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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: robert b furman who wrote (33493)11/11/1998 7:56:00 AM
From: GROUND ZERO™  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Bob,

The way I differentiate between a rally top and dip is largely a function of the NYSE advance decline issues over the most recent 25 trading days. As of this morning, the buying is not yet over.

When the indexes pull back and my numbers are still positive, it's a dip. When the indexes pull back and my numbers turn negative (sometimes even before the markets pull back as during last July), it's a top.

These numbers will always turn negative before any serious decline, so I may exit for a day or two then reposition to avoid being caught in a serious decline. The reverse is true for all bottoms.

I also rely on chart patterns and Andrews Pitchfork to calculate the likely end of a move.

I hope this was helpful.

GZ