SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Clinton -- doomed & wagging, Japan collapses, Y2K bug, etc -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sidney Reilly who wrote (712)10/30/1998 10:56:00 PM
From: SOROS  Respond to of 1151
 
alert@y2knewswire.com

CORRECTIONS

In a previous alert, we discussed the potential failure of the IRS due to Y2K computer problems. We incorrectly mentioned the web
site of the alternative tax proposal as www.cats.com. It should be: cats.org

We also neglected to mention another alternative tax idea at: cse.org

In another alert, we mistakenly credited a Natioanal Guard Gereral as being the executive director of the National Guard itself. We
should have said he was a director of the National Guard Association, which is different.

We apologize for the mistakes. Notice that at Y2KNEWSWIRE, we run our corrections at the
top
of our news, not buried at the bottom. :-)

THERE'S A GLITCH ON WATCHING MITCH WIRED news is reporting that the GEOS-8 weather satellite has become "confused"
and is now unable to do its job, which included monitoring hurricane Mitch in the Atlantic. Y2KNEWSWIRE wonders why the
satellite can't "go to manual," like the Y2K-naysayers claim everything else in society can do.

As this satellite glitch shows, there is no manual override for most systems: not for the stock market that failed just two days ago,
not for the upcoming GPS system rollover on August 22, 1999, and not for critical communications satellites either. Manual override
simply doesn't exist on most systems. In fact, when you hear Y2K debates where people claim the banks, railroads and power
companies can just revert to manual, you know you're hearing words from dreamland. Yes, we did it in 1950, but just as it took
decades to get to computer-controlled systems, it would also take decades to go back. For example, if a railroad switch is
computer-controlled, and you want to run out to the tracks and flip the lever manually, how exactly do you accomplish that when
there is no lever?

WIRED story at: wired.com

Y2K TESTING IS CAUSING PROBLEMS We're getting an increase in the number of people writing in and describing how their local
bank, or DMV, or other company was running some Y2K tests and it locked up the entire system, shutting down the computers.
One reader described how his bank ran Y2K tests and the bank's computers thought it was a weekend, so it closed everything
down (that bank doesn't open on Sunday, apparently...). Another person described how a bank that had recently implemented some
Y2K code actually turned a $5000 deposit into a $5000 DEBIT, costing the customer $10,000 until they finally traced the problem
down and corrected it.

That's how virtual your money is, folks. If the bank's computer says you made a $5000 withdrawal instead of a $5000 deposit, that's
what the bank people will go on. How are you going to prove otherwise? People working at banks seem to believe whatever the
computer tells them, and all it takes is the changing of one "+" to a "-" and suddenly you're broke. This is not fiction, this is
happening right now in 1998.

WE'RE RESEARCHING TWO AREAS OF CONCERN: We're still researching two areas of Y2K compliance that almost nobody is
talking about. If you have information that would help us here, please send to our NEW e-mail address for tips and information:
tips@y2knewswire.com

Here's what we're looking into: nuclear waste sites and biological hazard labs. Are either of these compliant? And if they aren't, what
could be the impact?

Lets look at biohazard labs first. We're not experts on biological warfare and Anthrax, but we've already learned enough to know that
if the right germ makes it into the "real world" (that is, outside the lab), it would without a doubt wipe out possibly a third of the
population on the planet. As mentioned before, this is not disputed. That's why they have such high security precautions in these
labs, because allowing these agents to escape is tantamount to a death sentence on billions of human beings. That's how deadly
these are.

The REAL question is whether or not the contingency plans for these labs have taken into account all the potential Y2K problems.
Loss of power is the most important one, of course. We know that most of these labs use controlled airflow to contain the bacteria
and viruses (note: please no comments on the plural use of "virus" here, thanks!). For example, they use positive-pressure "space
suits" that try to push air OUT from the suit -- if the suit gets torn, the occupant is still safe because the air is blowing out, not
allowing anything to get in. In fact, entire rooms are set up this way. There are positive-pressure rooms and negative-pressure
rooms, and all the air that is pushed through these places is pumped through filters and exposed to various chemical agents that kill
the bacteria and viruses before they have a chance to get to the outside world.

ALL of these systems need power to operate. The question, again, is what happens if power is lost? No doubt, these labs have
backup power: they have to! But how long will the backup generators last? Do they have a 1-day supply of backup power? 1 week?
1 month? And how much is enough?

