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Technology Stocks : CheckFree Holdings Corp. (CKFR), the next Dell, Intel? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: AE who wrote (47)11/10/1998 12:51:00 PM
From: zuma_rk  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 20297
 
>>Zuma Rk is going to publish the full report.>>

Well, I guess the ball's in my court.
As per usual, I'm a bit time crunched today, but I'll give some early impressions...

Now, even though I have a "numbers" background, when looking at new industries I'm more apt to focus on the "softer" details. Quite frankly, I couldn't care less if it takes two quarters or two years for CF to reach critical mass, provided that they maintain a leadership position. In the short term, my own (humble) personal criteria revolves around management integrity, employee morale, and getting the company's message out to the masses (both to customers and investors).

Having said that, my overall impression of the meeting was that there was not much that was "new" to be learned, but to paraphrase Mr. Gintel, "perhaps hearing Pete do his presentation one more time, "I'll finally understand what the heck this company is all about" (big <g>)...

Corporate Headquarters:
Unbelievably impressive HQ. On first blush, a conservative shareholder would wince at the money that was spent on this place. However, on the positive side, virtually all the trimmings were picked up through a CF acquisition (Servantis, I believe). The employees seem to be (appropriately) well versed in reiterating that important distinction when it is brought up in conversation.

The conference/training center was immaculate and well appointed, with modern presentation areas (and importantly) small, technology-centric classrooms, presumably for training customer service employees. They have a full-service, subsidised employee cafeteria, a lounge, and various activities to support comeraderie amoung the staff.

Having said that, the corporate culture around the place is enviable. Granted, everyone had their best "shareholder meeting-faces" on, but there is such effort to look after employees in a clean, casual, supportive environment that it's hard not to want to do business with the company. Management deserves a lot of credit for instilling such a proactive environment (which, along with employee stock options, should help retain key people as competitive pressures increase)...

On to the meeting:
I'd say there were only about 40-or-so people there, with a "Suit" (i.e. anal-yst)-to-casual ratio of about 25%. I'd guess that about 1/2 of the attendees were employees.

Pete was the sole speaker, with an updated presentation since the Florida conference. I would paraphrase the major themes as such (also, please bear in mind that I'm adding my own colorization to the comments made, so please don't take any of this as gospel according to CF):

* a big shift from the "banks as the trusted agency" theme to "billers (led by ATT) are getting into the drivers seat." Pete basically intimated that CF will provide the technology to whoever wants to present bills electronically, and work to get a solution in place in the shortest possible time. And by the way, the banks remain CF's first choice as consolidator, but we'll work with whatever viable institutions that consumers want to bring this to market...

* New theme of "from paper to pulse" -- CF guesstimates that it could take about 3 to 4 years for 1/3 of U.S. households to reach critical mass with EBPP, but it's very difficult to predict when that will actually happen.

* globally, big segments of the "new" economy is moving from "mass market" distribution to internet-based "1-to-1 enablers on a mass scale basis." My read on this is basically -- have the ability to customize my personal banking/bill paying/web surfing experience for me, and be able to leverage up that same capability to anyone and everyone else (i.e. genesis, CF's customer care technology and its joint venture partners).

* Pete reiterated that CF believes it has dominant industry leadership in the following six areas: EBPP, Portfolio Management, ACH transactions, high-speed account reconciliation, compliance, and health/fitness e-commerce (i.e. the founding business). Importantly, he reiterated the importance of not being necessarily "smug" in this leadership position. (I guess we all know what happened to Netscape). He also mentioned that the software divestiture program is basically done (I actually hypothesised that all the Portfolio news releases that had been coming out were designed to tee up the product for sale -- guess not).

----more to come later






To: AE who wrote (47)11/10/1998 8:25:00 PM
From: TLindt  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 20297
 
>>>P.S. I think we should consolidate the 2 CKFR threads. We are fragmenting the group and information ends up being posted twice and each thread is missing valuable stuff from the other. Just my 2 cents.as CheckFree brings this service to market.

The threads are consolidated...that thread is a reference to this one, started by who knows who, probably the damm ghost. This one deals with all of that, and moves forward into the future. Expresses the frustration of long term holders, and their hopes for the future ....supply and demand of shares outstanding, my view updated for 1998-1999.

When E-comm gets hot, Amazon, EggeHead, Ebay, On Sale etal go through the roof, when Portals get hot Yahoo!, Excite, Lycos, InfoSeek, Inktomi etal..get hot. They literally Smoke...too much money not enough players.

When, not IF...WHEN e-bill comes on...money is going to seek out the pure plays...there are just a few publics...CheckFree is grand-daddy. We'll experience a move, which I could best describe as a GreyHound Bus being Driven down a Gopher Hole. Fundamentals will dictate direction, but not values...and that is the beginning not the end.



To: AE who wrote (47)11/11/1998 10:43:00 AM
From: zuma_rk  Respond to of 20297
 
Hey AE, even though I've put Quicken on my temporary black list (see previous post, just happened to see this, and thought it might be of interest to you.

biz.yahoo.com

Don't think you can view historical data or pay bills online, but it's a step in the right direction in terms of portability of your financial information...

RK