SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : InvestRight - Short Term Trading St -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jeffrey L. Henken who wrote (571)11/9/1998 12:25:00 PM
From: Dr. Harvey  Respond to of 939
 
Jeff, hard to say. I have been patiently waiting for this one to develop for over a year now until their product had been perfected at Lockheed Martin; which supposedly has occurred, but as with any non reporting company getting real details about sales and earnings is hard to come by.

However, the last show they were featuring their new underway system with their flat antenna and telling everyone that the product would be out this quarter, so I am hopeful.

The all time high is 3, and if they can get their sales ramped up quickly, anything can happen with this stock as the float is so small, and pretty tightly held.

NOTICE: This analysis is based on publicly-available information, and is in no way warranted by me as to its accuracy or completeness. I do not guarantee to advise you as to any change in this information. I currently may be a stockholder and I may from time to time purchase or sell these securities on the open market. I am not compensated by this company for any information posted on this or any other public message board in any way whatsoever at this time. Any and all information posted here is subject to change without notice.



To: Jeffrey L. Henken who wrote (571)11/9/1998 2:02:00 PM
From: Ray Tarke  Respond to of 939
 
U.S. Slowdown Keeps Rate Cut Hopes Alive

By Knut Engelmann

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - It sounded almost too good to be true: The U.S.
central bank cuts interest rates, and barely three weeks later chaotic
financial markets have gone back to normal, the fear of an imminent
recession all but forgotten.

Beware: If it sounds too good to be true, it usually is.

Signs last week that global economic woes were hurting the United States
served as a grim reminder that not all is well in the world's top
economy -- and that the Federal Reserve may need to administer more rate
cuts to prevent a crash landing.

''There's a perception on the part of many that the crisis is over,''
said James Glassman, senior economist at Chemical Securities in New
York. ''I think they are wrong.''

The Fed next meets to discuss interest rates on Nov. 17, when all but
one of 18 economists polled by Reuters last week expect it to cut the
key federal funds overnight lending rate by a quarter percentage point
to 4.75 percent. That would be the third cut in only seven weeks,
following two quarter-point cuts each in the fed funds rate on Sept. 29
and Oct. 15.

For sure, the U.S. stock market has soared by more than 10 percent since
the Fed started cutting rates in September to head off a developing
credit crunch that it feared could have killed off the more than
seven-year old U.S. expansion.

But rather than reveling in the good news, Fed officials privately warn
that such strong gains, based mainly on expected increases in corporate
profits, will be impossible to maintain. After all, the economy is
unmistakably slowing, and that will sooner or later put a dent into
corporate earnings, they say.

The picture in the nation's credit markets, while not as dire as it was
last month, is still far from rosy and suggests lenders have yet to
regain the appetite for risk which they lost amid mounting turmoil in
global financial markets.

Anecdotal evidence shows that corporate borrowers still face major
difficulties finding investors to lend them money without demanding a
hefty premium -- or spread -- over rates on U.S. government debt.

''The amount of panic in financial markets was totally out of line with
the objective realities of what was going on in the economy,'' noted
Lyle Gramley, a former Fed governor. ''But spreads are still very wide
and volumes in corporate bond markets are still very small compared to
earlier in the year.''

But the strongest hint that things are not as rosy as many in the market
may believe, and the one that the Fed is bound to pay most attention to,
is still coming from what is widely referred to as the ''real'' economy
-- jobs and production.

Labor market data released last week showed the economy added far fewer
new jobs in October than had been forecast, indicating the economy has
already slowed sharply from its red-hot pace earlier in the year.
Clearly, the Fed is worried.

''We would like to see an ideal soft landing and will do what we can to
try to bring it about. There does seem to be a slowdown,'' Fed Governor
Edward Gramlich said Friday.

And just a few days earlier, the Fed reported in its Beige Book survey
of regional economic activity that manufacturing across the country went
into a lower gear in September and October, hurt by lower exports to
crisis-ravaged Asia.

Trying to head off a recession in the United States that could have
devastating effects on the entire world economy just as it struggles to
overcome the ripple effects of the Asian crisis remains smack on top of
the Fed's agenda.

''Will it be a soft landing or a crash? The answer to that depends in no
small part on the Fed itself,'' said Joel Naroff, Philadelphia-based
economist at First Union Corp. (NYSE:FTU - news)

Ironically, the pressure for further rate cuts stems not least from the
recent improvement in markets themselves.

''The paradox is that the recent Fed easings contributed to calming the
markets,'' said Allen Sinai, chief global economist at Primark Decision
Economics in Boston. ''Not easing now could reignite the turmoil.''

Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan, in whose hands the fate of U.S. interest
rates ultimately rests, declined to comment directly on what lies ahead
for monetary policy in a speech last week, his first appearance since
the Fed's Oct. 15 cut.

He chose to highlight a calmer mood in financial markets rather than
dwell on the concerns about the economy that he emphasized in
appearances prior to the last two rate cuts.

Some investors took that as a signal that the central bank head might
keep his powder dry at the Nov. 17 policy meeting.

Still, there is little doubt that the Fed, faced with the almost
Herculean task of keeping the U.S. economy going smoothly in the face of
the globe's worst financial crisis in 50 years, remains firmly biased
toward lower interest rates.

''We're all too hung up on whether they're going to cut at this meeting
or the next one (on Dec. 22),'' said Naroff. ''Additional moves are
coming and most likely they will happen before the end of this year as
well as early next year.''

dailynews.yahoo.com

I don't think Mr.Greespan will cut next week, but will hint that he might come December 22.

Regards,
R.T



To: Jeffrey L. Henken who wrote (571)11/10/1998 4:11:00 PM
From: mike mulhearn  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 939
 
Jeff, with the internet stocks going crazy and KTEL deal with MSFT it may be a good time to check out NAVR. It may ride the wave with a couple good announcements.