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To: Alias Shrugged who wrote (4893)10/31/1998 9:59:00 AM
From: Dipsey  Respond to of 14427
 
Mike -

Thanks your comments. Agree wholeheartedly that
the market is reactionary by nature. Also agree
that the U.S. 'consumer' is not capable of
absorbing the output of third world manufacturing
capacity at the profitable level they would like
it to be - there are only so many feet for high
priced tennis shoes.

The interesting thing to me is the length of time
this has been taking to unfold. I keep waiting for
the seemingly mythological trigger which will result
in dropping the equity markets to rational levels.
In this I tend to agree with LT, there is a high
probability that the correction could be quite rapid.

Although it taxes my level of understanding, I have
not been convinced that the recent Fed rate cuts have
necessarily had the desired or hoped for results. Unless
the attempt was simply to provide breathing room during
which time other more comprehensive actions could be taken.

What little I have seen on the recent G7 pow-wow has
been in generalized terms; difficult to say at this
point whether their current actions are a non-event
or will be purposeful in implementing corrective measures
to the international financial environment.

I think we are probably soon to find out.

Regards, Dipsey