Furthermore, what happens if the power is down and stays down. What exactly happens in the labs? We would hope that the
bacteria and viruses simply die with the passage of enough time, but unfortunately, that's not true. Some of these agents simply go
dormant, and many can survive in dormancy for thousands of years (no kidding!), ready to re-awaken under the right environmental
conditions.

We should restate that at this point, we have NO information on the compliance of these labs, either positive or negative. And we
are not out to just scare people (Halloween is close, though...). We are out to find the truth, and if the truth is that these labs aren't
compliant, then we still have 14 months to finish repairs. That's not fear-mongering, that's a serious, legitimate question from people
who care about the future of our planet.

Anybody who refuses to even ask this question is contributing to the problem (lack of information), not the solution (good
information).

If
you
have any information that would help us find out the answer, you can e-mail us at tips@y2knewswire.com

In the coming weeks, we will continue researching this important Y2K story, and we will be reporting the results right here.

WIRED NEWS SUFFERS ISOLATED JOURNALISM GLITCH The following is a summary of the communications between WIRED
news, Y2KNEWSWIRE and the complaints that Y2KNEWSWIRE subscribers sent in to WIRED News.

A few days ago, WIRED ran a news piece that, in our opinion, attacked the response to Y2K by the religious community. No matter
what you think about churches and religion, this kind of "hate news" journalism is simply unacceptable. The original piece, by the
way, is still on the web at: wired.com

We told our readers about this and provided some e-mail addresses for contacting WIRED. Your responses and feedback to WIRED
have been
overwhelming
. So overwhelming, in fact, that it spurred action by the WIRED News Editor and at least one corporate lawyer.

The news editor, James Glave, replied to Y2KNEWSWIRE with a concerned e-mail. Part of it is included here:

"I'd like to chime in here and state that we cover potential Y2K fallout more exhaustively than any other commercial media outlet I
know of. We've covered just about every congressional report, as well as pieces on how Y2K might impact prisons, transportation,
medical devices and hospitals, safehavens, community preparedness, preparations by the Canadian army, status of electric
utilities, banks, FDIC, etc etc etc."

Y2KNEWSWIRE responded to James with a couple of letters that basically say the following:

Yes, WIRED News is without question, one of the most credible, highly-visited news sites on the web. Overall, the news is
extremely well-produced, with high levels of professionalism. This one piece in particular, which one WIRED editor later essentially
said "slipped through the cracks," was obviously an isolated mistake. It happened during a lapse of judgement by the WIRED news
staff: an event that is quite rare.

Also, it should be noted that the story in question was written by a freelancer, not the full-time WIRED news staff. No doubt, this
freelance writer holds some kind of deep grudge against either churches or the Y2K preparedness community, but this attitude does
not at all seem to be widespread in the WIRED full-time staff.

Nevertheless, one of WIRED's lawyers contacted Gary North with a request for him to remove text of the story from his web site (or
else. .). WIRED editors say this is just standard practice, but we pointed out that no matter what the true intention, the
PERCEPTION and the TIMING of such a legal request will appear to many people to be an attempt by WIRED to quash any
criticism of their news. Gary North's site (www.garynorth.com) has quoted and reprinted parts of WIRED news stories before, an he
always includes links to the originating page. Furthermore, Gary North is not making money from his web site efforts, and he
doesn't even accept advertising -- unlike WIRED, which makes anywhere from three to ten cents every time a person visits any
news story (thanks to the banner and icon advertising).

Overall, Y2KNEWSWIRE feels that WIRED continues an excellent reputation for reporting on a variety of news topics, and that this
story by Joe Nickell was an isolated failure of journalistic responsibility. We will continue to list WIRED news pages when they offer
useful, credible Y2K information. And as you would expect, we will also complain loudly if they mess up again. That's the way it
should be.

- Webmaster alert@y2knewswire.com



To: Sidney Reilly who wrote (712)11/1/1998 8:31:00 PM
From: SOROS  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1151
 
America Is A Police State
MARTIAL LAW: THE ANTI-TERRORISM BILL

VIOLATED VIOLATOR: MR. BILL AND HIS RIGHT TO PRIVACY

Laughing along with Bill Maher on Politically Incorrect, you get the comfortable sense that-hey, we knew Bill Clinton was kind of a
libertine guy, an easy-going, hip liberal sort of fellow. And now this paragon of personal liberty is being attacked by a right wing
inquisitor. The reality is that Mr. Clinton has been our "right wing" inquisitor (right wing here meaning authoritarian), the man who
has--according to the ACLU--"crippled... the Bill of Rights."

