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To: Bobby Yellin who wrote (22732)11/8/1998 6:34:00 AM
From: John Hunt  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116764
 
Russian Crash Shows Risks of Globalization

washingtonpost.com

<< Dana F. McGinnis was not a Russia expert when he went to Moscow on a trip organized by Morgan Stanley & Co. in fall 1994. He did not speak the language and he had made his first visit to Russia only six months earlier. But the San Antonio-based fund manager had something Morgan Stanley and Russia were interested in: a couple of hundred million dollars from rich and adventuresome individuals and institutions in search of new investment frontiers.

McGinnis and two dozen other managers of big U.S. pension, mutual and private investment funds were given a grand tour: a glitzy dinner at the Kremlin, an enchanting night at the Bolshoi Opera, a stroll through the famous Novodevichy convent gardens, receptions at the elegant Metropol Hotel, and meetings with leading lights in Russian politics and economic policy. Meanwhile, in private meetings with Russian executives, McGinnis plotted major investments in Russian cement, telecommunications and electric power companies.

"There was great optimism that there would be an end to the arms race and that some 250 million people would be brought into the capitalist fold," McGinnis recalled. "There was a buzz in the air. The country was evolving by the hour. You could feel it." It seemed like a historic moment and a historic business opportunity.

McGinnis and many other people bought into that vision. Over three years, tens of billions of dollars of foreign money flooded Russia's tiny new bond and stock markets.

Then just as quickly, the money poured back out in a financial panic this spring and summer, leaving Russia and many banks and investors high and dry. Russia's new market economy collapsed, throwing emerging markets into turmoil worldwide, sharply reducing earnings at several major Western banks, and forcing McGinnis to put his three investment funds into bankruptcy, wiping out about $200 million of his investors' equity. .............. >>

A House of Cards




To: Bobby Yellin who wrote (22732)11/8/1998 2:10:00 PM
From: goldsnow  Respond to of 116764
 
06 November 1998
US producers will
spend less in their
search for gold

Nikki Tait

Financial Times

CHICAGO - US gold producers are expected to cut
expenditure on exploration by about 28% this year, after
posting a 9% decrease last year.

The Gold Institute, the Washington-based industry
association, says in a new survey the slump in the gold
price and pressure on mining companies to contain costs
meant exploration outlays dwindled to $582m last year,
and that this could be down to less than $420m in the
current 12 months.

Last year's fall was the first reduction in exploration
expenditures by the US gold mining industry, which is
second in size only to SA's, for three years.

Between 1992 and 1996, spending on exploration more
than doubled from about $301m to $629m. Most of that
increase came from outside the US itself - triggered
partly by international political and mining law changes
that opened up prospective regions, and partly by
growing permit hurdles and environmental obstructions in
the US. In particular, US producers targeted parts of
Latin America, Australia, and the Asia Pacific region.

However, this year, the institute calculates that
exploration expenditure flowing into Latin America will
decline by a hefty 39%, from $241m to $148m, while
expenditure in Australia and the South Pacific will be
down from $70m to $61m, having peaked at $95m in
1996.

John Lutley, president of the institute, said this week he
believed that the sharp fall-off was "clearly attributable to
the gold price", and that this was by far the most
significant factor. However, he also acknowledged that
economic and political instability in some regions could
have had an additional effect.

"I think it is clear that Aboriginal protests have had an
effect on how prospective (Australia is)," Lutley said,
referring to the land rights issues there.

Lutley also pointed out that, in spite of the current year
declines, exploration expenditure by US producers in
many of these countries remained much higher than it
was in the early 1990s. In Latin America, for example,
there will still be a three-fold increase between 1993 and
this year.

By contrast, exploration expenditure in the US itself will
has fallen in absolute terms over the same period, and is
projected to have dropped to just $103m this year.
bday.co.za



To: Bobby Yellin who wrote (22732)11/15/1998 10:43:00 AM
From: goldsnow  Respond to of 116764
 
Full story
FOCUS-Arafat's statehood plans anger
Israel
03:30 p.m Nov 14, 1998 Eastern

By Khader Abusway

NABLUS, West Bank, Nov 14 (Reuters) - Israel
accused Palestinian President Yasser Arafat of
jeopardising the Wye accords on Saturday after he
announced his intention to establish a Palestinian state
next year.

''Continuing statements of this sort put into doubt the
Oslo agreement in general and the Wye agreement in
particular,'' a statement released by Israeli Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office said.

Arafat told thousands of Palestinians who gathered in
the West Bank city of Nablus to celebrate a decade
since the first Palestinian declaration of statehood,
that next year they would be living in an independent
Palestinan state.

''We will declare our independent state on May 4,
1999 with Jerusalem as its capital, yes Jerusalem, the
eternal capital of our state, whether they like it or
not,'' Arafat said in his address which was also
broadcast on Palestinian radio.

Israel reiterated a threat made by its cabinet on
Wednesday after it ratified the Wye deal that it would
take unilateral steps of its own if Arafat declared a
Palestinian state in May.

''Israel will see itself free to take all necessary
measures in order to protect its national interests
including the imposition of Israeli law over security
zones and areas of settlement,'' the statement said.

The celebrations in Nablus and other West Bank
cities marked the 10th anniversary of the then exiled
Palestine Liberation Organisation's November 15,
1988, declaration of independence.

The PLO signed a historic peace deal with Israel in
1993 with hopes of achieving statehood after a
five-year interim period that is due to expire on May
4, 1999.

''Now we are on our land and we are regaining this
holy land inch by inch until we set up our state in
1999,'' Arafat told a cheering crowd.

U.S. peace envoy Dennis Ross met Arafat on
Saturday in Nablus as part of his Middle East mission
to oversee Israeli and Palestinian efforts to implement
the Wye deal.

''Both sides have obligations and responsibilities
under the terms of the Wye memorandum and we
expect both sides will carry out those obligations and
responsibilites,'' Ross told reporters after meeting
Arafat in Nablus.

In line with last month's Wye River deal, Israel is
scheduled to begin the first stage of a three-phased
West Bank pullback on November 16, but has said
the withdrawal could be delayed by several days.

Netanyahu's office said Israel would only go ahead
with the redeployment if the Palestinian Authority
fulfilled its obligations.

''If the Palestinian commitments are implemented, the
redeployment will take place as stated in the
agreement,'' the statement released by Netanyahu's
office said.

It said Palestinian prisoners due to be freed next
week as part of the agreement would not be released
until the Palestinian Authority arrested 10 from a list
of 30 fugitives that Israel says are responsible for
attacks against Israelis.

The Wye River deal signed at the White House on
October 23, calls for an Israeli troop pullout from
parts of the West Bank and for firm Palestinian
security measures against Moslem militants opposed
to peace.

Ross's mission coincides with mounting tension in the
West Bank following moves by Israel to build more
than 1,000 houses at a Jewish settlement site on the
edge of Arab East Jerusalem.

Copyright 1998 Reuters Limited