
for fiscal 1997, increases of 33% and 32% respectively.
Fiscal year gross profit increased 43% to $161.7 million compared to
$120.9 million for fiscal year 1997. Pro forma operating income for
fiscal year 1998 increased 29% to $105.9 million, compared to $81.9
million for fiscal year 1997.



To: Clint E. who wrote (18204)10/31/1998 12:18:00 PM
From: Johnny Canuck  Respond to of 67830
 
JBIL Part 2:

Actual net income for fiscal year 1998 increased to $54.7 million or
$1.42 per share (diluted), compared to $52.5 million or $1.37 per share
(diluted) for fiscal year 1997, an increase of 4%.
Jabil Circuit President Thomas A. Sansone said, "We are pleased to
report record fiscal 1998 results that were above our expectations and
continue on track to our key financial goals. These results are a
gratifying accomplishment in light of the simultaneous integration of
our first major acquisition and the overall turmoil in the global
marketplace."
Income Statement: Sequential Trend Highlights
Revenues in the fourth fiscal quarter increased by 3% over third-quarter
revenues.
Gross margin decreased to 11.5% of revenue, reflecting initial
operations of the H-P acquisition, lower utilization in Scotland, and
start up costs in California. Gross margin was somewhat better than
anticipated due to firming production levels in the latter portion of
the summer and lower than anticipated startup costs in the acquired H-P
operations.
Sales, general, and administrative expense (SG&A) increased $2.2 million
to $15.1 million, or 4.8% of revenue. This increase reflects
administrative resources for the former H-P sites, additional
information technology resources and expansion of corporate staff.
Research and development expense (R&D) decreased by $137,000 to
$928,000, or 0.3% of revenue.
Pro forma operating income, excluding acquisition related charges,
decreased to $20.5 million, or 6.4% of revenue.
Interest expense decreased by $167,000, to $555,000, or 0.2% of revenue.
Income taxes were 33.0% of income. (Normalized tax rate is 35.0%).
Pro forma net income after taxes was $13.4 million, or 4.2% of revenue,
as compared to 5.6% in the prior sequential quarter. Pro forma earnings
per share for the period were $0.35 on an average 38,447,000 shares
during the period, fully diluted.
Balance Sheet: Sequential Trend Highlights
Cash flow from operations was approximately $15 million for the fourth
quarter. During the quarter, Jabil increased its existing credit
facility from $100 million to $225 million and funded the H-P
acquisition.
The H-P acquisition was funded by cash of $40 million and $40 million of
the company's credit facility. Significant balance sheet items included
approximately $37 million for inventory and approximately $25 million
for machinery and equipment and $7 million for intangible assets.
Management anticipates that working capital associated with this
acquisition will be consistent with Jabil's overall corporate goals --
that is, days sales outstanding (DSO) below 40 days and inventory turns
of 10 or better.
Cash balances were $23 million at the end of Q4, as compared to $43
million at the end of Q3. The decrease was due to cash used to purchase
the H-P operations, offset by cash generated by operations.
Accounts receivable increased by $2 million sequentially to $126
million. Calculated days sales outstanding (DSO) was 36 days, consistent
with Q3.
Inventories increased by $39 million sequentially, to $123 million,
primarily attributable to the inventory for the H-P operation (noted
above). Inventory turns were 9, as compared to 12 in Q3, predominantly
due to the acquired H-P inventory. Jabil anticipates that inventory
turns will return to the overall goal of 10 in the next quarter.
Fixed assets increased by $39 million to $225 million reflecting $25
million in capital expenditures relating to the H-P acquisition and $24
million of other capital expenditures, offset by $10 million in
depreciation. Depreciation for fiscal year 1998 was $33.5 million.
Long-term debt increased by $40 million to $90 million. The
debt-to-capitalization ratio is 27%, with total liabilities-to-equity
ratio at quarter's end of 1.1 to 1.



