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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Brian Hutcheson who wrote (40790)11/4/1998 5:33:00 AM
From: Crossy  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1572990
 
Brian,
thanks for Your input. Should mean this..

Assumptions: $110 million SGAA, $165 millon R&D ($20 million more)

Scenario 1: ASP $100, units = 4,7 million, EPS = 0,05 ... P(x) = 10% Scenario 2: ASP $120, units = 4,7 million, EPS = 0,30 ... P(x) = 20% Scenario 3: ASP $100, units = 5,5 million, EPS = 0,30 ... P(x) = 10%
Scenario 4: ASP $120, units = 5,5 million, EPS = 0,50 ... P(x) = 20% Scenario 5: ASP $100, units = 6,5 million, EPS = 0,50 ... P(x) = 10% Scenario 6: ASP $120, units = 6,5 million, EPS = 0,80 .. P(x) = 20% Scenario 7: ASP $100, units = 7 million, EPS = 0,65 .. P(x) = 5%
Scenario 8: ASP $120, units = 7 million, EPS = 1,00 .. P(x) = 5%

This means
the expected value E(X) of EPS for AMD is 0,48. Not a bad number in my opinion. I think that AMD has a good potential to beat analyst' estimates this quarter..

best regards
CROSSY