Watching Mr. Bill whine on national TV about his right to privacy and justice was a moment of high irony for those few of us who
have been reading the fine print. Tell it to a few million medical marijuana users, Bill. And don't forget to use encryption!

Let's have a look at the record, shall we?

While Bill was enjoying phone sex with Monica, he could have been vulnerable to victimization by his own attempts to radically
expand the FBI's wiretapping authority in several bills.

In collaboration with the FBI, El Presidente pushed for a plan that requires the phone companies to reformat their new digital
technology to allow government agents to wiretap with great ease. The ACLU said the plan was "similar to requiring homes and
offices to have microphones built into the walls which the government can turn on. The FBI would require that companies enable
government agents to eavesdrop on at least 1 in every 100 lines in use in major U.S. cities and other targeted areas-a capacity
believed greater than the KGB ever commanded in Soviet Russia."

Clinton also asked Congress to pass legislation that would give the Federal Bureau of Investigation the power to use "roving
wiretaps" without a court Order -- in other words making warrantless wiretaps the rule rather than the exception. The legislation was
appended to an intelligence authorization bill and passed during the week of October 5, 1998.

Even without this legislation, federal agents have set themselves a proud record for the most wiretaps ever placed in one year for
"intelligence" purposes without establishing probable cause of crime.

I don't suppose Bill had encrypted cybersex with Monica, but that's not because of the success of any of the silly schemes against
the encryption of online communications unsuccessfully attempted by his administration. After failing to impose the "Clipper chip,"
which would have required any encryption device to have a backdoor giving government agents convenient unannounced access for
eavesdropping, they tried "Clipper II." In this scheme, anyone using encryption would have to give the government the key so that
they could read your mail without you noticing. While both these schemes failed to gain political traction, and encryption policy has
improved somewhat under the watch of Clinton's new Internet advisor, Ira Magaziner (the man who made a hash of universal health
care), the administration still wants easy government access to your email.

Of course, when you can't pass legislation, you can always due maximum damage via executive order. As you may recall, the
American Revolution was fought largely over warrantless searches by British enforcers. In the name of national security, Clinton's
Executive Order 12949 authorized physical "foreign intelligence" searches of homes and other places without a court order and
without probable cause. In essence, there now needs be no evidence of criminal wrongdoing for law enforcement organizations to
ransack your home. And since everybody's talking about Watergate, it's worth noting that under Executive Order 12949, Tricky
Dicky's minions might have gotten away with searching McGovern headquarters. They certainly would have been able to excuse
their third-rate burglaries against that threat to national security, Daniel Ellsberg. Of course, the mainstream American press would
probably be too chickenshit now to publish The Pentagon Papers anyway, since they were illegally o!btained (see Chiquita Banana).

The secret police are out there. It's known that several warrantless searches have already occurred under Janet Reno's watch,
although the numbers and specifics are clandestine, known only to certain White House and Justice Department officials.

The Clinton Administration has also instituted a plan in which public housing tenants have to sign leases that allow government
agents to randomly search their homes.

The Clinton Administration has defended warrantless "suspicionless" drug testing in the public schools and endorsed the idea that
welfare recipients should be subject to random warrantless, suspicionless drug tests.

The Clinton administration has, of course, continued funding and support for the War On Some Drugs, violating not only the privacy
of people's bedrooms but their brains. The rights violations that have resulted from the drug war are so vast, and its impact so
devastating,that I don't have the space or time to begin to do them justice here.

MARTIAL LAW: THE ANTI-TERRORISM BILL

They got the wrong guy? Been unjustly imprisoned? Clinton wants to keep you in jail anyway! Remember freedom of association,
even with people other than Monica Lewinsky? Forget it!

Martial Law was declared, quietly, on April 24, 1996 when our horny president signed the Anti-Terrorism Bill. In the straight-forward
and heartbreaking words of the ACLU, " With the stroke of a pen, President Clinton today crippled the century-old authority of the
federal courts to enforce the Bill of Rights." Please let that sink in.

The Secretary of State can now label any foreign-based organization he or she pleases as "terrorist." There is no legal recourse for
removing the assignation. Banks are authorized to freeze assets of American citizens and organizations suspected of being agents
of one of these declared terrorist groups. Again, there is no legal recourse to challenge such an act. Law enforcement can also now
easily investigate individuals suspected of terrorism based on activities protected by the First Amendment.