To: Clint E. who wrote (18204)10/31/1998 12:24:00 PM
From: Johnny Canuck  Respond to of 67830
 
JBIL PArt 3:

Average return on assets for the fourth fiscal quarter was 11%, with an
average return on equity of 21.7%, excluding the effects of
acquisition-related charges. Average return on assets for the fiscal
year was 15%, with an average return on equity of 32.7%, excluding the
effects of acquisition-related charges.
Comments on Q4 Results
Fourth-quarter revenue and operating earnings were higher than
anticipated, reflecting a mid-summer rebound in production for both the
communications and peripherals sectors.
The communications segment grew slightly sequentially as a result of
increased production levels for most communications customers offset by
cutbacks in production of one large product line in Scotland. The
peripherals segment grew 46% over the preceding quarter as initial
production for H-P LaserJet products commenced, offsetting continued
softness in data storage products.
The PC segment remained flat sequentially as increased production levels
for desktop business PCs offset end-of-production for some other desktop
PCs and notebook products. The automotive segment declined 27%
sequentially reflecting typical seasonal levels of production associated
with auto model changeover, along with moderate impact from the General
Motors (NYSE: GM) strike in the summer. The consumer segment declined
58% due to the end-of-life of an unsuccessful set-top box product.
New Factory Sites
Guadalajara. The Guadalajara work force has expanded to more than 800
employees, with plans for additional business units throughout FY99.
This new location was profitable in Q4, and Jabil is already considering
a significant expansion there as the plant approaches its first
anniversary.
Boise, Idaho and Bergamo, Italy. Both acquired sites resumed operation
with minimal disruption after the close on August 3. The acceptance
rates among the former H-P employees was over 90%, and laser printer
business unit volumes continue at levels consistent with prior
expectations. Jabil is promoting its culture and business practices at
these sites. Jabil has identified a site for construction of its own
facility at Boise and plans to move from the leased H-P site to the new
site by the end of FY99. Plans to utilize these sites for additional
customers are under active development.
California. This greenfield project in San Jose continues on track with
plans for relocating the current San Jose prototype and research and
development operations in the new facility in the next several months.
This site will concentrate on serving mid-volume turnkey manufacturing
requirements for current and new customers and will help serve as a
platform for product transition to multinational production in high
volume plant sites. Jabil anticipates production for existing customers
in Q2. Start-up costs associated with this new plant are expected to
total approximately $0.02 per share in Q1 and approximately $0.01 in Q4.
The site is anticipated to contribute to operating income in Q3.
Business Outlook
Overall business levels are positioned to expand above targeted levels
for FY99. Near-term production levels have recovered from the inventory
correction of the spring and summer, while the long-term outlook
benefits from the increased use of outsourcing in the industry and an in
creasing share for Jabil from customers. The overall level of new
business development activity continues to be extremely active, with a
noticeable interest from OEMs having strong traditions of vertical
integration.



To: Clint E. who wrote (18204)10/31/1998 12:25:00 PM
From: Johnny Canuck  Respond to of 67830
 
JBIL Part 4:

Near-term revenue and operating profits are expected to rebound more
sharply in Q1 than previously anticipated, with revenue now expected to
increase by 42%, reflecting the first full quarter of contribution from
the former H-P facilities and growth in all business segments.
Production levels in communications, peripherals, and computer segments
are anticipated to rebound briskly in the fiscal first quarter and equal
or exceed targeted growth rates on a sequential quarterly basis
throughout the remainder of the fiscal year.
The communications segment is expected to account for slightly more than
40% of Jabil's total revenues in FY99 as revenue growth meets or exceeds
30% on an annual basis. Jabil announced that it had begun a significant
new manufacturing relationship with Nortel Networks, formerly Bay
Networks. (This is the unnamed new communications customer mentioned in
the last quarterly conference call.) Nortel Networks is currently in the
process of consolidating from approximately ten current suppliers and
has chosen Jabil as one of its few global contract manufacturers.
Current plans call for modest production in Q1, with increasingly
significant levels of production in Q2 through Q4. Management
anticipates that Nortel Networks may account for at least 10% of Jabil
revenues by the end of FY99.
The peripherals segment is expected to grow sharply in Q1 as full
production at the H-P printer sites is realized. Revenues in Q2 is
anticipated to be above targeted rates in printers and storage products.
Visibility beyond Q2 is more limited, but management estimates revenues
to be sequentially flat in the seasonally slow spring and summer
quarters. It is anticipated that the peripherals sector will account for
approximately one-third of Jabil's revenues in FY99.
The PC segment is expected to grow above targeted rates in Q1 as
production for desktop assemblies expands to a broader base of
assemblies and multiple sites. Growth at targeted rates is projected for
the balance of FY99. Design efforts continue for Jabil's new notebook PC
customer, and management anticipates significant production levels of
mother-board and docking station products in Q3. These products have the
potential to become a 10% customer, although design revisions and
multi-plant product launches are likely to defer that potential until Q1
of fiscal 2000. Management projects that the PC segment will account for
approximately 14% of total revenues in FY99.
The automotive segment is expected to grow sharply in Q1, reflecting
increases from seasonally slow levels in the summer. Production is
expected to be sequentially flat in Q2. This segment looks to account
for 7% of FY99 revenues.



