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To: accountclosed who wrote (74)	11/10/1998 6:40:00 AM
From: Stitch	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 1989

Antoine, Whew! You pose a head full and it is evening here in K.L. I have a date with my son to search for Duncan Yo-Yos on the WEB. The yoyos here are a bit inferior. I can't even walk the dog with the one he got today. So we are off in search of important stuff. In the meantime I will think about how to respond in a way as equally as thoughtful as the way you posed the question. best, Stitch

To: accountclosed who wrote (74)	11/10/1998 9:07:00 AM
From: Arik T.G.	Respond to of 1989

Antoine, Good post! I share your view that the desktop is in its final stages of development, and from here on there will be only small refinements until the next quantum leap into an altogether new product replacing the desktop. This IMO will also hinder Intel's ability to increase its profits- The P-II is all one needs even for running NT, and gross margins will decrease as the $150-200 CPUs will make a larger portion of sales, and $350+ CPUs will continue to be used by servers, rarely home and portables. Home PCs are becoming household products not unlike TV. Margins are going to stay low for the component makers. ATG

To: accountclosed who wrote (74)	11/10/1998 9:08:00 AM
From: Pierre-X	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 1989

The central theme of your post was: Desktop storage space outrunning storage demand. I totally agree with you 50%. <g> Actually, your opening is a perfect segue to a point I wanted to reiterate in response to a string of posts here about increasing capacity via microactuation. Total megabyte demand on the desktop is pretty much stuck until TWO things happen: (imho) 1. The PIPES HAVE to get bigger! A 20 gig disk running on a UDMA/33 interface would require an HOUR and a HALF to completely read or write to at UDMA/33's typical 4 MB/s sustained transfer rates. (Compare to 12 minutes to completely read or write a 1GB disk at typical EIDE transfer of 1.5 MB/s, in the olden days.) It's like putting a 60 gallon gas tank in a Ford Escort. UDMA/66 will help and so will 100 and 125Mhz system buses, coming next year allegedly. But for now device capacities are growing much faster than device bus bandwidth--a chokehold on capacity demand. 2. The Killer Storage App is still AWOL. At least we have the Killer Delivery Device rapidly propagating to the masses: DVD. I wonder if it turns out that the Killer Delivery Device is all that's needed ... anybody have any hard numbers on how many DVDROM drives have journeyed to hinterland? I disagree 50% because these things WILL happen, and in a few years everyone will be wondering how they lived life with puny 20GB HDDs. <g>