The bill also guts prisoners' right to habeas corpus. Prisoners can no longer challenge the constitutionality of state court
convictions, since this law requires federal courts to defer to state court interpretations of constitutional issues, even when the state
is wrong. The bill also prevents consideration of innocence unless they are "backed by clear and convincing evidence," something
nearly unattainable by current legal standards. In other words, let's show how tough on crime we are by keeping innocent people in
jail too!

The bill also denies undocumented aliens, including those seeking political asylum, the right to challenge deportation. If the
government declares that an alien is suspected of association with "terrorist groups," then they can use secret evidence that need
not be disclosed to the suspect. In other words, the government need not even prove that the person is, in fact, in any way
associated with a "terrorist" organization. After all, how would you know whether they've proved it or not.

If that isn't enough, there's also been:
Several cases of the Clinton Administration intervening in the judicial process against the constitutional rights of the accused.
Limits placed on anti-abortion protesters that would have had us screaming
fascist pig
had they been tried against the anti-war and civil rights movements
"Overenthusiastic" gun law enforcement. However you feel about the second amendment's protection of citizens' rights to
unlicensed access to the varieties of modern armaments, the Clinton Administration's anti-gun zeal has unleashed the fury of the
BATF, most memorably in the slaughter in Waco Texas.
Dress codes that would have made Chairman Mao smile. I doubt if Clinton, in his youth, would have sat still for mandatory school
uniforms, but we understand that new uniforms will come pre-cum-stained to symbolize Mr. Clinton's commitment to youthful
abstinence.

AMERICA IS A POLICE STATE

Now it can now be told. As most non-white people in America know, and many of the rest of us suspected, in the wake of the war
on crime and drugs America has become a police state. In the politicians' and citizens' zeal to end crime, they have unleashed a
new criminal element. This element has murdered, tortured, and abused thousands, if not millions, of American citizens - many of
them innocent. And they've gotten away with it. These police officers, prison guards, immigration officials, DEA agents, and other
enforcement agents have more-or-less had carte blanche to do what they will. Recourse to sadism is not surprising when you give
some human beings that much power over others, particularly the type of human being who is attracted to the power of being an
"enforcer."

THE AMNESTY INTERNATIONAL REPORT ON HUMAN RIGHTS VIOLATIONS IN THE USA: GREATEST HITS

A few weeks ago (October, 1998), Amnesty International released a devastating report on Human Rights violations in a persistent
and widespread pattern of human rights violations in the USA. As a nation state worthy of being singled out by Amnesty for such a
report, America joins such vacation dreamlands as Haiti and Guatemala. Here are a few items from the report:

(There is) persistent and widespread violation of the rights to freedom from torture and cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment... and
the right to freedom from arbitrary detention

Across the USA, people have been beaten, kicked, punched, choked, and shot by police officers, even when they pose no threat.
In prisons, women and men are subjected to sexual, as well as physical abuse... isolating prisoners for long periods... using
chemical and electro-shock methods of restraint that are cruel, degrading, and sometimes life-threatening. Victims include pregnant
women, the mentally ill and even children.

As if they were criminals, many asylum-seekers are placed behind bars when they arrive in the country. Some are held in
shackles. They are detained indefinitely in conditions that are sometimes inhuman and degrading.

Police officers have beaten and shot unresisting suspects; they have misused batons, chemical sprays and electro-shock
weapons; they have injured or killed people by placing them in dangerous restraint holds.

Most law enforcement agencies maintain that abuses, when they occur, are isolated incidents. However, in the past eight years
independent inquiries have uncovered systematic abuses in some of the country's largest city police departments, revealing a
serious nationwide problem.

In prison, guards are subjecting their victims to beatings and sexual abuse. The victims of abuse include pregnant women and the
mentally ill.

The Justice Department and others have documented appalling conditions in dozens of jails: overflowing toilets and pipes; toxic
and unsanitary environments; prisoners forced to sleep on filthy floors without mattresses; cells infested with vermin and lacking
ventilation

While successive US governments have used international human rights standards as a yardstick by which to judge other
countries, they have not consistently applied those same standards at home. In some areas international standards offer greater
human rights protection than US domestic law, but the US authorities have refused to recognize the primacy of international law.
The USA has been slow to agree to be bound by important international and regional human rights treaties: it is one of only two
countries which have failed to ratify the UN Convention on the Rights of the Child. (The other is Somalia.)