To: Clint E. who wrote (18204)10/31/1998 12:26:00 PM
From: Johnny Canuck  Respond to of 67830
 
JBIL Part 5:

The consumer products segment is expected to grow above targeted rates
as production for appliance assembly increases at multiple sites but is
expected to account for less than 3% of FY99 revenues.
As noted previously, management expects that changes resulting from
product mix (principally the acquisition of the H-P operations) will
cause gross margins to normalize at approximately 11% in FY99. Gross
margins in Q1 are expected to be 0.3 to 0.4 percentage points below that
targeted level due to startup costs associated with Jabil's new site in
California and are expected to increase to 10.8% to 11% in the balance
of FY99 as a result of increasing production for new customers, new
products, and the absorption of the startup costs for California.
Operating income is expected to increase in Q1 by approximately 39%
sequentially and by 9% sequentially in Q2. Management's current outlook
for operating income growth for FY99 is near 31%, or slightly above the
company's long-term goal of 30% annual growth.
SG&A expense is anticipated to decline to 4.2% of sales in Q1, somewhat
above the targeted goal of 3.5%. SG&A expense as a percent of sales is
anticipated to approach the long-term goal over the course of the fiscal
year as revenue expands.
Interest costs are anticipated to increase to 0.5% of revenues in Q1,
reflecting financing of the acquisition of the H-P laser-printer
operations.
The tax rate is expected to increase to 35% in Q1.
In response to a question, management indicated that an EPS forecast in
the area of $2.15 for FY99 is consistent with the company's guidance.
Capital expense in FY99 is projected to be around $80 million with
depreciation of $51 million.
Responses to Questions
Capital controls in Malaysia do not really affect Jabil's operation
there. Malaysia continues to be a low-cost production location that
serves customers in that region and elsewhere.
Customers accounting for 10% or more of revenues in FY98 were: Cisco
Systems (Nasdaq: CSCO), 21%; 3Com (Nasdaq: COMS), 18%; and
Hewlett-Packard, 11%. By segment, communications accounted for 52% of
revenues in FY98; computers, 16%; peripherals, 19%; automotive, 8%;
consumer products, 4%, and miscellaneous, 2%.
By region, Asia accounted for approximately $150 million in revenues in
FY98; Europe, $225 million; and North America the balance -- around $900
million.
"Box-build" (i.e., assembling a completed system) accounts for
approximately one-third of Jabil's revenues. With the H-P operations
acquisition, box-build will account for a smaller percentage of total
revenues, even though box-build revenues are expected to increase in
absolute terms. In FY99, systems assembly revenues are projected to be
around $450 million to $480 million, as compared with around $400
million for FY98.
Jabil is not experiencing any unusual pricing pressures or margin
squeeze; projected changes in margins are attributable to changes in
product mix. The industrywide slump earlier in the year was probably
attributable mostly to customer uncertainty in light of financial
turmoil in some regions of the world, which prompted customers to draw
down inventory. That inventory drawdown has run its course and
underlying demand is once again driving the industry. For Jabil, that
favorable industrywide development is supplemented by the company
gaining a number of significant new customers and gaining market share.
Industry analysts estimate that only 14% of the world's electronics
manufacturing capacity is held by contract manufacturers, with 86% held
by traditionally vertically-integrated OEMs. Many of the latter are now
actively considering outsourcing -- in the telecommunications equipment
industry, to cite one prominent example. This could result in a very
positive long-term trend for contract manufacturers such as Jabil.
Telecommunications equipment represents perhaps a $3.4 billion market as
soon as two years from now for contract electronics manufacturers.