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To: NBS who wrote (4200)11/3/1998 10:30:00 AM
From: DJBEINO  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9582
 
Report says chip recovery now more than seasonal uptick
By J. Robert Lineback

SCOTTSDALE, Ariz. -- Worldwide semiconductor sales are increasing at a much stronger rate than typical seen at this time of year, according new market data released today by IC Insights Inc.

The research firm said the high month-to-month growth rates from July to September show that the current uptick in chip sales is much more than a seasonal increase and it provides more evidence that the next boom period has begun.

IC Insights said total chip revenues exceeded $12 billion in September, up from the recession's low point of $8.95 billion in July. Using a three-month rolling average, the Scottsdale market researcher concluded that semiconductor sales in September were 4.3% higher than they were in August. During the 1990s, the average increase has been 2.3% between September and August, according to IC Insights.

"The IC industry is currently in the embryonic stage of the next boom period," concluded analyst Bill McClean, president of IC Insights, which drew a skeptical reaction in August when it predicted an end to the industry's three-year slump (see Aug. 6 story). Most market researchers and industry managers agree that chip sales have picked up since July, but many are still waiting to see if the increase will hold through the first quarter of 1999.

IC Insights, however, is declaring that the full recovery has begun, and it is forecasting modest sales growth in 1999 at 10%, following by 24% in 2000 and 30% in 2001.

Using a three-month rolling average, IC Insights said chip sales worldwide totaled $10.24 billion in September compared to $9.82 billion in August. IC Insights said semiconductor sales in the Americas increased to $3.49 billion in September from $3.31 billion in August. In Europe, sales grew to $2.37 billion in September from $2.24 billion, and Japan's chip revenues slightly increased to $2.03 billion from $2.004 billion in August, according to the report. Chip shipments in the Asia/Pacific region grew to $2.36 billion from $2.26 billion, said IC Insights.

Compared to a year ago, chip sales in September were lower--$10.24 billion vs. $11.83 billion in September 1997, said the research firm. However, IC Insights said the month-to-month comparison was more important in determining the market's performance in future.

In addition to the current increase in chip sales, IC Insights said it anticipates that concerns about the Y2K problem--or the year 2000 software bug--will begin to have a positive impact on electronic equipment sales beginning next year. If Y2K mandated purchases of new electronic equipment becomes a significant factor, it will result in additional electronic equipment and semiconductor sales increases beyond the above forecast for the year 2000 and 2001, IC Insights said.

semibiznews.com



To: NBS who wrote (4200)11/4/1998 3:11:00 PM
From: DJBEINO  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 9582
 
The price hikes experienced in 16 MEG DRAM have come as a result of a
marked increase in demand for 4MX4 FPM and EDO product. As this
configuration became very costly in relation to other 16 MEG devices, OEMs
looked to 1MX16 and 2MX8 configurations as an alternative for module
builds. Thus, price levels of these alternatives have been going higher
over the past couple of weeks. " according to AICE
======
Tuesday November 03, 1998

Price increases on 16 MEG DRAM are spilling over to other select
configurations today. 2MX8 SYNCH and 4MX4 EDO are trading at higher levels
as demand is still strong and availabilities remain weak. Pentium II 350 is
in demand by OEMs and pricing has appreciated as a result. =

=======
Monday November 02, 1998

Pricing on select 16 MEG DRAM (1MX16 SYNCH, 4MX4FPM) continues to rise as
demand remains strong and availabilities are limited. Requirements on 64
MEG DRAM and high capacity Original Memory Modules have also increased in
the open market.