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To: DownSouth who wrote (7)11/10/1998 7:02:00 PM
From: Sam Asava  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42
 
J.P.:

MSFT has been on the uptrend last few days and should continue. Investors /trades seem to get used to any negative news from trial. After close, INTL announced better than expected 4th qt earning will propel MSFT higher in the near future. Santa Clause may deliver early this year!

biz.yahoo.com

Regards,

Sam



To: DownSouth who wrote (7)11/15/1998 8:03:00 PM
From: johnd  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 42
 
MSFT has reasonable upside possibilities. Right now, at 110
it is trading at 55 trailing PE. This is on the low end of
1998 PE range of 48 - 72. If we get back to 72 PE, the stock
should hit 144 before Jan. But I don't expect that to happen
because there is the daily noise of the DOJ trail.

But 110 may be too low and 120 - 130 may be a reasonable target
for year end closing. Then it would be nice to see the stock hit
130 - 140 by January end.

Events to watch are:

11/15 : Bill Gate's Comdex speach
11/16 : SQL 7 product announcment
11/20 : Novemebr options expiration
Anytime now : Outcome of Sun Java trial and Bristol Trial
Starting Jan: MSFT side witnesses start showing up in DOJ trial
Jan 16th : Jan99 options expiry
Jan 20th? : Q2 EPS release. I expect 4.4Billion revenues, 64c EPS
19 Billion in cash, 3.4Billion in deferred revenue
Feb : Windows2000 beta3 release
March99 : Office2000 product release
April99 : Q3 EPS. I expect 4.7B in revenues, 70c EPS
July 99 : FY98 EPS of 2.67(50% growth y2y), 18Billion revenue.
24 Billion in cash.
Aug99 : Windows2000 product release
Sept99 : Exchange platinum release
FY99 : 4.00 EPS,
July2000 : Stock hits 220
Jan 2001 : Stock hits 240

Let me stop for the moment

johnd