To: Dr. Stoxx who wrote (2199 ) 11/3/1998 12:29:00 PM From: Dr. Stoxx Respond to of 39683
Found this on APCC (and the market in general, from a well-known bull: Headley): <<"We think that 10,000-plus is a very safe assumption in 1999, with a decent shot at 11,000 on the Dow," he says. The one note of caution in all this optimism is that while Headley believes the absolute lows have been set for the year, he wouldn't be surprised to see a consolidation to the 8,000 level on the Dow before his bullish scenario takes the market higher. "Whenever we're coming out of these bottoms in the market we always want to look for the stocks that have bottomed earlier and are preferably starting to either make new highs, or are on the verge of making new highs, well before the market does," he explains. "Those are the kind of stocks that are going to lead on the next up leg." Three that fit the bill now, in his view, are American Power Conversion (APCC), EMC Corp. (EMC), and Nokia (NOK.A). Among the factors Headley looks at in judging a stock are the trend on the stock's chart, and the action in the stock's option market. "American Power stock's been acting very strong, yet the options crowd has not been expressing that much interest, and we've even seen some signs of pessimism," he concludes. "Plus, on another sentiment measure, the stock's got a short interest, which is the number of shares sold short, equal to19 times the average daily volume, which means as the stock stays strong, it puts a lot of pressure on all these shorts." Headley says either buy the stock, or if you buy options, buy calls with an expiration month of March and a strike price of 40 (PWQCH). "They're not going to be the cheapest options, but they're probably going to be the best risk reward bet.">> Take it all with the proverbial grain of salt...TC.