The report goes on to delineate specific as well as general systemic abuses by police, prison guards, and immigration officials,
American hypocrisy on human rights issues, and the creation in the United States of weapons of torture and death that are used
internationally by other abusive regimes, as well as by our own.

This devastating report, which flies in the face of America's official rhetoric and self-image, should have knocked George Clinton vs.
Ringo Starr off of the front pages. But widespread torture, false imprisonment, racist cops running on a rampage, are apparently of
little import to the mainstream media. I've yet to see a columnist even deal with it.

The rape and torture of prisoners in America is the source of much late night humor. On The Daily Show (which I generally like) on
Comedy Central, a clip of a large imprisoned black man jerking around and spasming around on a prison floor while guards tested
an electronic shock device ran without comment to great guffaws from the audience. Prisoners... criminals... are dehumanized,
providing a convenient outlet for all of the aggression and sadism current in America. The media-- newspapers and particularly TV
shows--contribute to this dehumanization by featuring the most depraved crimes and criminals, both in non-fiction and in fiction. In
keeping Americans focused on the likes of Richard Allen Davis and Charles Ng, a mentality is created that justifies all these
abuses. However, if most Americans were to review the situation case by case, they would probably feel that many if not most of
these people don't belong in prison at all. About half of them are in for drug rel!ated offenses. Some are in because of drug crimes
committed by distant family members!!!

But you don't even have to have a naughty family member to fall victim to the police state. Consider this: as reported by Robert
Anton Wilson in Everything Is Under Control: "In January 1989, the Minneapolis police smashed down the floor of the home of an
elderly black couple, using "flash bang" grenades, which accidentally set the house on fire and killed both old people. The cops
were looking for drugs, but never found any. The chief of police justified the murders of two innocent citizens by saying, "This is
war."

TRUE JUSTICE: A MODEST PROPOSAL

America is a police state. Most Americans like it that way, so long as they--or somebody close to them--don't fall victim to its
caprice. People fear crime and politicians have fed that fear unto frenzy, until the point where freedom is naught but a rhetorical
device.

The Revolution(r) would like to suggest that we get tough on crime. First of all, we would get tough by punishing only crimes for
which there are victims. That will give us lots of focused toughness. We would punish crimes of violence with greater severity than
crimes of property. We would punish crimes of the privileged -- the dumping of toxins that leave entire communities to cope with
cancer and other illnesses, Savings and Loans scams, and insurance and bank policies that clearly constitute usury -- more
severely than the crimes of the destitute. And we would punish the crimes of the institutionally those of the powerless. To that end,
we would have the Justice Department put several billion dollars towards making an example of 10,000 power abusers, putting them
into a prison system far kinder (and less crowded) then the one they have presided over. From government officials to DEA agents
to police officers to prison officials, let the word go out: if you have been a!busing your power, if you have been ransacking the
homes of innocents, if you have been dropping bombs in foreign lands, if you've been shooting black men down in the street for
traffic violations, your time is gonna come. And Mr. Clinton and Mr. Starr, adjoining cells await you.

Brought to you by your friends at Disinformation the subculture search engine disinfo.com



To: Sidney Reilly who wrote (712)11/1/1998 9:01:00 PM
From: SOROS  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1151
 
awake-ministries.org



To: Sidney Reilly who wrote (712)11/2/1998 9:12:00 PM
From: SOROS  Respond to of 1151
 
June 18, 1998
'Y2K' Is Scarier Than The Alarmists Think
By BRUCE D. BERKOWITZ
Wall Street Journal

Some experts are warning of world-wide chaos and economic ruin just 18
months from now. They worry that computers that record years with only two
digits will confuse the year 2000 with 1900, causing them to miscalculate or go
haywire. Edward Yardeni argued on this page last month that the computing
meltdown could throw the U.S. into recession.

These experts may be exaggerating the economic threat. In many respects the
Year 2000 Problem--"Y2K" in cyber-speak--is much less complicated than
natural disasters like hurricanes or earthquakes. Unlike these events, we know
when Y2K will strike. And we know exactly where to look to solve most of the
problem--in old programming code.

