To: Greywolf who wrote (819 ) 11/9/1998 3:51:00 PM From: Tomas Respond to of 2742
Shell seen as last big hope for Falklands Upstream, November 6 By CHRISTOPHER HOPSON, London Explorers likely to pull out if oil major fails with its latest wildcat. OIL COMPANY enthusiasm for the Falkland Islands is waning as explorers get hit by the double whammy of a string of non-commercial wells and tighter budgets caused by low oil prices. With five wells completed and no significant drilling successes to date, oil company executives are questioning the viability of working in Falklands waters. A growing consensus emerging among the main operators is that unless Shell makes a commercial discovery with its current drilling (the last of the six commitment wells) then interest is likely to fall away. It is understood Amerada Hess has decided to move the semi-submersible drilling rig Borgny Dolphin back to the North Sea after Shell s well has been completed. "We are obviously disappointed. There are source rocks and sands but we have found nothing commercial.," said Amerada's vice president of international operations Andy Morrison. "It will be a big if should we decide to go back but I doubt it will be in a hurry." Sources have indicated that Lasmo, which drilled a dry well in tranche C, is studying what its next move should be and may well choose to downgrade its exploration effort or offload part of its interest. "We are looking at well data from all the drilling efforts to date and no formal moves have been made to sell off anything," said a Lasmo spokesman. Immediate hopes for a commercial discovery now rest with Shell s second well, Fitzroy-1, which was recently spudded by the Borgny Dolphin. The wildcat has a planned target depth of around 3000 metres. The Anglo-Dutch oil major abandoned its first well, Sebald-1A, on the tranche in early September after encountering hydrocarbon indications but not in commercial quantities. Smaller Falklands players appear keener than the bigger oil companies to try their luck with further drilling. Costs of the rig as well as final data from the drilling is being shared by all the oil companies working off the islands. "My impression is that there are going to be oil and gas fields out there but they will be smaller than originally thought and scattered around," said another senior exploration source. Players such as Desire Petroleum and Lundin Oil have expressed a keen interest in drilling wells, possibly next year, after more time has been spent on interpretation of the initial well data. "The bigger structures in the North Falklands basin may have now been drilled, proving there are no new Brent s down there, but there may still be a few smaller finds to be made," said the exploration source. Drilling began in April in the waters to the north of the disputed islands, one of the world s last unexplored sedimentary basins. Seven tranches have been licensed in total, covering 12,800 square kilometres.