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Gold/Mining/Energy : Tenke Mining Corp (TNK) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Tomas who wrote (264)11/5/1998 11:37:00 AM
From: Gunnar  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 486
 
The standpoint of the OAU has always been to respect the existing national borders in Africa.
In several countries there have been war of some kind of internal cause. The opponents often uses the other side of the national border to regroup. Nobody has called this an "African war I" before Kindu was fallen and the Rwanda/rebell seemed to avoid the collapse that could have been the result if the eastern offensive had started earlier. To me it seems that the peace talks gave Rwanda time to regroup.
There has been a lot of articles about the fact that DRC is a poor country, that Zimbabwe not affords the war and that the basic needs of Angola is to keep UNITA out of Luanda.
Sudan has threatened with the Muslim card to back DRC. But who backs Rwanda? Who is the real actors that should sit around the table and talk? War continues as long as both sides think that they could gain on it. What has Rice to say to Kabila that would make him think that the well trained Angolan/Zimbabwean army should not have the possibility to smash the poor Rwanda? Intriguing?
The outcome of this conflict is for the moment hard to predict. How big is the support from the ADLF for Kabila? It seems that the population rejects the invaders, but will they do any armed resistance?

I can hardly believe that Angola would permit an UNITA-Rwanda axis cross DRC. And, again, western DRC is far from home... The Angolans waited to eleven o'clock last time they smashed the Rwandan troops on the western front.

No doubt about the fact that everybody wants peace on their terms. Foreign investors wants more than peace. Stable conditions and rule of law. A Rwandan/Tutsi government can hardly manage to become such an alternative because of lack of representation.

Regards,
Gunnar