Federal Reserve officials recently cautioned that the final cost of fixing
information systems in the U.S. may total more than $50 billion. Admittedly, this
is a large sum of money, but it is only a small fraction of the nation's $7.3 trillion
gross domestic product. So the effect on the economy as a whole should be
tolerable. Similarly, the Office of Management and Budget estimates that the
federal government will spend $3.9 billion to correct Y2K problems--a
significant sum, but less than 0.3% of total federal spending.

Debugging the world's information systems will take time, effort and money, but
the task is not overwhelming. The trick is to make sure that businesses and
individuals understand the problem, and then put their self-interest to work. A
detailed legal requirement to fix Y2K bugs is futile micromanagement. A more
effective approach is simply to clarify in the law that firms failing to take
reasonable precautions are liable for damages to customers harmed by Y2K.
Firms should also be required to disclose whether they have taken these steps.
Congress and state legislatures are currently considering this kind of legislation,
and there is time to pass it.

So the good news is that the threat does not need to be as dire as Mr. Yardeni
and others fear. Alas, the bad news is that there is an even greater threat related
to Y2K that no one seems to be thinking about yet. Simply put, Y2K will create
one of the greatest opportunities for information warfare, crime, sabotage and
terrorism we have ever encountered.

Sometimes a Y2K error is difficult to identify and fix because it is buried deep in
the logic of a software package or microchip. It is often hard to find
programmers who are familiar with programs and mainframes built decades ago.
These older systems are still used in many organizations for payrolls, billing and
controlling industrial machinery, and they are the systems most prone to a Y2K
error.

Corporations and government agencies world-wide are scrambling to find people
with the required skills. To handle the time-consuming, labor-intensive task of
reviewing computer code line by line, these organizations are recruiting
programmers at an astonishing pace. According to Howard Rubin of Hunter
College, the U.S. alone will need 500,000 to 700,000 additional programmers to
deal with the problem. To fill these slots, many organizations are recalling senior
workers who were laid off a few years ago because their Cobol and Fortran
skills seemed obsolete in an industry that was turning to C++ and Java. Other
organizations are outsourcing Y2K work in the developing world, where the
older computer languages are still widely used.

In other words, at least some of the people we are using to fix the Y2K problem
come from populations with a disproportionate number of disgruntled workers.
The potential for vandalism is obvious. But that is not the most serious threat.

What if foreign governments and organizations hostile to the U.S. decide to
exploit Y2K? With American business hiring as many technicians as they can
find, our adversaries could use Y2K to infiltrate agents into our utilities,
transportation services and financial institutions. They could also penetrate
computer manufacturers, software companies and other firms in the information
industry.

The potential for mayhem is enormous because technicians who fix Y2K
problems often have carte blanche access to all areas of an organization's
information systems. This access provides them a unique opportunity to
compromise these systems. They could cause immediate damage, or they could
plant viruses, logic bombs or trapdoors--programming devices, to be triggered
later, designed to destroy data or allow a hacker access. Since many of these
technicians are being hired precisely because organizations currently lack a
complete understanding of their older information systems, it could be difficult to
detect such an attack.

Of course, the vast majority of the technicians hired to fix Y2K bugs are honest
professionals. The problem is the large numbers of technicians who must be hired
in a very short time span. It is impossible reliably to review the backgrounds of
so many people so quickly. Even if just one in 10,000 of the new programmers
hired to address Y2K problems comes from a hostile country or organization,
Mr. Rubin's estimate of the number of new programmers required suggest that
this would result in 50 to 70 compromises in the U.S. alone.

Even the Pentagon would have trouble screening thousands of programmers in
18 months. You can imagine, then, how hard it will be for private firms.
Companies like AT&T, Microsoft and American Management Systems are in a
bind. If they exclude anyone with a bohemian lifestyle, a history of drug use, a
tendency to question authority, or off-center political beliefs, the remaining pool
of programmers could be quite small.

The current Y2K situation is just a hint of similar problems we can expect in the
future. As the world becomes more interconnected and information systems
become more standardized, generic problems like Y2K, a virus or some other
software or hardware defect will occur world-wide. Criminals, terrorists and
hostile governments will find opportunities in the confusion.

Welcome to the world of "strategic information warfare," where the threat is not
the casual hacker or prankster. The threats are foreign military services and
terrorist groups who won't pass up an opportunity to get into the innards of our
information systems.

They're probably at work even as we speak.

Mr. Berkowitz is an author and consultant based in Alexandria, Va. He is a
contributor to the forthcoming report on the information warfare threat to be
published by the Center for Strategic and International Studies.