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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bobby beara who wrote (33189)11/6/1998 2:34:00 PM
From: Greg Jung  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
"Fundamentals remain a back seat ..."

Well in some issues I can whole-heartedly agree about overpricing.
But underneath the top big-caps is a whole 'nother market which has been beaten to the ground, far off the levels of 1997 in most cases
and appropriately or under-priced. Why aren't these rising so quickly? Market particpants with big cash piles are looking for quick kills in rebounds of the recently slaughtered. Cash flow, earnings, etc. do not matter - only price and liquidity. I think these issues will flounder after a point (probably attained already) and, while volatile on the 5-20% level, basically stay flat. Meanwhile out in the suburbs the overflow to the under-invested names proceeds, now at slow pace that will later grow as these issues climb above the $5, $10 level. Maybe not a lot of bonafide home runs there but plenty of doubles and triples can be made without budging the S&P.

Speaking of fundamentals, one radio speaker was comparning PE ratio to return on equity and claiming that a rough equality justified the price - i.e. making KO an good price. For all the call-in stocks he was doing this comparison like a magic elixer. Has anybody heard a cause for such a method?

Greg



To: bobby beara who wrote (33189)11/6/1998 2:46:00 PM
From: Jay8088  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 94695
 
The 5th wave is turning out to be an ascending wedge. Very weak pattern.

iqc.com

We may be in for some sharp downside action from here. Today may indeed turn out to be a reversal day (of some importance) as Haim has predicted. Got close to 9000 but not the cigar and here we go down-------Let's all hope so....