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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jay8088 who wrote (33068)11/5/1998 10:06:00 AM
From: bobby beara  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Jay, too many big volume days with 2/1 - 3/1, even on down days in the Dow. October 8th was a failed head & shoulders pattern on the Dow, which means we could go the other way with the same measured move.

New lows are drying up from red blood territory. It will take many months to work off the level of bearishness on October 8th. I am short right now, but I don't believe we will be seeing any big pullback here.

bb



To: Jay8088 who wrote (33068)11/5/1998 2:59:00 PM
From: Terry Whitman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
<<I am not sure that internals are all that strong. The SPX etc. indexes have retraced 60-70% or more of decline. But A:D line has barely retraced 30% of decline from the top.

decisionpoint.com

In terms of A:D we are at DJIA 7000 level (on the way up, before 7/20 top).>>

At that same address, they explain how to pick top and bottom A/D divergences. The following links show bullish bottom divergence- where the A/D makes a lower low, yet the price makes a higher one:

decisionpoint.com
and
decisionpoint.com

That is not the case with the current chart. The current chart sets new lows for both A/D and price in early October. I'm no A/D expert, but I believe that is a confirmation of a bearish trend.

BWTHDIK (I know I've missed out on most of the bull run from the last low!!)

TW